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Cogent Biosciences, Inc (COGT) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $5.6B

Price$36.31
Fair Value$16.76
Upside-53.8%
Quality95/100
Evidence: Low Range $12.57 – $20.95

Analysis

Cogent Biosciences, Inc (COGT) currently trades at $36.31, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $16.76 — implying the stock looks roughly 53.8% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

About the company

Cogent Biosciences, Inc., a clinical-stage biotechnology company, focuses on developing precision therapies for genetically defined diseases. Its lead product candidate includes bezuclastinib (CGT9486), a selective tyrosine kinase inhibitor in Phase 3 trial designed to target mutations within the KIT receptor tyrosine kinase, including KIT D816V mutation that drives systemic mastocytosis, as well as other mutations in KIT exon 17, which are found in patients with advanced gastrointestinal stromal tumors. The company also develops CGT4859, a reversible and selective fibroblast growth factor receptor 2 inhibitor in Phase 1 trial for patients with documented FGFR mutations, including advanced cholangiocarcinoma; CGT4255, a novel ErbB2 mutant program, which is focused on actionable and underserved mutations in a solid tumor systemic and CNS involved indications; and CGT6297, a Novel PI3Ka mutant-selective inhibitor. It has a licensing agreement with Plexxikon Inc. for the research, deve…

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.