Cooper Energy Limited (COPJF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Cooper Energy Limited $0.71, price $1.40, upside -49.3%, quality 36 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Amplitude Energy Limited engages in exploration, development, and production of natural gas and low-cost oil in Australia. It operates through Southeast Australia and Cooper Basin segments. The company is involved in the exploration, evaluation, operation, and care and maintenance of natural gas assets in the Gippsland and Otway basins.
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Amplitude Energy Limited engages in exploration, development, and production of natural gas and low-cost oil in Australia. It operates through Southeast Australia and Cooper Basin segments. The company is involved in the exploration, evaluation, operation, and care and maintenance of natural gas assets in the Gippsland and Otway basins. It also produces and sells crude oil, as well as explores and evaluates additional oil targets. The company was formerly known as Cooper Energy Limited and changed its name to Amplitude Energy Limited in November 2024. Amplitude Energy Limited was incorporated in 2001 and is headquartered in Adelaide, Australia.
Stock analysis
Cooper Energy Limited (COPJF) currently trades at $1.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.7100, implying the stock looks roughly 97.2% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $0.8600 per share, and 4 of the 13 models we run sit above the $1.40 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $0.2400, and 9 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $0.2100 (bear) to $1.82 (bull), the price of $1.40 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Cooper Energy Limited reported revenue of A$176M in FY2025 versus A$98.8M in FY2021, a compound +15.6%/yr. Reported net income was −A$27.2M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $322M · P/S ratio 1.17 · EPS (TTM) $−0.0800 · Net margin −15.4% · Return on equity −4.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.9% · Operating margin 33.9% · Revenue (TTM) A$276M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 65% below its 52-week high and 66% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −49%, COPJF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.2100Fair Value $0.7100Bull $1.82
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.50/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−19.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+26.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +16.3% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+37.3%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−5.1% (2020) → 24.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
more than +80 %
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+31.4%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in AUD, Australia: IMF forecast 3.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +27.7% a year for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas E&P · 297 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score36 · Below median
Fair Value upside−49.3% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets1.0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)−8.2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)33.9% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth5.8% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.02× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper
P/B1.30× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM)1.17× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF31.4× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA3.5× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 27
FUTURE (revenue growth)29· sector 40
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 11
HEALTH (low debt)49· sector 86
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 74
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Cooper Energy Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/COPJF
Frequently asked questions
Is Cooper Energy Limited (COPJF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.7100 versus a price of $1.40, about −49% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of COPJF?
Our model-based fair value for Cooper Energy Limited is $0.7100 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.40.
What is the quality score of COPJF?
Cooper Energy Limited has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Cooper Energy Limited (COPJF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.7100 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.2100, optimistic scenario $1.82. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Cooper Energy Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.7100, about −49% upside versus a price of $1.40 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.2100, optimistic scenario $1.82. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Cooper Energy Limited (COPJF)?
Cooper Energy Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$276M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Cooper Energy Limited (COPJF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Cooper Energy Limited would have to grow free cash flow by more than 80 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +26.5 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of COPJF use?
Our models discount Cooper Energy Limited at 10.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.69, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Cooper Energy Limited that is more than 80 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Cooper Energy Limited (COPJF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Cooper Energy Limited grew +26.5 % a year. The price currently implies more than 80 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Cooper Energy Limited (COPJF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Cooper Energy Limited (more than 80 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Cooper Energy Limited (COPJF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.19 %: that much free cash flow Cooper Energy Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Cooper Energy Limited (COPJF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Cooper Energy Limited it is $0.7100 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $1.40. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Cooper Energy Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, COPJF trades above its calculated fair value: price $1.40, fair value $0.7100, a gap of about −49% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of COPJF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.40); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.7100). For Cooper Energy Limited the two are $0.6900 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Cooper Energy Limited worth?
The market values Cooper Energy Limited at about $322M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $1.40; our models calculate a fair value of $0.7100 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about COPJF?
Our models span a range for Cooper Energy Limited: cautious scenario $0.2100, base $0.7100, optimistic $1.82 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $1.40). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Cooper Energy Limited (COPJF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Cooper Energy Limited (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −4.7%, debt of 1.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 36/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is COPJF from its 52-week high?
Cooper Energy Limited trades at $1.40, about 65% below its 52-week high of $3.96 and 66% above the low of $0.8454 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.7100 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Cooper Energy Limited?
From the same area (Energy) we also value ConocoPhillips explores for,, CNOOC Limited, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, EOG Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Cooper Energy Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $1.40, calculated fair value $0.7100 (−49%), Quality Score 36/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of COPJF calculated?
We run Cooper Energy Limited through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.7100, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Cooper Energy Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Cooper Energy Limited (COPJF)?
The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was $1.40. Our model-based fair value is $0.7100, about −49% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Cooper Energy Limited right now?
Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide ($0.2100 to $1.82). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Key figures of Cooper Energy Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Cooper Energy Limited (COPJF)?
The market capitalisation of Cooper Energy Limited is $322M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Cooper Energy Limited (COPJF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Cooper Energy Limited is 1.17 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Cooper Energy Limited (COPJF)?
Earnings per share at Cooper Energy Limited are $−0.0800. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Cooper Energy Limited (COPJF)?
The net margin of Cooper Energy Limited is −15.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Cooper Energy Limited (COPJF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Cooper Energy Limited is −4.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Cooper Energy Limited (COPJF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Cooper Energy Limited is −0.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Cooper Energy Limited (COPJF)?
The operating margin of Cooper Energy Limited is 33.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Cooper Energy Limited (COPJF)?
Revenue at Cooper Energy Limited is growing +5.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +7.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Cooper Energy Limited (COPJF)?
Earnings per share at Cooper Energy Limited are growing +207% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Cooper Energy Limited (COPJF) carry?
The net debt of Cooper Energy Limited is A$157M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 15.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Sep 23, 2026