Corporación Moctezuma S.A.B. de C.V (CMOCTEZ) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Corporación Moctezuma S.A.B. de C.V MXN 96.42, price MXN 85.12, upside +13.3%, quality 77 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 42.18 MXN – 86.90 MXN · fair‑value band 65.35 MXN – 142.55 MXN · the 85.12 MXN price screens below the 96.42 MXN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Corporación Moctezuma, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production, distribution, and sale of Portland cement, mortar, white cement, ready-mixed concrete and aggregates in Mexico.
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Corporación Moctezuma, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production, distribution, and sale of Portland cement, mortar, white cement, ready-mixed concrete and aggregates in Mexico. The company provides composite Portland cement and mortar cement for masonry; and line, architectural, flexion, high performance, sustainable, intelligent, balance, stuffed, marine, durable, mortar, and launched concrete products. It sells its products under the Moctezuma and Concretos Moctezuma brands. The company was founded in 1943 and is based in Mexico City, Mexico. Corporación Moctezuma, S.A.B. de C.V. operates as a subsidiary of Fresit B.V.
Stock analysis
Corporación Moctezuma S.A.B. de C.V (CMOCTEZ) currently trades at 85.12 MXN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 96.42 MXN, implying the stock looks roughly 11.7% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 136.03 MXN per share, and 14 of the 24 models we run sit above the 85.12 MXN price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 12.79 MXN, and 10 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: 65.35 MXN (bear) to 142.55 MXN (bull), the price of 85.12 MXN sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 77/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Corporación Moctezuma S.A.B. de C.V reported revenue of 20.4B MXN in FY2025 versus 15.9B MXN in FY2021, a compound +6.5%/yr. Reported net income was 6.3B MXN in FY2025, compounding +8.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 72.4B MXN (≈ $4.1B) · P/E ratio 11.1 · P/S ratio 3.42 · EPS (TTM) 7.65 MXN · Net margin 30.7% · Return on equity 37.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 44.4% · Operating margin 45.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 51 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −47% fair-value upside, at 13%, CMOCTEZ screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 65.35 MXNFair Value 96.42 MXNBull 142.55 MXN
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (5.60 MXN per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.85/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+2.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +6.3% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.4%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in MXN ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in MXN: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+8.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+8.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.42% → 42%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+0.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Mexico: IMF forecast 3.3% a year to 2030, 4.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −3.1% a year for the price.
Compare Corporación Moctezuma S.A.B. de C.V with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Building Materials · 256 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score77 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+13% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)37% · Top 25%
Return on assets26% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)31% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)45% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth16% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Building Materials median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Corporación Moctezuma S.A.B. de C.V Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CMOCTEZ
Frequently asked questions
Is Corporación Moctezuma S.A.B. de C.V (CMOCTEZ) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 96.42 MXN versus a price of 85.12 MXN, about +13% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CMOCTEZ?
Our model-based fair value for Corporación Moctezuma S.A.B. de C.V is 96.42 MXN (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 85.12 MXN.
What is the quality score of CMOCTEZ?
Corporación Moctezuma S.A.B. de C.V has a Quality Score of 77/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Corporación Moctezuma S.A.B. de C.V (CMOCTEZ)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 96.42 MXN (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 65.35 MXN, optimistic scenario 142.55 MXN. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Corporación Moctezuma S.A.B. de C.V stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 96.42 MXN, about +13% upside versus a price of 85.12 MXN (undervalued). Cautious scenario 65.35 MXN, optimistic scenario 142.55 MXN. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Corporación Moctezuma S.A.B. de C.V (CMOCTEZ)?
Corporación Moctezuma S.A.B. de C.V reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 21.2B MXN (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Corporación Moctezuma S.A.B. de C.V (CMOCTEZ)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Corporación Moctezuma S.A.B. de C.V would have to grow free cash flow by +0.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +7.7 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CMOCTEZ use?
