Central Hydropower Joint Stock Company (CHP) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · VN · Market cap 4.4T VND
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Share price −0.7% over the past month.
A strong business, screening 66% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The rarer combination: high quality (86/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (34,161 VND). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 10,884 VND – 33,248 VND · fair‑value band 34,161 VND – 57,501 VND · the 27,600 VND price screens below the 45,831 VND fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Central Hydropower Joint Stock Company (CHP) currently trades at 27,600 VND, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 45,831 VND, implying the stock looks roughly 66.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 86/100 (high quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Central Hydropower Joint Stock Company generated revenue of 963B VND at a net margin of 44.6%. Revenue declined 15.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 21.5%. Net debt stands at 134B VND. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 34,161 VND (bear case) to 57,501 VND (bull case); at 27,600 VND, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at 66%, CHP screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (65,806 VND) versus Asset-Based (8,959 VND). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 82 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Central Hydropower Joint Stock Company produces, transmits, and distributes electricity in Vietnam. The company invests in construction of hydropower projects, solar power plants, and wind energy facilities; and constructs electricity transmission lines, transformer stations, solar and wind power works.
Full company description
Central Hydropower Joint Stock Company produces, transmits, and distributes electricity in Vietnam. The company invests in construction of hydropower projects, solar power plants, and wind energy facilities; and constructs electricity transmission lines, transformer stations, solar and wind power works. It is also involved in afforestation and other forestry activities, and propagation of forest trees; business services in construction surveying; consulting on the construction of power projects; consulting and designing power grids and lighting systems; supervision consulting for equipment installation of power projects, as well as construction of irrigation works, hydropower plants, transmission lines and substations, solar power plants, and wind power plants; operations management and maintenance for power plants and industrial facilities; project management consulting for civil, industrial, infrastructure, agriculture, rural development, and road transport projects, as well as for hydropower plants, solar power plants, and wind power plants; contractor selection consulting; and geological exploration activities, such as leasing of non-financial intangible assets, construction of hydraulic structures, and other specialized construction activities. Central Hydropower Joint Stock Company was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Da Nang, Vietnam.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Central Hydropower Joint Stock Company reported revenue of 999B VND in FY2025 versus 787B VND in FY2021, a compound +6.1%/yr. Reported net income was 458B VND in FY2025, compounding +17.3%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Utilities - Regulated Electric · 154 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Regulated Electric median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Regulated Electric stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| NextEra Energy, Inc NEE | $88.80 | $32.94 | -63% |
| The Southern Company SO | $95.61 | $61.06 | -36% |
| Duke Energy Corporation DUK | $126.11 | $97.11 | -23% |
| National Grid plc NGG | 61,175 ARS | 44,377 ARS | -27% |
| American Electric Power Company AEP | $132.50 | $79.33 | -40% |
| Dominion Energy, Inc D | $70.08 | $46.92 | -33% |
| NTPC Limited NTPC | ₹341.85 | ₹377.16 | +10% |
| CEZ, a. s. CEZ | 232.40 PLN | 159.33 PLN | -31% |
| Power Grid Corporation POWERGRID | ₹283.55 | ₹252.77 | -11% |
| China National Nuclear Power Co 601985 | ¥8.91 | ¥7.69 | -14% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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