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Park Hotels & Resorts inc. (PK) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · US · Market cap $3.0B

PH Park Hotels & Resorts inc. logo Park Hotels & Resorts inc. PK · US
Price$14.76
Fair Value$20.58
Upside+39.4%
Quality39/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -8.5% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
6.79% dividend yield
Trails peers (5/14)
Narrow moat 24/100
Evidence: High Range $11.35 – $30.26 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026

From 10 valuation models · updated 14 days ago

Share price +7.3% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 39% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (39/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The model range is unusually wide ($11.35 to $30.26). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$15.68 $7.64 Fair Value $20.58 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $7.64 – $15.68 · fair‑value band $11.35 – $30.26 · the $14.76 price screens below the $20.58 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

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Analysis

Park Hotels & Resorts inc. (PK) currently trades at $14.76, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $20.58, implying the stock looks roughly 39.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Park Hotels & Resorts inc. generated revenue of $2.5B at a net margin of -8.5%. Revenue declined 1.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -6.4%. Net debt stands at $4.0B. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $11.35 (bear case) to $30.26 (bull case); at $14.76, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 59% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -33% fair-value upside, at 39%, PK screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Rev-Margin DCF $0.6600 74
Gordon GGM $12.21 $23.46 $36.85 70
DDM Multi-Stage $12.21 $18.44 $24.87 61
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
5Y Revenue Exit $1.55 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $3.70 $19.78 $38.21 41
10Y EBITDA Exit $9.38 $25.02 37
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $12.21 $23.46 $36.85 70
DDM Multi-Stage $12.21 $18.44 $24.87 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT $0.6200 $6.79 $12.96 53
EV/EBITDA $17.68 $29.54 $41.41 54
EV/Revenue $1.06 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $7.77 $10.42 $15.55 50
Growth DCF
Rev-Margin DCF $0.6600 74

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($18.44) versus Multiples ($6.79). Highest evidence: Rev-Margin DCF (74).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $2.5B
Revenue growth (YoY) -1.1%
Net margin -8.5%
Return on equity -6.4%
Free cash flow $102M FY2025
Operating margin 11.1%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-1.09
Dividend yield 6.8%
EPS growth (YoY) -63.6%
Net debt $4.0B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 76

Profitability 5
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 17
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 30
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 27
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 82
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 49
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 86
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 92
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Park Hotels & Resorts inc. is one of the largest publicly traded lodging real estate investment trusts. With a diverse portfolio of iconic and market-leading hotels and resorts with significant underlying real estate value, Park's portfolio currently consists of 34 premium-branded hotels and resorts with approximately 23,000 rooms primarily located in prime …

Full company description

Park Hotels & Resorts inc. is one of the largest publicly traded lodging real estate investment trusts. With a diverse portfolio of iconic and market-leading hotels and resorts with significant underlying real estate value, Park's portfolio currently consists of 34 premium-branded hotels and resorts with approximately 23,000 rooms primarily located in prime city center and resort locations. Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. was incorporated in 1946 in Delaware and is based in Tyson, Virginia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Park Hotels & Resorts inc. reported revenue of $2.5B in FY2025 versus $1.4B in FY2021, a compound +16.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$283M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 56/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$2.5B
Latest YoY
−2.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+0.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+24.4%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y)
+0.7%
Revenue +16.9%/yr
FY21 $1.4B
FY22 $2.5B
FY23 $2.7B
FY24 $2.6B
FY25 $2.5B
Net income
FY21 −$459M
FY22 $162M
FY23 $97.0M
FY24 $212M
FY25 −$283M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Park Hotels & Resorts inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PK

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

REIT - Hotel & Motel · 35 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 40 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +39% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) -8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 11% · Below median
Revenue growth -1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 6.8% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 1.23× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Hotel & Motel median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.95× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.18× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 29.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 11.6× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.64× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 86 · sector 12
FUTURE 0 · sector 2
PAST 0 · sector 6
HEALTH 39 · sector 73
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 65

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more REIT - Hotel & Motel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc HST $24.50 $16.49 -33%
Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc RHP $133.09 $48.74 -63%
COVH COVH €21.80 €21.79 -0%
Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc APLE $16.61 $12.63 -24%
DiamondRock Hospitality Company DRH $12.85 $8.43 -34%
Sunstone Hotel Investors, Inc SHO $11.74 $2.52 -79%
Pebblebrook Hotel Trust PEB $19.09 $25.37 +33%
Xenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc XHR $21.49 $11.63 -46%
RLJ Lodging Trust (RLJ) RLJ $12.34 $8.28 -33%
Service Properties Trust SVC $8.46 $2.55 -70%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Park Hotels & Resorts inc. (PK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $20.58 versus a price of $14.76, about +39% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of PK?
Our model-based fair value for Park Hotels & Resorts inc. is $20.58 (as of Jul 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $14.76.
What is the quality score of PK?
Park Hotels & Resorts inc. has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Park Hotels & Resorts inc. (PK)?
Park Hotels & Resorts inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.5B (latest available figure, as of Jul 27, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of PK?
The net profit margin of Park Hotels & Resorts inc. is about -8.5%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Park Hotels & Resorts inc. pay a dividend?
Park Hotels & Resorts inc. currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.79% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 27, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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