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Computershare Limited (CMSQF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Computershare Limited $20.17, price $29.54, upside -31.7%, quality 84 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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Broad data
Oct 3, 2026
Broad data
Oct 3, 2026
Computershare Limited
CMSQF · USGreat Company, Expensive PriceHigh Quality, but the stock trades above estimated Fair Value.
!Fair value $20.17 · Overvalued (−31.7%)
✓Quality 84/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +6.5 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 18.8% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
✓2.4% dividend yield · Sustainable
✓Wide moat 81/100
What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $4.51 – $31.83 · fair‑value band $10.23 – $28.76 · the $29.54 price screens above the $20.17 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
Company profile
Computershare Limited provides issuer, corporate trust, employee share plans and voucher, communication and utilities, technology and operations, and mortgage and property rental services.
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Computershare Limited provides issuer, corporate trust, employee share plans and voucher, communication and utilities, technology and operations, and mortgage and property rental services. It offers issuer services, including register maintenance, corporate actions, stakeholder relationship management, corporate governance, and related services; corporate trust comprises trust and agency services; mortgage and property rental services, including tenancy bond protection services; and employee share plans and voucher services comprising administration and related services for employee share and option plans, and childcare voucher administration services. The company also provides communication services and utilities operations consisting of document composition and printing, intelligent mailing, inbound process automation, scanning, and electronic delivery. In addition, it offers technology services, such as software solutions in share registry and financial services, and operations and shared services. The company operates in Asia, Australia, New Zealand, Canada, Continental Europe, the United Kingdom, the Channel Islands, Ireland, Africa, and the United States. Computershare Limited was incorporated in 1978 and is based in Abbotsford, Australia.
Stock analysis
Computershare Limited (CMSQF) currently trades at $29.54, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $20.17, 31.7% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $20.48 per share, and 1 of the 13 models we run sit above the $29.54 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $2.49, and 12 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $10.23 (bear) to $28.76 (bull), the price of $29.54 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 84/100 (high quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Computershare Limited reported revenue of $3.1B in FY2025 versus $2.3B in FY2021, a compound +8.1%/yr. Reported net income was $607M in FY2025, compounding +33.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $17.4B · P/E ratio 29.0 · P/S ratio 5.64 · EPS (TTM) $1.02 · Dividend yield 2.4% · Net margin 19.5% · Return on equity 28.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 64% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −15% fair-value upside, at −32%, CMSQF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $10.23
Fair Value $20.17
Bull $28.76
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.3220 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Growth DCF
$17.85
$29.98
$49.66
76
Owner Earnings
$16.68
$28.57
$48.08
74
Rev-Margin DCF
$10.43
$16.24
$23.43
72
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings
$16.68
$28.57
$48.08
74
5Y P/E Exit
$11.73
$18.70
$26.24
70
10Y P/E Exit
$13.67
$20.48
$29.25
64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$7.14
$28.12
$38.18
64
Lynch FV
$6.94
$9.92
$12.89
61
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
$4.61
$9.59
$15.21
66
DDM Multi-Stage
$4.61
$8.08
$10.06
66
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$10.23
$13.64
$17.05
63
P/B Multiple
$3.91
$5.21
$6.51
55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$1.86
$2.49
$3.72
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$17.85
$29.98
$49.66
76
Rev-Margin DCF
$10.43
$16.24
$23.43
72
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$6.27
$8.32
$15.53
72
Notify me when CMSQF reaches fair value
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
84/100
Of which business quality 77 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 67
Profitability
63
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
68
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
87
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
61
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
74
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
73
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
96
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
82/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.7% a year
Revenue growth 30 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+21.3%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
≈ +19.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+17.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.4%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.25.0% vs 15.2%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.17% → 29%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Rate on operating basis: 2025 sits 76% above its own trend.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+10.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+2.0%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +8.1% a year for the price and −0.4% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+2.0%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+2.0%
Projected 2028 (sales)+2.0%
Projected 2029 (sales)+2.0%
Projected 2030 (sales)+2.0%
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Context: sector, industry, market
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
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| Morgan Stanley, a financial holding company, MS | $188.08 | $314.07 | +67% |
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| The Charles Schwab Corporation SCHW | $97.74 | $118.07 | +21% |
| Interactive Brokers Group IBKR | $89.24 | $23.12 | −74% |
| Robinhood Markets, Inc HOOD | $116.22 | $47.77 | −59% |
| Macquarie Group MQG | A$245.63 | A$80.51 | −67% |
| CITIC Securities Company 600030 | ¥26.29 | ¥18.35 | −30% |
| Guotai Haitong Securities Co 601211 | ¥17.21 | ¥19.35 | +12% |
| East Money Information Co 300059 | ¥18.28 | ¥4.94 | −73% |
| Nomura Holdings NMR | $9.91 | $10.19 | +3% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Computershare Limited (CMSQF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $20.17 versus a price of $29.54, about −32% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CMSQF?
