Coincheck Group N.V. (CNCK) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Coincheck Group N.V. $0.18, price $1.42, upside -87.3%, quality 35 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Watch Coincheck Group N.V. Ordinary Shares for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.Watch for freePro now: $1 first month
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 28, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1.40 – $13.88 · fair‑value band $0.1300 – $0.2600 · the $1.42 price screens above the $0.1800 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 28, 2026.
Follow Coincheck Group N.V. Ordinary Shares in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Coincheck Group N.V. Ordinary Shares is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Coincheck Group N.V. provides cryptocurrency exchange platform in Japan. It operates Coincheck NFT Marketplace that enables non-fungible tokens to be purchased. It trades in various cryptocurrencies, such as Bitcoin and Ethereum. The company was founded in 2012 and is based in Amsterdam, the Netherlands. Coincheck Group N.V.
Show more
Coincheck Group N.V. provides cryptocurrency exchange platform in Japan. It operates Coincheck NFT Marketplace that enables non-fungible tokens to be purchased. It trades in various cryptocurrencies, such as Bitcoin and Ethereum. The company was founded in 2012 and is based in Amsterdam, the Netherlands. Coincheck Group N.V. operates as a subsidiary of Monex Group, Inc.
Stock analysis
Coincheck Group N.V. Ordinary Shares (CNCK) currently trades at $1.42, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.1800, 87.3% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: $0.1300 (bear) to $0.2600 (bull), the price of $1.42 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Coincheck Group N.V. Ordinary Shares reported revenue of $509B in FY2026 versus $691B in FY2022, a compound −7.3%/yr. Reported net income was −$1.9B in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap $322M · EPS (TTM) $−0.0800 · Net margin −0.4% · Return on equity −11.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.9% · Operating margin −1.1% · Revenue (TTM) $480B · Revenue growth (YoY) +4.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 82% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −15% fair-value upside, at −87%, CNCK screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.1300Fair Value $0.1800Bull $0.2600
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+32.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+42.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.6%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+126.1%
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
2.6% (2021) → −0.3% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (27 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Negative
Recent news coverage is more negative than average.
Compare Coincheck Group N.V. Ordinary Shares with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Capital Markets · 456 stocks
Beats the industry median on 0/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score47 · Below median
Fair Value upside−87.5% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−0.5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−0.4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−1.1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth4.5% · Below median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 36
FUTURE (revenue growth)23· sector 94
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 32
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 44
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Coincheck Group N.V. Ordinary Shares Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CNCK
Frequently asked questions
Is Coincheck Group N.V. (CNCK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.1800 versus a price of $1.42, about −87% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CNCK?
Our model-based fair value for Coincheck Group N.V. Ordinary Shares is $0.1800 (as of Sep 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.42.
What is the quality score of CNCK?
Coincheck Group N.V. Ordinary Shares has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Coincheck Group N.V. (CNCK)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.1800 (as of Sep 28, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.1300, optimistic scenario $0.2600. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Coincheck Group N.V. Ordinary Shares stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.1800, about −87% upside versus a price of $1.42 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.1300, optimistic scenario $0.2600. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Coincheck Group N.V. (CNCK)?
Coincheck Group N.V. Ordinary Shares reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $480B (latest available figure, as of Sep 28, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Coincheck Group N.V. (CNCK)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Coincheck Group N.V. Ordinary Shares it is $0.1800 per share (as of Sep 28, 2026), against a price of $1.42. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Coincheck Group N.V. Ordinary Shares stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 28, 2026, CNCK trades above its calculated fair value: price $1.42, fair value $0.1800, a gap of about −87% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CNCK?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.42); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.1800). For Coincheck Group N.V. Ordinary Shares the two are $1.24 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Coincheck Group N.V. Ordinary Shares worth?
The market values Coincheck Group N.V. Ordinary Shares at about $322M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 28, 2026). Per share that is $1.42; our models calculate a fair value of $0.1800 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CNCK?
Our models span a range for Coincheck Group N.V. Ordinary Shares: cautious scenario $0.1300, base $0.1800, optimistic $0.2600 per share (as of Sep 28, 2026, price $1.42). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Coincheck Group N.V. (CNCK)?
Balance-sheet figures for Coincheck Group N.V. Ordinary Shares (as of Sep 28, 2026): return on equity −11.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 35/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CNCK from its 52-week high?
Coincheck Group N.V. Ordinary Shares trades at $1.42, about 82% below its 52-week high of $7.88 and 1% above the low of $1.40 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.1800 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Coincheck Group N.V. Ordinary Shares?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Morgan Stanley, a financial holding company,, The Goldman Sachs Group, The Charles Schwab Corporation, Interactive Brokers Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Coincheck Group N.V. Ordinary Shares stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 28, 2026: price $1.42, calculated fair value $0.1800 (−87%), Quality Score 35/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CNCK calculated?
We run Coincheck Group N.V. Ordinary Shares through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.1800, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Coincheck Group N.V. Ordinary Shares itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Coincheck Group N.V. (CNCK)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $1.42. Our model-based fair value is $0.1800, about −87% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Coincheck Group N.V. Ordinary Shares right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.2600). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($0.1300 to $0.2600) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Coincheck Group N.V. Ordinary Shares
How large is the market capitalisation of Coincheck Group N.V. (CNCK)?
The market capitalisation of Coincheck Group N.V. Ordinary Shares is $322M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Coincheck Group N.V. (CNCK)?
Earnings per share at Coincheck Group N.V. Ordinary Shares are $−0.0800. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Coincheck Group N.V. (CNCK)?
The net margin of Coincheck Group N.V. Ordinary Shares is −0.4% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Coincheck Group N.V. (CNCK)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Coincheck Group N.V. Ordinary Shares is −11.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Coincheck Group N.V. (CNCK)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Coincheck Group N.V. Ordinary Shares is 0.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Coincheck Group N.V. (CNCK)?
The operating margin of Coincheck Group N.V. Ordinary Shares is −1.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Coincheck Group N.V. (CNCK)?
Revenue at Coincheck Group N.V. Ordinary Shares is growing +4.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +42.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Coincheck Group N.V. (CNCK)?
Earnings per share at Coincheck Group N.V. Ordinary Shares are growing −68.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Coincheck Group N.V. (CNCK) generate?
The free cash flow of Coincheck Group N.V. Ordinary Shares is −$1.3B (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Coincheck Group N.V. (CNCK) hold?
Coincheck Group N.V. Ordinary Shares holds more cash than debt, $58.5B net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
Free · no account needed
Watch Coincheck Group N.V. Ordinary Shares in the live analysis
One click puts Coincheck Group N.V. Ordinary Shares on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
Thin data
Sep 28, 2026