Columbus McKinnon Corporation (CMCO) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 21, 2026: fair value of Columbus McKinnon Corporation $3.11, price $15.53, upside -80.0%, quality 24 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $12.12 – $50.80 · fair‑value band $1.97 – $4.19 · the $15.53 price screens above the $3.11 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Columbus McKinnon Corporation designs, manufactures, and markets motion solutions for moving, lifting, positioning, and securing materials worldwide.
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Columbus McKinnon Corporation designs, manufactures, and markets motion solutions for moving, lifting, positioning, and securing materials worldwide. It offers manual and electric chain hoists, electric wire rope hoists, hand-operated hoists, winches, lever tools, and air-powered hoists, as well as explosion-protected and custom engineered hoists; high-precision conveying systems solutions which includes low profile, flexible chain, large scale, sanitary, and vertical elevation conveyor systems, as well as pallet system conveyors and accumulation systems; and power control and delivery systems and solutions. The company also provides AC and DC digital motion control systems for underground coal mining equipment; alloy and carbon steel chain; load chain; hooks, shackles, Hammerloks, and master links; and carbon steel forged and stamped products, such as load binders, logging tools, and other securing devices. In addition, it designs and manufactures industrial components comprising mechanical and electromechanical actuators and rotary unions; and manufactures and markets aluminum light rail workstations, as well as crane components and crane kits. Further, the company designs, builds, sells, and supports elevator application-specific drive products. It serves EV production and aerospace, energy and utilities, process industries, industrial automation, construction and infrastructure, food and beverage, entertainment, life sciences, consumer packaged goods, e-commerce, supply chain, and warehousing markets. The company offers its products to end users directly; industrial distributors, including rigging shops and independent crane builders; material handling specialists and integrators, and entertainment equipment distributors; service-after-sale distributors; original equipment manufacturers; government agencies; and engineering procurement and construction firms. Columbus McKinnon Corporation was founded in 1875 and is based in Charlotte, North Carolina.
Stock analysis
Columbus McKinnon Corporation (CMCO) currently trades at $15.53, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.11, implying the stock looks roughly 399.3% overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 3 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: $1.97 (bear) to $4.19 (bull), the price of $15.53 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 24/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Columbus McKinnon Corporation reported revenue of $1.2B in FY2026 versus $907M in FY2022, a compound +7.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$230M in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap $446M · P/S ratio 0.35 · EPS (TTM) $−7.40 · Dividend yield 1.8% · Net margin −19.2% · Return on equity −19.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.7% · Operating margin 5.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 4% fair-value upside, at −80%, CMCO screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $1.97Fair Value $3.11Bull $4.19
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.42/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+23.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.9%
Revenue growth 30 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.0%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
6.5% (2021) → −1.9% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Columbus McKinnon Corporation with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · 154 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score24 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−84% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)−19% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)6% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth77% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)1.8% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.53× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.29× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)0.36× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA16.3× · Priciest 25%
PEG0.46× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 36
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 29
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 32
HEALTH (low debt)24· sector 93
DIVIDEND (yield)36· sector 39
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Columbus McKinnon Corporation (CMCO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $3.11 versus a price of $15.53, about −80% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CMCO?
Our model-based fair value for Columbus McKinnon Corporation is $3.11 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $15.53.
What is the quality score of CMCO?
Columbus McKinnon Corporation has a Quality Score of 24/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Columbus McKinnon Corporation (CMCO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $3.11 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.97, optimistic scenario $4.19. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Columbus McKinnon Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $3.11, about −80% upside versus a price of $15.53 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $1.97, optimistic scenario $4.19. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Columbus McKinnon Corporation (CMCO)?
Columbus McKinnon Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.2B (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does Columbus McKinnon Corporation pay a dividend?
Columbus McKinnon Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.80% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Columbus McKinnon Corporation (CMCO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Columbus McKinnon Corporation it is $3.11 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of $15.53. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Columbus McKinnon Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, CMCO trades above its calculated fair value: price $15.53, fair value $3.11, a gap of about −80% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CMCO?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($15.53); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($3.11). For Columbus McKinnon Corporation the two are $12.42 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Columbus McKinnon Corporation worth?
The market values Columbus McKinnon Corporation at about $446M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is $15.53; our models calculate a fair value of $3.11 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CMCO?
Our models span a range for Columbus McKinnon Corporation: cautious scenario $1.97, base $3.11, optimistic $4.19 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price $15.53). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of CMCO?
The PEG ratio of Columbus McKinnon Corporation is 0.46 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 13, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Columbus McKinnon Corporation (CMCO)?
Balance-sheet figures for Columbus McKinnon Corporation (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity −19.7%, debt of 1.53 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 24/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CMCO from its 52-week high?
Columbus McKinnon Corporation trades at $15.53, about 36% below its 52-week high of $24.21 and 30% above the low of $11.99 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $3.11 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Columbus McKinnon Corporation?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Caterpillar Inc, Deere & Company, AB Volvo (publ),, PACCAR Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Columbus McKinnon Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price $15.53, calculated fair value $3.11 (−80%), Quality Score 24/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CMCO calculated?
We run Columbus McKinnon Corporation through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $3.11, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Columbus McKinnon Corporation itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Columbus McKinnon Corporation (CMCO)?
The closing price on Sep 21, 2026 was $15.53. Our model-based fair value is $3.11, about −80% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Columbus McKinnon Corporation right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($4.19). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (24/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($1.97 to $4.19) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Columbus McKinnon Corporation
How large is the market capitalisation of Columbus McKinnon Corporation (CMCO)?
The market capitalisation of Columbus McKinnon Corporation is $446M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Columbus McKinnon Corporation (CMCO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Columbus McKinnon Corporation is 0.35 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Columbus McKinnon Corporation (CMCO)?
Earnings per share at Columbus McKinnon Corporation are $−7.40. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Columbus McKinnon Corporation (CMCO)?
The dividend yield of Columbus McKinnon Corporation is 1.8%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Columbus McKinnon Corporation (CMCO)?
The net margin of Columbus McKinnon Corporation is −19.2% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Columbus McKinnon Corporation (CMCO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Columbus McKinnon Corporation is −19.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Columbus McKinnon Corporation (CMCO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Columbus McKinnon Corporation is 3.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Columbus McKinnon Corporation (CMCO)?
The operating margin of Columbus McKinnon Corporation is 5.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Columbus McKinnon Corporation (CMCO)?
Revenue at Columbus McKinnon Corporation is growing +77.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +8.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Columbus McKinnon Corporation (CMCO)?
Earnings per share at Columbus McKinnon Corporation are growing +50.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Columbus McKinnon Corporation (CMCO) generate?
The free cash flow of Columbus McKinnon Corporation is −$164M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Columbus McKinnon Corporation (CMCO) carry?
The net debt of Columbus McKinnon Corporation is $2.3B (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Sep 13, 2026