Cita Mineral Investindo Tbk PT (CITA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Cita Mineral Investindo Tbk PT IDR 3,817, price IDR 3,480, upside +9.7%, quality 59 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 1,467 IDR – 4,945 IDR · fair‑value band 2,772 IDR – 6,707 IDR · the 3,480 IDR price screens below the 3,817 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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PT Cita Mineral Investindo Tbk engages in bauxite mining activities in Indonesia. It processes raw bauxite and produces metallurgical grade bauxite. The company was formerly known as PT Cipta Panel Utama Tbk and changed its name to PT Cita Mineral Investindo Tbk in May 2007. The company was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Jakarta Pusat, Indonesia.
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PT Cita Mineral Investindo Tbk engages in bauxite mining activities in Indonesia. It processes raw bauxite and produces metallurgical grade bauxite. The company was formerly known as PT Cipta Panel Utama Tbk and changed its name to PT Cita Mineral Investindo Tbk in May 2007. The company was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Jakarta Pusat, Indonesia. PT Cita Mineral Investindo Tbk operates as a subsidiary of PT Harita Jayaraya Inc.
Stock analysis
Cita Mineral Investindo Tbk PT (CITA) currently trades at 3,480 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3,817 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 8.8% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 26,085 IDR per share, and 12 of the 24 models we run sit above the 3,480 IDR price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 1,483 IDR, and 12 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 2,772 IDR (bear) to 6,707 IDR (bull), the price of 3,480 IDR sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Cita Mineral Investindo Tbk PT reported revenue of 2.7T IDR in FY2025 versus 4.6T IDR in FY2021, a compound −12.5%/yr. Reported net income was 2.4T IDR in FY2025, compounding +43.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 13.8T IDR (≈ $1.4B) · P/E ratio 8.3 · P/S ratio 7.43 · EPS (TTM) 417.89 IDR · Net margin 89.3% · Return on equity 18.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.5% · Operating margin 14.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 51 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 10%, CITA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 2,772 IDRFair Value 3,817 IDRBull 6,707 IDR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (305.87 IDR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.74/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in IDR (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+36.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+36.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.17% → 25%
2025 sits 152% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+22.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Indonesia: IMF forecast 2.6% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +19.2% a year for the price.
Compare Cita Mineral Investindo Tbk PT with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 458 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score59 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+10% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)19% · Top 25%
Return on assets4% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)58% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)15% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth26% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Cita Mineral Investindo Tbk PT Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CITA
Frequently asked questions
Is Cita Mineral Investindo Tbk PT (CITA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 3,817 IDR versus a price of 3,480 IDR, about +10% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of CITA?
Our model-based fair value for Cita Mineral Investindo Tbk PT is 3,817 IDR (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 3,480 IDR.
What is the quality score of CITA?
Cita Mineral Investindo Tbk PT has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Cita Mineral Investindo Tbk PT (CITA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 3,817 IDR (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 2,772 IDR, optimistic scenario 6,707 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Cita Mineral Investindo Tbk PT stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 3,817 IDR, about +10% upside versus a price of 3,480 IDR (fairly valued). Cautious scenario 2,772 IDR, optimistic scenario 6,707 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Cita Mineral Investindo Tbk PT (CITA)?
Cita Mineral Investindo Tbk PT reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.9T IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Cita Mineral Investindo Tbk PT (CITA)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Cita Mineral Investindo Tbk PT would have to grow free cash flow by +22.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -9.2 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CITA use?
Our models discount Cita Mineral Investindo Tbk PT at 11.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (mega), country premium for Indonesia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Cita Mineral Investindo Tbk PT that is +22.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Cita Mineral Investindo Tbk PT (CITA) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Cita Mineral Investindo Tbk PT grew -9.2 % a year. The price currently implies +22.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Cita Mineral Investindo Tbk PT (CITA) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Cita Mineral Investindo Tbk PT (+22.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Cita Mineral Investindo Tbk PT (CITA)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.72 %: that much free cash flow Cita Mineral Investindo Tbk PT produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Cita Mineral Investindo Tbk PT (CITA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Cita Mineral Investindo Tbk PT it is 3,817 IDR per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of 3,480 IDR. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Cita Mineral Investindo Tbk PT stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, CITA trades below its calculated fair value: price 3,480 IDR, fair value 3,817 IDR, a gap of about +10% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CITA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (3,480 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (3,817 IDR). For Cita Mineral Investindo Tbk PT the two are 337.00 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Cita Mineral Investindo Tbk PT worth?
The market values Cita Mineral Investindo Tbk PT at about 13.8T IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is 3,480 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 3,817 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CITA?
Our models span a range for Cita Mineral Investindo Tbk PT: cautious scenario 2,772 IDR, base 3,817 IDR, optimistic 6,707 IDR per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price 3,480 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CITA?
Cita Mineral Investindo Tbk PT trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 8.3 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 3,817 IDR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.6, P/S 4.8, EV/EBITDA 17.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Cita Mineral Investindo Tbk PT (CITA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Cita Mineral Investindo Tbk PT (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 18.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CITA from its 52-week high?
Cita Mineral Investindo Tbk PT trades at 3,480 IDR, about 30% below its 52-week high of 4,945 IDR and 30% above the low of 2,670 IDR (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 3,817 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Cita Mineral Investindo Tbk PT?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Vale S.A, Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, Fortescue Ltd, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Cita Mineral Investindo Tbk PT stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price 3,480 IDR, calculated fair value 3,817 IDR (+10%), Quality Score 59/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CITA calculated?
We run Cita Mineral Investindo Tbk PT through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 3,817 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Cita Mineral Investindo Tbk PT currently trades 10 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Cita Mineral Investindo Tbk PT (CITA)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 3,480 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 3,817 IDR, about +10% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Cita Mineral Investindo Tbk PT right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (2,772 IDR to 6,707 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Cita Mineral Investindo Tbk PT
How large is the market capitalisation of Cita Mineral Investindo Tbk PT (CITA)?
The market capitalisation of Cita Mineral Investindo Tbk PT is 13.8T IDR (≈ $1.4B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Cita Mineral Investindo Tbk PT (CITA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Cita Mineral Investindo Tbk PT is 7.43 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Cita Mineral Investindo Tbk PT (CITA)?
Earnings per share at Cita Mineral Investindo Tbk PT are 417.89 IDR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 8.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Cita Mineral Investindo Tbk PT (CITA)?
The net margin of Cita Mineral Investindo Tbk PT is 89.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Cita Mineral Investindo Tbk PT (CITA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Cita Mineral Investindo Tbk PT is 18.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Cita Mineral Investindo Tbk PT (CITA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Cita Mineral Investindo Tbk PT is 6.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Cita Mineral Investindo Tbk PT (CITA)?
The operating margin of Cita Mineral Investindo Tbk PT is 14.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Cita Mineral Investindo Tbk PT (CITA)?
Revenue at Cita Mineral Investindo Tbk PT is growing +26.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −22.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Cita Mineral Investindo Tbk PT (CITA)?
Earnings per share at Cita Mineral Investindo Tbk PT are growing −72.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Cita Mineral Investindo Tbk PT (CITA) hold?
Cita Mineral Investindo Tbk PT holds more cash than debt, 1.4T IDR net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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