Australian Oilseeds Holdings Limited (COOT) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Australian Oilseeds Holdings Limited is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Valuation from Jul 15, 2026. With the latest figures (losses, negative cash flow), a fair value can no longer be calculated.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.3620 – $11.95 · fair‑value band $0.0400 – $0.0800 · the $0.4852 price screens above the $0.0500 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
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Australian Oilseeds Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells chemical free, non-genetically modified organism, and sustainable edible oils and products derived from oilseeds worldwide.
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Australian Oilseeds Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells chemical free, non-genetically modified organism, and sustainable edible oils and products derived from oilseeds worldwide. It offers vegetable oils, including unrefined canola oil, premium canola oil, extra filtered canola oil, RBD canola oil, safflower oil, sunflower oil, RBD sunflower oil, soyabean oil, linseed oil, and extra virgin olive oil. The company also provides protein meals, such as organic and non-organic cold pressed canola, sunflower, safflower, soybean, and linseed meals. It markets its products to wholesale and retail customers. Australian Oilseeds Holdings Limited was founded in 1991 and is headquartered in Cootamundra, Australia.
Stock analysis
Australian Oilseeds Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares (COOT) currently trades at $0.4852, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0500, implying the stock looks roughly 869.9% overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 6 models at a data quality of 85/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: $0.0400 (bear) to $0.0800 (bull), the price of $0.4852 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Australian Oilseeds Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares reported revenue of A$41.7M in FY2025 versus A$24.9M in FY2021, a compound +13.7%/yr. Reported net income was −A$1.2M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $17.0M · P/S ratio 0.41 · Net margin −2.9% · Return on equity −52.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.1% · Operating margin 2.3% · Revenue (TTM) A$41.7M · Revenue growth (YoY) +49.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 82% below its 52-week high and 34% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −3% fair-value upside, at −90%, COOT screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.0400Fair Value $0.0500Bull $0.0800
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
6.1% (2020) → 0.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Australian Oilseeds Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 668 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score37 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−90% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth49% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity3.24× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
P/B5.58× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (TTM)0.41× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA72.0× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 31
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 20
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 29
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 58
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Australian Oilseeds Holdings Limited (COOT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 15, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0500 versus a price of $0.4852, about −90% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of COOT?
Our model-based fair value for Australian Oilseeds Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares is $0.0500 (as of Jul 15, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.4852.
What is the quality score of COOT?
Australian Oilseeds Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Australian Oilseeds Holdings Limited (COOT)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.0500 (as of Jul 15, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.0400, optimistic scenario $0.0800. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Australian Oilseeds Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.0500, about −90% upside versus a price of $0.4852 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.0400, optimistic scenario $0.0800. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Australian Oilseeds Holdings Limited (COOT)?
Australian Oilseeds Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$41.7M (latest available figure, as of Jul 15, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Australian Oilseeds Holdings Limited (COOT)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Australian Oilseeds Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares it is $0.0500 per share (as of Jul 15, 2026), against a price of $0.4852. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Australian Oilseeds Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Jul 15, 2026, COOT trades above its calculated fair value: price $0.4852, fair value $0.0500, a gap of about −90% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of COOT?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.4852); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.0500). For Australian Oilseeds Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares the two are $0.4352 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Australian Oilseeds Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares worth?
The market values Australian Oilseeds Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares at about $17.0M (market capitalisation, as of Jul 15, 2026). Per share that is $0.4852; our models calculate a fair value of $0.0500 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about COOT?
Our models span a range for Australian Oilseeds Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares: cautious scenario $0.0400, base $0.0500, optimistic $0.0800 per share (as of Jul 15, 2026, price $0.4852). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Australian Oilseeds Holdings Limited (COOT)?
Balance-sheet figures for Australian Oilseeds Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares (as of Jul 15, 2026): return on equity −52.6%, debt of 3.24 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 37/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is COOT from its 52-week high?
Australian Oilseeds Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares trades at $0.4852, about 82% below its 52-week high of $2.64 and 34% above the low of $0.3620 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.0500 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Australian Oilseeds Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, The Kraft Heinz Company, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Australian Oilseeds Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Jul 15, 2026: price $0.4852, calculated fair value $0.0500 (−90%), Quality Score 37/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of COOT calculated?
We run Australian Oilseeds Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.0500, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Australian Oilseeds Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Australian Oilseeds Holdings Limited (COOT)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was $0.4852. Our model-based fair value is $0.0500, about −90% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Australian Oilseeds Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.0800). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (37/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($0.0400 to $0.0800) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Australian Oilseeds Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares
How large is the market capitalisation of Australian Oilseeds Holdings Limited (COOT)?
The market capitalisation of Australian Oilseeds Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares is $17.0M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Australian Oilseeds Holdings Limited (COOT)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Australian Oilseeds Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares is 0.41 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Australian Oilseeds Holdings Limited (COOT)?
The net margin of Australian Oilseeds Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares is −2.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Australian Oilseeds Holdings Limited (COOT)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Australian Oilseeds Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares is −52.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Australian Oilseeds Holdings Limited (COOT)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Australian Oilseeds Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares is 5.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Australian Oilseeds Holdings Limited (COOT)?
The operating margin of Australian Oilseeds Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares is 2.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Australian Oilseeds Holdings Limited (COOT)?
Revenue at Australian Oilseeds Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares is growing +49.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +29.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Australian Oilseeds Holdings Limited (COOT) generate?
The free cash flow of Australian Oilseeds Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares is −A$410K (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Australian Oilseeds Holdings Limited (COOT) carry?
The net debt of Australian Oilseeds Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares is A$15.5M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Jul 15, 2026