Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group (CMTDF) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $26.4B

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

• The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
• For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $8.51 – $40.00 · fair‑value band $27.41 – $45.68 · the $40.00 price screens above the $36.54 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group (CMTDF) currently trades at $40.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $36.54, implying the stock looks roughly 8.7% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group generated revenue of $1.7T at a net margin of 19.0%. Revenue grew 25.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $3.3T. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $27.41 (bear case) to $45.68 (bull case); at $40.00, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 54% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at -9%, CMTDF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Multiples ($5,990) versus Asset-Based ($3,459). Highest evidence: P/E Multiple (63).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group, Inc. operates as a trust bank in Japan and internationally. It operates through Wealth Management Business, Corporate Business, Investor Services Business, Real Estate Business, Global Markets Business, and Asset Management Business segments.

Full company description

Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group, Inc. operates as a trust bank in Japan and internationally. It operates through Wealth Management Business, Corporate Business, Investor Services Business, Real Estate Business, Global Markets Business, and Asset Management Business segments. The company offers services to individuals, corporate, investors, as well as to real estate business. It is also involved in marketing, market-making, investment, financial management, and asset management services operations. In addition, the company supervises management strategies, financial management, human resource management, corporate administrative management, operational process management, risk management, and compliance management; and manages internal auditing. Further, it provides financing, stock transfer agency operations, and consulting services; real estate brokerage; consulting services related to development, effective utilization, construction, and ESG considerations, as well as real estate custody functions; and foreign exchange, interest rates, and derivative products and services. The company was formerly known as Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group, Inc. in October 2024. Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group, Inc. was founded in 1924 and is headquartered in Chiyoda, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group reported revenue of $3.0T in FY2026 versus $1.3T in FY2022, a compound +23.8%/yr. Reported net income was $320B in FY2026, compounding +17.3%/yr from FY2022.

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Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.