EN DE
Data-driven stock valuation

China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd ADR (CHSTY) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd ADR is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.

  1. Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
  2. Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
  3. Watch it or check another stockalert when fair value or trend changes

Industrials · US · Market cap $368M · ISIN US1694161043

At a glance

CH China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd ADR logo China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd ADR CHSTY · US
Price$3.63
Fair Value$10.74
Upside+195.9%
Quality31/100

Below-average quality, trading 66% below our fair value of $10.74.

As of Sep 5, 2026, the fair value of China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd ADR is $10.74 per share against a price of $3.63, so the fair value sits 196% above the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +17.8 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -28.2% net margin
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/9)
!Narrow moat 11/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: Low Range $5.66 to $15.48

Fair value as of: Sep 5, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Fair value updated Sep 5, 2026, revised from $10.67 to $10.74 (+0.7%) since Aug 13, 2026.

Watch China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd ADR for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card. Watch for free

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (31/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($5.66). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The model range is unusually wide ($5.66 to $15.48). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$22.18 $2.09 Fair Value $10.74 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $2.09 – $22.18 · fair‑value band $5.66 – $15.48 · the $3.63 price screens below the $10.74 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →

Analysis

China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd ADR (CHSTY) currently trades at $3.63, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $10.74, implying the stock looks roughly 66.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 3 models at a data quality of 76/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Over the trailing twelve months, China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd ADR generated revenue of $21.9B at a net margin of −28.2%. Revenue declined 1.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −40.7%. Net debt stands at $5.3B. Fundamentals as of Sep 5, 2026

Scenario range: $5.66 (bear) to $15.48 (bull), the price of $3.63 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −49% fair-value upside, at 196%, CHSTY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) best evidence $64.21 $86.04 $128.42 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) best evidence $64.21 $86.04 $128.42 54

Notify me when CHSTY reaches fair value

Put CHSTY on your watchlist. We get in touch as soon as price and fair value meet or the trend turns.

Set up alert →

Free, no payment details. Unsubscribe anytime in one click.

Key figures & financial health

EPS (TTM) $−13.66
Net margin −29.7% FY2024
Return on equity −40.7% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 1.0% avg 5y
Operating margin 9.4% TTM
Revenue (TTM) $21.9B TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue growth (YoY) −1.8% 3y avg +3.0%
EPS growth (YoY) −69.6%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −$2.3B FY2024
Net debt $5.3B FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 31/100

Of which business quality 30 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 21

Profitability 11
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 22
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 4
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 26
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 72
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 49
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 8
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 9
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co., Ltd. engages in the research, design, development, manufacture, and sale of various mechanical transmission equipment in the People's Republic of China, the United States, Europe, and internationally.

Full company description

China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co., Ltd. engages in the research, design, development, manufacture, and sale of various mechanical transmission equipment in the People's Republic of China, the United States, Europe, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Wind and Industrial Gear Transmission Equipment; Rail Transportation Gear Transmission Equipment; Trading Business; and Others. The company offers mechanical transmission equipment for use in wind power and a range of industrial applications; gear transmission equipment for use in rail transportation fields; and gears, gear boxes, and fittings. It engages in the trading of bulk commodity and steel industry chain; and provision of services for lighting, municipal landscape, and engineering procurement construction projects. China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Causeway Bay, Hong Kong. China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co., Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Five Seasons XVI Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years

China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd ADR reported revenue of 22.1B CNY in FY2024 versus 15.4B CNY in FY2020, a compound +9.5%/yr. Reported net income was −6.6B CNY in FY2024.

Growth Quality 30/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2024)
$22.1B
Latest YoY
−8.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+17.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (17Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.5%
EBIT margin (trend) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
7.8% (2019) → −23.3% (2024)
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2024 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue +9.5%/yr
FY20 15.4B CNY
FY21 20.2B CNY
FY22 21.1B CNY
FY23 24.1B CNY
FY24 22.1B CNY
Net income
FY20 841M CNY
FY21 1.3B CNY
FY22 102M CNY
FY23 95.5M CNY
FY24 −6.6B CNY

Watch CHSTY, get fair value alerts →

Share or link this analysis
𝕏 Post WhatsApp LinkedIn Reddit
For bloggers & editors: embed code + live data

For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd ADR Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CHSTY

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 794 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation
Quality Score 31 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +196% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −28% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −2% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.59× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.02× · Cheapest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 0
FUTURE0 · sector 20
PAST0 · sector 28
HEALTH71 · sector 96
DIVIDEND0 · sector 27

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 5, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc GEV $941.84 $131.95 −86%
SIE SIE €272.65 €139.77 −49%
Eaton Corporation ETN $410.85 $168.65 −59%
Parker-Hannifin Corporation PH $962.59 $398.69 −59%
Atlas Copco AB ATCOA kr 206.60 kr 112.59 −46%
Cummins Inc CMI $564.40 $348.94 −38%
Illinois Tool Works Inc ITW $270.12 $145.84 −46%
Emerson Electric Co EMR $152.82 $58.44 −62%
AMETEK, Inc AME $236.25 $125.80 −47%
Rockwell Automation, Inc ROK $417.53 $125.76 −70%

Compare China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd ADR with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

Free, no sign-up

Explore undervalued stocks

More undervalued Industrials stocks →

All undervalued stocks TechnologyFinancial ServicesHealthcareConsumer CyclicalConsumer DefensiveCommunication ServicesIndustrialsEnergyBasic MaterialsReal EstateUtilities Deeply Undervalued StocksUndervalued Blue-Chip StocksUndervalued Small-Cap StocksUndervalued Dividend Stocks

Try a ready-made strategy

Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.

🥇 Backtested Best 🏆 Big Names ⭐ Top Rated 💎 Quality on Sale 🚀 Profitable Growth 🧊 Quality Compounders 💵 Dividend Stars 📈 Strong Momentum 📉 Fallen Angels ⚖️ Deeply Undervalued 🔍 Small-Cap Gems 🏰 Moat at a Fair Price 💼 Insider Buying 🎩 Buffett-Style Quality 📚 Peter Lynch GARP 🧮 Greenblatt Magic Formula 🛡️ Graham Defensive

Discover tools

Frequently asked questions

Is China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd ADR (CHSTY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $10.74 versus a price of $3.63, about +196% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CHSTY?
Our model-based fair value for China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd ADR is $10.74 (as of Sep 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $3.63.
What is the quality score of CHSTY?
China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd ADR has a Quality Score of 31/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd ADR (CHSTY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $10.74 (as of Sep 5, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $5.66, optimistic scenario $15.48. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $10.74, about +196% upside versus a price of $3.63 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $5.66, optimistic scenario $15.48. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd ADR (CHSTY)?
China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $21.9B (latest available figure, as of Sep 5, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CHSTY?
The net profit margin of China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd ADR is about −28.2%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Free · no account needed

Watch China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd ADR in the live analysis

One click puts China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd ADR on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.

Watch for free →

Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.