Amplitude Energy Limited (COPJF) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · US · Market cap $322M
Amplitude Energy Limited
COPJF · US
Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated 27 days ago
Share price +36.0% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 81% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.7100). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The model range is unusually wide ($0.2200 to $0.7100). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 15, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0099 – $6.24 · fair‑value band $0.2200 – $0.7100 · the $1.15 price screens above the $0.2200 fair value. As of Jul 15, 2026.
Analysis
Amplitude Energy Limited (COPJF) currently trades at $1.15, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.2200, implying the stock looks roughly 80.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Amplitude Energy Limited generated revenue of $276M at a net margin of -8.2%. Revenue grew 5.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -4.7%. Net debt stands at $157M. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.2200 (bear case) to $0.7100 (bull case); at $1.15, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 71% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at -81%, COPJF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($0.7600) versus Growth DCF ($0.0200). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Amplitude Energy Limited engages in exploration, development, and production of natural gas and low-cost oil in Australia. It operates through Southeast Australia and Cooper Basin segments. The company is involved in the exploration, evaluation, operation, and care and maintenance of natural gas assets in the Gippsland and Otway basins.
Full company description
Amplitude Energy Limited engages in exploration, development, and production of natural gas and low-cost oil in Australia. It operates through Southeast Australia and Cooper Basin segments. The company is involved in the exploration, evaluation, operation, and care and maintenance of natural gas assets in the Gippsland and Otway basins. It also produces and sells crude oil, as well as explores and evaluates additional oil targets. The company was formerly known as Cooper Energy Limited and changed its name to Amplitude Energy Limited in November 2024. Amplitude Energy Limited was incorporated in 2001 and is headquartered in Adelaide, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Amplitude Energy Limited reported revenue of $176M in FY2025 versus $98.8M in FY2021, a compound +15.6%/yr. Reported net income was −$27.2M in FY2025.
COPJF screens 81% overvalued. Compare with CNOOC Limited →
Peer Group
Oil & Gas E&P · 315 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| CNOOC Limited 600938 | ¥28.97 | ¥32.55 | +12% |
| ConocoPhillips explores for, COP | $109.04 | $91.79 | -16% |
| Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ | $42.86 | $31.54 | -26% |
| EOG Resources, Inc EOG | $139.89 | $130.19 | -7% |
| Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY | $54.86 | $30.68 | -44% |
| Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG | $183.39 | $106.12 | -42% |
| Devon Energy Corporation DVN | $43.83 | $27.06 | -38% |
| Woodside Energy Group WDS | A$30.46 | A$20.71 | -32% |
| EQT Corporation EQT | $48.85 | $42.85 | -12% |
| Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL | $415.70 | $79.20 | -81% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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