Corporación Moctezuma, S.A. (CMOCTEZ) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · MX · Market cap 72.1B MXN
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from 119.66 MXN to 96.42 MXN (−19.4%) since Jul 15, 2026. Share price +1.2% over the past month.
A strong business, screening 13% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Our model range runs from 73.76 MXN (bear) to 118.65 MXN (bull), base 96.42 MXN. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 77/100 (high quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 42.18 MXN – 85.00 MXN · fair‑value band 73.76 MXN – 118.65 MXN · the 85.00 MXN price screens below the 96.42 MXN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
Corporación Moctezuma, S.A. (CMOCTEZ) currently trades at 85.00 MXN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 96.42 MXN, implying the stock looks roughly 13.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 77/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Corporación Moctezuma, S.A. generated revenue of 21.2B MXN at a net margin of 30.7%. Revenue grew 16.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 37.3%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 10.5. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 73.76 MXN (bear case) to 118.65 MXN (bull case); at 85.00 MXN, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at 13%, CMOCTEZ screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (135.93 MXN) versus Asset-Based (12.79 MXN). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 77 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 71
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Corporación Moctezuma, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production, distribution, and sale of Portland cement, mortar, white cement, ready-mixed concrete and aggregates in Mexico.
Full company description
Corporación Moctezuma, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production, distribution, and sale of Portland cement, mortar, white cement, ready-mixed concrete and aggregates in Mexico. The company provides composite Portland cement and mortar cement for masonry; and line, architectural, flexion, high performance, sustainable, intelligent, balance, stuffed, marine, durable, mortar, and launched concrete products. It sells its products under the Moctezuma and Concretos Moctezuma brands. The company was founded in 1943 and is based in Mexico City, Mexico. Corporación Moctezuma, S.A.B. de C.V. operates as a subsidiary of Fresit B.V.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Corporación Moctezuma, S.A. reported revenue of 20.4B MXN in FY2025 versus 15.9B MXN in FY2021, a compound +6.5%/yr. Reported net income was 6.3B MXN in FY2025, compounding +8.4%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Building Materials · 254 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Building Materials median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Building Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| CRH plc CRH | $102.92 | $70.57 | -31% |
| UltraTech Cement Limited ULTRACEMCO | ₹11,711 | ₹4,719 | -60% |
| China Jushi Co 600176 | ¥54.52 | ¥13.95 | -74% |
| Grasim Industries Limited GRASIM | ₹3,073 | ₹1,245 | -59% |
| CEMEX, S.A. CEMEXCPO | 21.71 MXN | 15.42 MXN | -29% |
| Anhui Conch Cement Company 600585 | ¥16.99 | ¥26.14 | +54% |
| Ambuja Cements Limited AMBUJACEM | ₹435.25 | ₹227.96 | -48% |
| Shree Cement Limited SHREECEM | ₹26,930 | ₹8,215 | -69% |
| TCC Group 1101B | 43.70 TWD | 10.48 TWD | -76% |
| Taiwan Glass Ind. Corp 1802 | 53.30 TWD | 13.98 TWD | -74% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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