COVH Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · FR · Market cap €3.4B
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price +3.6% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €10.19 – €25.52 · fair‑value band €20.01 – €31.72 · the €23.00 price screens above the €21.79 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
COVH (COVH) currently trades at €23.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €21.79, implying the stock looks roughly 5.3% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, COVH generated revenue of €375M at a net margin of 82.0%. Revenue declined 0.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.6%. Net debt stands at €2.5B. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €20.01 (bear case) to €31.72 (bull case); at €23.00, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -33% fair-value upside, at -5%, COVH screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (€29.25) versus Dividend Discount (€3.77). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 57
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Covivio Hotels specializes in owning operating properties in the hotel sector. As a listed real estate investment Société d'Investissements Immobiliers Cotée (SIIC), real estate partner of major players in holds assets worth 6.6 billion euros (as of the end of 2025). Covivio Hotels is rated BBB+ / Stable outlook by Standard and Poor's.
Full company description
Covivio Hotels specializes in owning operating properties in the hotel sector. As a listed real estate investment Société d'Investissements Immobiliers Cotée (SIIC), real estate partner of major players in holds assets worth 6.6 billion euros (as of the end of 2025). Covivio Hotels is rated BBB+ / Stable outlook by Standard and Poor's. Covivio Hotels incorporated in 1900 in France.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
COVH reported revenue of €716M in FY2025 versus €290M in FY2021, a compound +25.3%/yr. Reported net income was €308M in FY2025, compounding +57.3%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
REIT - Hotel & Motel · 35 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Hotel & Motel median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more REIT - Hotel & Motel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc HST | $24.50 | $16.49 | -33% |
| Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc RHP | $133.09 | $48.74 | -63% |
| Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc APLE | $16.61 | $12.63 | -24% |
| Park Hotels & Resorts inc. PK | $14.74 | $20.58 | +40% |
| DiamondRock Hospitality Company DRH | $12.85 | $8.43 | -34% |
| Sunstone Hotel Investors, Inc SHO | $11.74 | $2.52 | -79% |
| Pebblebrook Hotel Trust PEB | $19.09 | $25.37 | +33% |
| Xenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc XHR | $21.49 | $11.63 | -46% |
| RLJ Lodging Trust (RLJ) RLJ | $12.34 | $8.28 | -33% |
| Service Properties Trust SVC | $8.46 | $2.55 | -70% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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