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China Steel Corporation (CISXF) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $11.4B

CS China Steel Corporation logo China Steel Corporation CISXF · US
Price from Aug 14, 2026$14.90
Fair Value$5.15
Upside-65.4%
Quality43/100
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Strengths

Moderate debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Trades 65% ABOVE our fair value of $5.15
!Weak Growth
!Loss-making · -2.3% net margin
!Trails peers (2/14)
Weak Growth
Loss-making · -2.3% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
1.01% dividend yield
Trails peers (2/14)
Narrow moat 17/100
Evidence: Medium Range $2.20 – $8.10 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 14, 2026

From 12 valuation models · updated 7 days ago

Below-average quality, and screening another 65% overvalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($8.10). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The model range is unusually wide ($2.20 to $8.10). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$27.94 $10.66 Fair Value $5.15 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $10.66 – $27.94 · fair‑value band $2.20 – $8.10 · the $14.90 price screens above the $5.15 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.

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Analysis

China Steel Corporation (CISXF) currently trades at $14.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $5.15, implying the stock looks roughly 65.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, China Steel Corporation generated revenue of $313B at a net margin of -2.3%. Revenue declined 4.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -1.8%. Net debt stands at $250B. Fundamentals as of Aug 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $2.20 (bear case) to $8.10 (bull case); at $14.90, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -65%, CISXF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $17.14 $122.34 80
Rev-Margin DCF $4.45 $90.85 74
Gordon GGM $62.95 $68.90 $77.97 70
All 12 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $11.49 $128.85 38
5Y Revenue Exit $0.6600 $97.40 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $111.98 $262.46 41
10Y Revenue Exit $38.18 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $53.35 $135.08 37
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $62.95 $68.90 $77.97 70
DDM Multi-Stage $62.95 $78.98 $101.45 61
Multiples
EV/EBITDA $70.89 $165.60 $260.31 54
EV/Revenue $2.64 $67.40 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $191.46 $256.55 $382.92 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $17.14 $122.34 80
Rev-Margin DCF $4.45 $90.85 74

Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($256.55) versus Multiples ($2.64). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $313B
Revenue growth (YoY) -4.8%
Net margin -2.3%
Return on equity -1.8%
Free cash flow $12.7B FY2025
P/E ratio 106.2
More key figures
Operating margin -0.8%
EPS (TTM) $0.1400
Dividend yield 1.0%
EPS growth (YoY) -62.3%
Net debt $250B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53

Profitability 13
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 26
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 28
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 32
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 85
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 41
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 20
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

China Steel Corporation manufactures and sells steel products in Taiwan, Vietnam, Malaysia, China, India, and internationally.

Full company description

China Steel Corporation manufactures and sells steel products in Taiwan, Vietnam, Malaysia, China, India, and internationally. It offers steel plates primarily for use in construction structures, shipbuilding, bridge beams, oil country tabular goods, machine structures, pressure vessels, and in climate/corrosion-resistant steel plates; steel bars and wire rods for applications in general and machine structures, cold and hot forging, hard drawn steel wires, and welding electrodes; and hot-rolled coils and sheets that are used in automobile chassis, bridge beams, construction, road guardrails, steel pipes, pressure vessels, and landscaping. The company also provides cold-rolled coils for use in automobile stamping parts and home electronics products; parts requiring high-level forming, such as automobile and scooter components; a variety of PSE and structural reinforcement parts; and products requiring surface coating treatment comprising painting, electroplating, and the application of adhesive surfaces. In addition, it offers mechanical, communications, and electrical engineering services; generates solar and offshore wind power; general investment; raw materials shipping and management, and ship chartering; business management and management consulting; on-site and systematic security; technical; firefighting and mechatronic engineering; software design and digital information supply; and ERP systems automation control systems services. Further, the company engages in the wholesale of computer software; production and sale of aluminum and non-ferrous metal products, as well as industrial magnetic, chemical, and iron oxides; development and lease of real estate; buying, selling, and acting as an agency for steel products; and manufacturing and trading of electronic ceramics, and aeronautical or marine life saving products. China Steel Corporation was incorporated in 1971 and is headquartered in Kaohsiung, Taiwan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

China Steel Corporation reported revenue of $319B in FY2025 versus $468B in FY2021, a compound −9.2%/yr. Reported net income was −$4.4B in FY2025.

Growth Quality 24/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$319B
Latest YoY
−11.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−10.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.3%
Avg. growth/yr (19Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.7%
Revenue −9.2%/yr
FY21 $468B
FY22 $450B
FY23 $363B
FY24 $361B
FY25 $319B
Net income
FY21 $62.1B
FY22 $17.8B
FY23 $1.7B
FY24 $2.0B
FY25 −$4.4B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −22.0 % p.a.
Revenue per share +1.8 pp

of which total revenue +1.7 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.1 pp

EBIT margin −22.9 pp
Tax rate −2.5 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +1.6 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

CISXF screens 65% overvalued. Compare with JSW Steel Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China Steel Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CISXF

Peer Group

Steel · 385 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 43 · Below median
Fair Value upside −65% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -1% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -5% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.0% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.63× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Steel median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 106.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.04× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.9× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 6.9× · Cheaper than median
PEG 8.91× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 17
FUTURE0 · sector 2
PAST0 · sector 16
HEALTH69 · sector 95
DIVIDEND20 · sector 48

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 14, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL ₹1,296 ₹1,119 -14%
Tata Steel Limited TATASTEEL ₹186.20 ₹145.39 -22%
POSCO Holdings 005490 325,000 KRW 155,270 KRW -52%
Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional, SID 13,670 ARS 15,838 ARS +16%
Jindal Steel & Power Limited JINDALSTEL ₹1,114 ₹429.44 -61%
Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited LLOYDSME ₹1,891 ₹793.69 -58%
Gerdau S.A GGBN 83.50 MXN 39.22 MXN -53%
Ternium S.A TXR 17,780 ARS 27,472 ARS +55%
NMDC Limited NMDC ₹85.00 ₹112.98 +33%
Jindal Stainless Limited JSL ₹735.40 ₹552.30 -25%

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Frequently asked questions

Is China Steel Corporation (CISXF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $5.15 versus the last price from Aug 14, 2026 of $14.90, about −65% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CISXF?
Our model-based fair value for China Steel Corporation is $5.15 (as of Aug 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Aug 14, 2026): $14.90.
What is the quality score of CISXF?
China Steel Corporation has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of China Steel Corporation (CISXF)?
China Steel Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $313B (latest available figure, as of Aug 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CISXF?
The net profit margin of China Steel Corporation is about -2.3%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does China Steel Corporation pay a dividend?
China Steel Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.01% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 14, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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