Our models discount Corporación Moctezuma S.A.B. de C.V at 10.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.13, country premium for Mexico. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Corporación Moctezuma S.A.B. de C.V that is +0.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Corporación Moctezuma S.A.B. de C.V (CMOCTEZ) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Corporación Moctezuma S.A.B. de C.V grew +7.7 % a year. The price currently implies +0.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Corporación Moctezuma S.A.B. de C.V (CMOCTEZ) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Corporación Moctezuma S.A.B. de C.V (+0.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Corporación Moctezuma S.A.B. de C.V (CMOCTEZ)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 7.79 %: that much free cash flow Corporación Moctezuma S.A.B. de C.V produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Corporación Moctezuma S.A.B. de C.V (CMOCTEZ)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Corporación Moctezuma S.A.B. de C.V it is 96.42 MXN per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 85.12 MXN. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Corporación Moctezuma S.A.B. de C.V stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, CMOCTEZ trades below its calculated fair value: price 85.12 MXN, fair value 96.42 MXN, a gap of about +13% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CMOCTEZ?
No. The price is what the market pays today (85.12 MXN); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (96.42 MXN). For Corporación Moctezuma S.A.B. de C.V the two are 11.30 MXN per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Corporación Moctezuma S.A.B. de C.V worth?
The market values Corporación Moctezuma S.A.B. de C.V at about 72.4B MXN (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 85.12 MXN; our models calculate a fair value of 96.42 MXN per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CMOCTEZ?
Our models span a range for Corporación Moctezuma S.A.B. de C.V: cautious scenario 65.35 MXN, base 96.42 MXN, optimistic 142.55 MXN per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 85.12 MXN). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CMOCTEZ?
Corporación Moctezuma S.A.B. de C.V trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.1 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 96.42 MXN is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.6, P/B 4.5, P/S 3.4, EV/EBITDA 6.7.
What is the PEG ratio of CMOCTEZ?
The PEG ratio of Corporación Moctezuma S.A.B. de C.V is 0.63 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Corporación Moctezuma S.A.B. de C.V (CMOCTEZ)?
Balance-sheet figures for Corporación Moctezuma S.A.B. de C.V (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 37.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 77/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CMOCTEZ from its 52-week high?
Corporación Moctezuma S.A.B. de C.V trades at 85.12 MXN, about 2% below its 52-week high of 86.90 MXN and 15% above the low of 74.23 MXN (as of Sep 22, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 96.42 MXN is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Corporación Moctezuma S.A.B. de C.V?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value CRH plc, Holcim AG, Vulcan Materials Company, UltraTech Cement Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Corporación Moctezuma S.A.B. de C.V stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 85.12 MXN, calculated fair value 96.42 MXN (+13%), Quality Score 77/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CMOCTEZ calculated?
We run Corporación Moctezuma S.A.B. de C.V through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 96.42 MXN, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Corporación Moctezuma S.A.B. de C.V currently trades 13 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Corporación Moctezuma S.A.B. de C.V (CMOCTEZ)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was 85.12 MXN. Our model-based fair value is 96.42 MXN, about +13% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Corporación Moctezuma S.A.B. de C.V right now?
A fairly wide model range (65.35 MXN to 142.55 MXN) leaves room in how you read the outcome. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Key figures of Corporación Moctezuma S.A.B. de C.V
How large is the market capitalisation of Corporación Moctezuma S.A.B. de C.V (CMOCTEZ)?
The market capitalisation of Corporación Moctezuma S.A.B. de C.V is 72.4B MXN (≈ $4.1B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Corporación Moctezuma S.A.B. de C.V (CMOCTEZ)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Corporación Moctezuma S.A.B. de C.V is 3.42 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Corporación Moctezuma S.A.B. de C.V (CMOCTEZ)?
Earnings per share at Corporación Moctezuma S.A.B. de C.V are 7.65 MXN (price ÷ EPS = P/E 11.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Corporación Moctezuma S.A.B. de C.V (CMOCTEZ)?
The net margin of Corporación Moctezuma S.A.B. de C.V is 30.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Corporación Moctezuma S.A.B. de C.V (CMOCTEZ)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Corporación Moctezuma S.A.B. de C.V is 37.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Corporación Moctezuma S.A.B. de C.V (CMOCTEZ)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Corporación Moctezuma S.A.B. de C.V is 44.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Corporación Moctezuma S.A.B. de C.V (CMOCTEZ)?
The operating margin of Corporación Moctezuma S.A.B. de C.V is 45.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Corporación Moctezuma S.A.B. de C.V (CMOCTEZ)?
Revenue at Corporación Moctezuma S.A.B. de C.V is growing +16.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +7.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Corporación Moctezuma S.A.B. de C.V (CMOCTEZ)?
Earnings per share at Corporación Moctezuma S.A.B. de C.V are growing +15.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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