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Xenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc (XHR) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · US · Market cap $2.0B

XH Xenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc logo Xenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc XHR · US
Price$19.41
Fair Value$11.63
Upside-40.1%
Quality54/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 6.2% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
2.77% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
Narrow moat 34/100
Evidence: High Range $8.72 – $11.63 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 14 days ago

Share price −1.9% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 40% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($11.63). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$21.82 $8.86 Fair Value $11.63 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $8.86 – $21.82 · fair‑value band $8.72 – $11.63 · the $19.41 price screens above the $11.63 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

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Analysis

Xenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc (XHR) currently trades at $19.41, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $11.63, implying the stock looks roughly 40.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Xenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc generated revenue of $1.1B at a net margin of 6.2%. Revenue grew 2.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.9%. Net debt stands at $1.3B. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $8.72 (bear case) to $11.63 (bull case); at $19.41, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 68% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -33% fair-value upside, at -40%, XHR screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $3.10 80
Residual Income $9.13 $9.28 $8.70 76
Rev-Margin DCF $1.34 $7.75 74
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $4.52 38
5Y Revenue Exit $1.32 $8.38 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $7.13 $22.54 $40.57 41
10Y Revenue Exit $6.13 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $2.04 $13.30 $28.48 37
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $4.56 $8.23 $11.32 70
DDM Multi-Stage $4.56 $7.05 $8.79 61
Multiples
P/S Multiple $8.72 $11.63 $14.53 58
P/B Multiple $8.72 $11.63 $14.53 55
EV/EBIT $5.24 $11.62 $18.00 53
EV/EBITDA $18.96 $29.91 $40.86 54
EV/Revenue $1.18 $5.70 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $6.15 $8.24 $12.30 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $3.10 80
Rev-Margin DCF $1.34 $7.75 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $9.13 $9.28 $8.70 76

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($13.30) versus Growth DCF ($1.34). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $1.1B
Revenue growth (YoY) +2.2%
Net margin 6.2%
Return on equity 5.9%
Free cash flow $89.9M FY2025
P/E ratio 29.2
More key figures
Operating margin 14.3%
EPS (TTM) $0.7000
Dividend yield 2.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +40.0%
Net debt $1.3B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 78

Profitability 23
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 51
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 58
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 20
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 89
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 58
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 83
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 93
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Xenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc. is a self-advised and self-administered REIT that invests in uniquely positioned luxury and upper upscale hotels and resorts with a focus on the top 25 lodging markets as well as key leisure destinations in the United States. The Company owns 30 hotels and resorts comprising 8,868 rooms across 14 states.

Full company description

Xenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc. is a self-advised and self-administered REIT that invests in uniquely positioned luxury and upper upscale hotels and resorts with a focus on the top 25 lodging markets as well as key leisure destinations in the United States. The Company owns 30 hotels and resorts comprising 8,868 rooms across 14 states. Xenia's hotels are in the luxury and upper upscale segments and are operated and/or licensed by industry leaders including Marriott, Hyatt, Kimpton, Fairmont, Loews, Hilton, and Davidson. Xenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc. was incorporated in 2007 and is based in Orlando, United States.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Xenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc reported revenue of $1.1B in FY2025 versus $616M in FY2021, a compound +15.0%/yr. Reported net income was $63.1M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.1B
Latest YoY
+3.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+2.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+23.9%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y)
+6.7%
Revenue +15.0%/yr
FY21 $616M
FY22 $998M
FY23 $1.0B
FY24 $1.0B
FY25 $1.1B
Net income
FY21 −$144M
FY22 $55.9M
FY23 $19.1M
FY24 $16.1M
FY25 $63.1M

XHR screens 40% overvalued. Compare with Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Xenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/XHR

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

REIT - Hotel & Motel · 35 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 55 · Above median
Fair Value upside −40% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 14% · Above median
Revenue growth 2% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.8% · Below median
Debt / equity 1.26× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Hotel & Motel median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 29.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.76× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.84× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 22.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 13.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 12
FUTURE 11 · sector 2
PAST 23 · sector 6
HEALTH 37 · sector 73
DIVIDEND 55 · sector 65

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 46/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more REIT - Hotel & Motel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc HST $24.50 $16.49 -33%
Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc RHP $133.09 $48.74 -63%
COVH COVH €21.80 €21.79 -0%
Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc APLE $16.61 $12.63 -24%
Park Hotels & Resorts inc. PK $14.74 $20.58 +40%
DiamondRock Hospitality Company DRH $12.85 $8.43 -34%
Sunstone Hotel Investors, Inc SHO $11.74 $2.52 -79%
Pebblebrook Hotel Trust PEB $19.09 $25.37 +33%
RLJ Lodging Trust (RLJ) RLJ $12.34 $8.28 -33%
Service Properties Trust SVC $8.46 $2.55 -70%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Xenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc (XHR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $11.63 versus a price of $19.41, about −40% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of XHR?
Our model-based fair value for Xenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc is $11.63 (as of Jul 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $19.41.
What is the quality score of XHR?
Xenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Xenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc (XHR)?
Xenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.1B (latest available figure, as of Jul 27, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of XHR?
The net profit margin of Xenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc is about 6.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Xenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc pay a dividend?
Xenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.77% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 27, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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