Cogna Educação S.A (COGN3) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · BR · Market cap R$4.8B
Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated today
Share price −0.4% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range R$2.18 – R$4.57 · fair‑value band R$5.17 – R$8.61 · the R$2.33 price screens below the R$6.89 fair value. As of Jul 15, 2026.
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Cogna Educação S.A (COGN3) currently trades at R$2.33, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$6.89 — implying the stock looks roughly 195.7% undervalued today. We read business quality at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high) — always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Cogna Educação S.A generated revenue of R$7.5B at a net margin of 8.9%. Revenue grew 31.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.7%. Net debt stands at R$6.6B. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026
Our scenario range runs from R$5.17 (bear case) to R$8.61 (bull case); at R$2.33, the current price sits below that range. The share trades about 51% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside — at 196%, COGN3 screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Cogna Educação S.A. operates as an educational organization in Brazil and internationally. It operates through three segments: Kroton, Vasta, and Saber. The company provides in-person and distance learning for higher education and postgraduate courses; and editing, marketing, and distribution of textbooks, paradidactic books and handouts. It also offers basic education, pre-university preparatory courses, and language courses; educational solutions for technical and higher education; and complementary activities, such as education technology development for services to complement management and training. In addition, the company advises on and/or facilitates direct and indirect financing for students; and develops software for adaptive teaching and academic management optimization. The company was incorporated in 1966 and is headquartered in Belo Horizonte, Brazil.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Cogna Educação S.A reported revenue of R$7.0B in FY2025 versus R$4.8B in FY2021, a compound +10.1%/yr. Reported net income was R$626M in FY2025.
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Similar stocks
10 more Education & Training Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Oriental Education & Technology Group EDUN | 966.48 MXN | 897.37 MXN | -7% |
| TAL Education Group T1AL34 | R$4.89 | R$0.9200 | -81% |
| Laureate Education, Inc LAUR | $37.19 | $41.45 | +11% |
| Covista Inc CVSA | $130.25 | $150.42 | +15% |
| Stride, Inc LRN | $99.84 | $139.45 | +40% |
| Grand Canyon Education, Inc LOPE | $150.70 | $152.01 | +1% |
| Physicswallah Limited PWL | ₹130.16 | ₹14.81 | -89% |
| Universal Technical Institute, Inc UTI | $40.02 | $21.26 | -47% |
| McGraw Hill, Inc MH | $11.44 | $23.49 | +105% |
| Perdoceo Education Corporation PRDO | $32.80 | $46.52 | +42% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.