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Cipla Limited (CIPLA) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · IN · Market cap ₹1.2T

CL Cipla Limited CIPLA · BSE
Price₹1,416
Fair Value₹580.52
Upside-59.0%
Quality54/100
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Expensive Growth
Solidly profitable · 16.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Moderate moat 62/100
Evidence: High Range ₹360.20 – ₹926.97 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 20, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated today

Share price −1.8% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 59% overvalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹926.97). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (₹360.20 to ₹926.97) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹1,648 ₹825.02 Fair Value ₹580.52 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹825.02 – ₹1,648 · fair‑value band ₹360.20 – ₹926.97 · the ₹1,416 price screens above the ₹580.52 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

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Analysis

Cipla Limited (CIPLA) currently trades at ₹1,416, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹580.52, implying the stock looks roughly 59.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Cipla Limited generated revenue of ₹280B at a net margin of 16.3%. It earns a return on equity of 17.7%. Net debt stands at ₹1.5B. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 25.2. Fundamentals as of Aug 20, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹360.20 (bear case) to ₹926.97 (bull case); at ₹1,416, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -20% fair-value upside, at -59%, CIPLA screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ₹143.04 ₹214.39 ₹323.08 80
Residual Income ₹393.53 ₹462.04 ₹915.66 76
Rev-Margin DCF ₹404.23 ₹713.52 ₹1,071 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ₹140.68 ₹221.50 ₹352.97 38
Owner Earnings ₹294.61 ₹471.48 ₹759.18 31
5Y Revenue Exit ₹404.23 ₹722.47 ₹1,140 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ₹515.50 ₹933.12 ₹1,431 41
5Y P/E Exit ₹528.48 ₹957.69 ₹1,418 38
10Y Revenue Exit ₹294.58 ₹569.19 ₹957.80 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ₹385.13 ₹719.80 ₹1,188 37
10Y P/E Exit ₹393.63 ₹737.37 ₹1,177 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹326.56 ₹1,074 ₹1,437 54
Lynch FV ₹241.70 ₹345.29 ₹448.87 50
PEG = 1.0 ₹241.70 ₹345.29 ₹448.87 46
EPV ₹495.41 ₹580.86 ₹656.82 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹792.38 ₹1,057 ₹1,321 63
P/S Multiple ₹612.30 ₹816.40 ₹1,021 58
P/B Multiple ₹612.30 ₹816.40 ₹1,021 55
EV/EBIT ₹775.97 ₹1,031 ₹1,286 53
EV/EBITDA ₹781.85 ₹1,039 ₹1,296 54
EV/Revenue ₹557.02 ₹790.96 ₹1,025 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹213.13 ₹285.59 ₹426.25 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹143.04 ₹214.39 ₹323.08 80
Rev-Margin DCF ₹404.23 ₹713.52 ₹1,071 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹393.53 ₹462.04 ₹915.66 76
ROIC Compounder ₹515.30 ₹668.61 ₹869.98 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹664.65 ₹949.49 ₹1,234 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (₹949.49) versus Growth DCF (₹214.39). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹280B
Net margin 16.3%
Return on equity 17.7%
Free cash flow ₹8.6B FY2026
P/E ratio 25.2
Operating margin 14.0%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ₹56.20
EPS growth (YoY) -57.0%
Net debt ₹1.5B FY2022

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 57

Profitability 57
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 29
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 29
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 82
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 39
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 93
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 43
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 41
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Cipla Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture, development, sale, and distribution of pharmaceutical products in India, the United States, South Africa, and internationally. The company operates through Pharmaceuticals and New Ventures segments.

Full company description

Cipla Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture, development, sale, and distribution of pharmaceutical products in India, the United States, South Africa, and internationally. The company operates through Pharmaceuticals and New Ventures segments. It offers generic and branded generic medicines, vaccines, active pharmaceutical ingredients, and formulations for various therapeutic areas, such as MI, angina, heart disease, pulmonary disease, kidney failure, Alzheimer's disease, hypertension, arrhythmia, lipid abnormalities and diabetes, obesity, central nervous system, HIV/AIDS, respiratory, asthma, urology, oncology, cardio-metabolism, child health, infectious diseases and critical care, hepatitis, women's health, ophthalmology, and neuro psychiatry. The company is also involved in the consumer healthcare, biosimilars, and specialty businesses. Cipla Limited was incorporated in 1935 and is based in Mumbai, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Cipla Limited reported revenue of ₹277B in FY2026 versus ₹218B in FY2022, a compound +6.2%/yr. Reported net income was ₹38.8B in FY2026, compounding +11.4%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹277B
Latest YoY
+0.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.7%
Avg. growth/yr (9Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.4%
Revenue +6.2%/yr
FY22 ₹218B
FY23 ₹228B
FY24 ₹258B
FY25 ₹275B
FY26 ₹277B
Net income +11.4%/yr
FY22 ₹25.2B
FY23 ₹28.0B
FY24 ₹41.2B
FY25 ₹52.7B
FY26 ₹38.8B

CIPLA screens 59% overvalued. Compare with Eli Lilly and Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Cipla Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CIPLA.BSE

Peer Group

Drug Manufacturers - General · 76 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 54 · Below median
Fair Value upside +27% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 18% · Above median
Return on assets 10% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 16% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 14% · Below median
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.1% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Drug Manufacturers - General median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 25.2× · Pricier than median
P/B 3.36× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 4.14× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 1.4× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 18.0× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.05× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Drug Manufacturers - General stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 20, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Eli Lilly and Company LLY $1,220 $389.47 -68%
Johnson & Johnson, JNJ $260.86 $169.04 -35%
AbbVie Inc ABBV $248.76 $67.72 -73%
Roche Holding 1RO €392.80 €240.14 -39%
Merck & Co MRK €115.42 €118.21 +2%
Novartis AG NVSN 2,742 MXN 1,964 MXN -28%
AstraZeneca PLC AZN $158.50 $127.32 -20%
Novo Nordisk A/S NOVOB kr 296.35 kr 409.46 +38%
Sanofi SNYN 770.00 MXN 1,041 MXN +35%
GSK plc GSKN 917.00 MXN 879.08 MXN -4%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Cipla Limited (CIPLA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 20, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹580.52 versus a price of ₹1,416, about −59% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CIPLA?
Our model-based fair value for Cipla Limited is ₹580.52 (as of Aug 20, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹1,416.
What is the quality score of CIPLA?
Cipla Limited has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Cipla Limited (CIPLA)?
Cipla Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹280B (latest available figure, as of Aug 20, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CIPLA?
The net profit margin of Cipla Limited is about 16.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 16.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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