Our model-based fair value for Computershare Limited is $20.17 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $29.54.
What is the quality score of CMSQF?
Computershare Limited has a Quality Score of 84/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Computershare Limited (CMSQF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $20.17 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario $10.23, optimistic scenario $28.76. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Computershare Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $20.17, about −32% upside versus a price of $29.54 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $10.23, optimistic scenario $28.76. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Computershare Limited (CMSQF)?
Computershare Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $3.2B (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
Does Computershare Limited pay a dividend?
Computershare Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.36% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into Computershare Limited (CMSQF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Computershare Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +10.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +6.5 % per year. As of Oct 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CMSQF use?
Our models discount Computershare Limited at 9.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Computershare Limited that is +10.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Computershare Limited (CMSQF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Computershare Limited grew +6.5 % a year. The price currently implies +10.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Computershare Limited (CMSQF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Computershare Limited (+10.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Computershare Limited (CMSQF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.49 %: that much free cash flow Computershare Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Computershare Limited (CMSQF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Computershare Limited it is $20.17 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of $29.54. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Computershare Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, CMSQF trades above its calculated fair value: price $29.54, fair value $20.17, a gap of about −32% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CMSQF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($29.54); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($20.17). For Computershare Limited the two are $9.37 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Computershare Limited worth?
The market values Computershare Limited at about $17.4B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is $29.54; our models calculate a fair value of $20.17 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CMSQF?
Our models span a range for Computershare Limited: cautious scenario $10.23, base $20.17, optimistic $28.76 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price $29.54). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is CMSQF from its 52-week high?
Computershare Limited trades at $29.54, about 7% below its 52-week high of $31.83 and 64% above the low of $18.01 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $20.17 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Computershare Limited?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Morgan Stanley, a financial holding company,, The Goldman Sachs Group, The Charles Schwab Corporation, Interactive Brokers Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Computershare Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price $29.54, calculated fair value $20.17 (−32%), Quality Score 84/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CMSQF calculated?
We run Computershare Limited through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $20.17, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Computershare Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Computershare Limited (CMSQF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $29.54. Our model-based fair value is $20.17, about −32% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Computershare Limited right now?
A high-quality business (quality 84/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety. The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($28.76). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The model range is unusually wide ($10.23 to $28.76). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Where does the earnings growth of Computershare Limited (CMSQF) come from?
Earnings per share at Computershare Limited grew +11.4 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +3.8 %, EBIT margin +6.9 %, tax rate +1.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.6 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Computershare Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Computershare Limited (CMSQF)?
The market capitalisation of Computershare Limited is $17.4B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of Computershare Limited (CMSQF)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of Computershare Limited is 29.0. Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of Computershare Limited (CMSQF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Computershare Limited is 5.64 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Computershare Limited (CMSQF)?
Earnings per share at Computershare Limited are $1.02 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 29.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Computershare Limited (CMSQF)?
The dividend yield of Computershare Limited is 2.4% (payout 68.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Computershare Limited (CMSQF)?
The net margin of Computershare Limited is 19.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Computershare Limited (CMSQF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Computershare Limited is 28.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Computershare Limited (CMSQF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Computershare Limited is 8.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Computershare Limited (CMSQF)?
The operating margin of Computershare Limited is 26.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Computershare Limited (CMSQF)?
Revenue at Computershare Limited is growing +4.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Computershare Limited (CMSQF)?
Earnings per share at Computershare Limited are growing −1.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Computershare Limited (CMSQF) carry?
The net debt of Computershare Limited is $666M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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