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Cmb.Tech NV (CMBT) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · US · Market cap $4.5B

CT Cmb.Tech NV logo Cmb.Tech NV CMBT · US
Price$16.29
Fair Value$6.59
Upside-59.6%
Quality29/100
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Expensive Growth
Highly profitable · 24.9% net margin
High debt · negative free cash flow
5.14% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
Wide moat 72/100
Evidence: High Range $4.94 – $8.24 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Share price +5.1% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 60% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($8.24). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (29/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$16.66 $4.43 Fair Value $6.59 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $4.43 – $16.66 · fair‑value band $4.94 – $8.24 · the $16.29 price screens above the $6.59 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

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Analysis

Cmb.Tech NV (CMBT) currently trades at $16.29, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.59, implying the stock looks roughly 59.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Cmb.Tech NV generated revenue of $2.0B at a net margin of 24.9%. Revenue grew 121.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.8%. Net debt stands at $5.4B. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $4.94 (bear case) to $8.24 (bull case); at $16.29, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 125% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -35% fair-value upside, at -60%, CMBT screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $7.01 $7.18 $7.16 76
Gordon GGM $0.6300 $1.27 $1.92 70
Growth-Adj P/E $6.97 $9.96 $12.95 68
All 13 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $3.77 $20.73 $28.76 54
Lynch FV $5.77 $8.25 $10.72 50
PEG = 1.0 $5.77 $8.25 $10.72 46
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.6300 $1.27 $1.92 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.6300 $1.09 $1.34 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $5.81 $7.75 $9.69 63
P/S Multiple $5.17 $6.89 $8.61 58
P/B Multiple $7.06 $9.41 $11.77 55
EV/EBIT $0.1900 53
EV/EBITDA $0.2500 $4.25 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $4.52 $6.06 $9.04 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $7.01 $7.18 $7.16 76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $6.97 $9.96 $12.95 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($9.96) versus Dividend Discount ($1.09). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $2.0B
Revenue growth (YoY) +121%
Net margin 24.9%
Return on equity 16.8%
Free cash flow −$628M FY2025
P/E ratio 8.8
More key figures
Operating margin 33.0%
EPS (TTM) $1.74
Dividend yield 5.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +461%
Net debt $5.4B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 29/100

Of which business quality 27 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 84

Profitability 24
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 32
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 48
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 12
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 23
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 70
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 85
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 99
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 19
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Cmb.Tech NV engages in marine transportation business in Belgium. It operates through three divisions: Marine, H2 Infra, and H2 Industry.

Full company description

Cmb.Tech NV engages in marine transportation business in Belgium. It operates through three divisions: Marine, H2 Infra, and H2 Industry. The Marine division designs, builds, owns, and operates various low and zero carbon ships and vessels, such as crew transfer vessels, ferries, commissioning service operations vessels, tugboats, ammonia-powered large bulk carriers, container ships, and chemical and crude oil tankers. The H2 Infra division develops and secures green molecule supplies; and produces and distributes green hydrogen and ammonia. The H2 Industry division provides scalable dual-fuel industrial applications. The company was formerly known as Euronav NV and changed its name to Cmb.Tech NV in October 2024. Cmb.Tech NV was founded in 1989 and is headquartered in Antwerp, Belgium. Cmb.Tech NV is a subsidiary of CMB NV.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Cmb.Tech NV reported revenue of $1.7B in FY2025 versus $420M in FY2021, a compound +41.1%/yr. Reported net income was $161M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.7B
Latest YoY
+77.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+24.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+6.2%
Avg. growth/yr (23Y)
+3.0%
Revenue +41.1%/yr
FY21 $420M
FY22 $870M
FY23 $1.2B
FY24 $940M
FY25 $1.7B
Net income
FY21 −$339M
FY22 $203M
FY23 $858M
FY24 $871M
FY25 $161M

CMBT screens 60% overvalued. Compare with Enbridge Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Cmb.Tech NV Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CMBT

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Oil & Gas Midstream · 87 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 29 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −60% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 17% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 25% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 33% · Above median
Revenue growth 121% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.1% · Above median
Debt / equity 1.80× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Midstream median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 8.9× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.72× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 2.32× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 9.9× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 41
PAST 67 · sector 41
HEALTH 10 · sector 54
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 99

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas Midstream stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Enbridge Inc ENB $56.46 $47.20 -16%
The Williams Companies, Inc WMB $73.38 $12.03 -84%
Enterprise Products Partners L.P. EPD $38.31 $24.74 -35%
TC Energy Corporation TRP C$97.79 C$42.00 -57%
Kinder Morgan, Inc KMI $32.54 $11.12 -66%
Energy Transfer LP, ET $19.91 $17.69 -11%
ONEOK, Inc OKE $93.52 $64.05 -32%
Targa Resources Corp TRGP $273.35 $79.61 -71%
MPLX LP owns and MPLX $57.17 $37.05 -35%
Cheniere Energy, Inc LNG $255.83 $211.18 -17%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Cmb.Tech NV (CMBT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $6.59 versus a price of $16.29, about −60% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CMBT?
Our model-based fair value for Cmb.Tech NV is $6.59 (as of Jul 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $16.29.
What is the quality score of CMBT?
Cmb.Tech NV has a Quality Score of 29/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Cmb.Tech NV (CMBT)?
Cmb.Tech NV reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.0B (latest available figure, as of Jul 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CMBT?
The net profit margin of Cmb.Tech NV is about 24.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 24.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Cmb.Tech NV pay a dividend?
Cmb.Tech NV currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.21% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 14, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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