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City Office (CIO) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · US · Market cap $282M · ISIN US1785871013

What is City Office really worth?

CO City Office logo City Office CIO · US
Price from May 29, 2026$0.0900
Fair Value$0.2115
Upside+135.0%
Quality47/100

Below-average quality, trading 57% below our fair value of $0.2115.

As of Sep 3, 2026, the fair value of City Office is $0.2115 per share against a price of $0.0900, so the fair value sits 135% above the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.

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Strengths

Moderate debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +1.8 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -74.2% net margin
!Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
!Narrow moat 26/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

For context

·4.29% dividend yield
Evidence: Low Range $0.1152 – $0.3078

Fair value as of: Sep 3, 2026

From 12 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Fair value updated Sep 3, 2026, revised from $0.2070 to $0.2115 (+2.2%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price +20.0% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.1152). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The model range is unusually wide ($0.1152 to $0.3078). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid quality (47/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$15.89 $0.0750 Fair Value $0.2115 Nov 2020 May 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0750 – $15.89 · fair‑value band $0.1152 – $0.3078 · the $0.0900 price screens below the $0.2115 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.

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Analysis

City Office (CIO) currently trades at $0.0900, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.2115, implying the stock looks roughly 57.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $0.1800 per share, and 6 of the 12 models we run sit above the $0.0900 price. Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at $0.0400, and 6 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, City Office generated revenue of $164M at a net margin of −74.2%. Revenue declined 12.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −17.8%. Net debt stands at $628M. Fundamentals as of Sep 3, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.1152 (bear case) to $0.3078 (bull case); at $0.0900, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −22% fair-value upside, at 135%, CIO screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $0.0600 $0.1800 $0.3600 74
Growth DCF $0.0600 $0.1600 $0.3000 74
5Y EBITDA Exit $0.1300 $0.3400 $0.6000 71
All 12 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $0.0600 $0.1800 $0.3600 74
5Y Revenue Exit $0.0300 $0.1000 69
5Y EBITDA Exit $0.1300 $0.3400 $0.6000 71
10Y Revenue Exit $0.0100 $0.0700 $0.1500 60
10Y EBITDA Exit $0.1000 $0.2600 $0.5200 63
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.0500 $0.0900 $0.1100 68
DDM Multi-Stage $0.0500 $0.0800 $0.0900 67
Multiples
EV/EBIT $0.0100 $0.0400 61
EV/EBITDA $0.2000 $0.3000 $0.4100 66
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.1200 $0.1600 $0.2300 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $0.0600 $0.1600 $0.3000 74
Rev-Margin DCF $0.0400 $0.1000 69

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($0.1800) versus Multiples ($0.0100). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (74).

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 1.72 TTM
EPS (TTM) $−3.21
Dividend yield 4.3%
Net margin −10.3% FY2024
Return on equity −17.8% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 2.1% avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin 19.6% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $164M TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −12.0% 3y avg +1.4%
EPS growth (YoY) −52.3%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $58.9M FY2024
Net debt $628M FY2024 · ≈ 10.7 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 2

Profitability 7
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 25
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 76
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 34
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 73
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 8
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 0
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 87
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

City Office REIT is an internally-managed real estate company focused on acquiring, owning and operating office properties located predominantly in Sun Belt markets. City Office currently owns or has a controlling interest in 4.2 million square feet of office properties. The Company has elected to be taxed as a real estate investment trust for U.S.

Full company description

City Office REIT is an internally-managed real estate company focused on acquiring, owning and operating office properties located predominantly in Sun Belt markets. City Office currently owns or has a controlling interest in 4.2 million square feet of office properties. The Company has elected to be taxed as a real estate investment trust for U.S. federal income tax purposes.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years

City Office reported revenue of $171M in FY2024 versus $161M in FY2020, a compound +1.6%/yr. Reported net income was −$17.7M in FY2024.

Growth Quality 24/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2024)
$171M
Latest YoY
−4.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (13Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+25.2%
EBIT margin (trend) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
18.4% (2019) → 10.9% (2024)
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2024 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue +1.6%/yr
FY20 $161M
FY21 $164M
FY22 $180M
FY23 $179M
FY24 $171M
Net income
FY20 −$21.8M
FY21 $484M
FY22 $25.2M
FY23 −$2.7M
FY24 −$17.7M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "City Office Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CIO.US

Peer Group

REIT - Office · 68 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside +133% · Top 25%
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −74% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 20% · Below median
Revenue growth −12% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.3% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.53× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Office median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.38× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.72× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 4.8× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 7.9× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 19
FUTURE0 · sector 0
PAST0 · sector 11
HEALTH73 · sector 65
DIVIDEND86 · sector 100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more REIT - Office stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 3, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
MERLIN Properties SOCIMI, S.A MRL €13.51 €5.66 −58%
BXP, Inc BXP $67.95 $53.27 −22%
Vornado Realty Trust VNORP $51.00 $40.45 −21%
Alexandria Real Estate Equities, Inc ARE $51.63 $58.69 +14%
Gecina GFC €67.25 €75.35 +12%
Hudson Pacific Properties, Inc HPP $12.74 $3.81 −70%
Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust N2IU 1.27 SGD 1.14 SGD −10%
Cousins Properties Incorporated CUZ $29.25 $17.46 −40%
EMBASSYRR EMBASSYRR ₹449.01 ₹134.34 −70%
Embassy Office Parks REIT owns, EMBASSY ₹435.90 ₹141.82 −67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is City Office (CIO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.2115 versus the last price from May 29, 2026 of $0.0900, about +135% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CIO?
Our model-based fair value for City Office is $0.2115 (as of Sep 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from May 29, 2026): $0.0900.
What is the quality score of CIO?
City Office has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for City Office (CIO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.2115 (as of Sep 3, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.1152, optimistic scenario $0.3078. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the City Office stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.2115, about +135% upside versus the last price from May 29, 2026 of $0.0900 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.1152, optimistic scenario $0.3078. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of City Office (CIO)?
City Office reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $164M (latest available figure, as of Sep 3, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CIO?
The net profit margin of City Office is about −74.2%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does City Office pay a dividend?
City Office currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.29% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 3, 2026).
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