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Pebblebrook Hotel Trust (PEB) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · US · Market cap $2.2B

PH Pebblebrook Hotel Trust logo Pebblebrook Hotel Trust PEB · US
Price$18.18
Fair Value$25.37
Upside+39.6%
Quality47/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -3.5% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
0.22% dividend yield
Trails peers (3/14)
Narrow moat 17/100
Evidence: High Range $14.02 – $36.73 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026

From 12 valuation models · updated 14 days ago

Share price +2.3% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 40% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide ($14.02 to $36.73). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid quality (47/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$25.72 $7.68 Fair Value $25.37 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $7.68 – $25.72 · fair‑value band $14.02 – $36.73 · the $18.18 price screens below the $25.37 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Pebblebrook Hotel Trust (PEB) currently trades at $18.18, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $25.37, implying the stock looks roughly 39.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Pebblebrook Hotel Trust generated revenue of $1.5B at a net margin of -3.5%. Revenue grew 7.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -1.8%. Net debt stands at $2.3B. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $14.02 (bear case) to $36.73 (bull case); at $18.18, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 96% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -33% fair-value upside, at 40%, PEB screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $12.56 $33.87 80
Rev-Margin DCF $5.90 74
Gordon GGM $4.02 $8.02 $12.14 70
All 12 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $14.60 $40.04 38
5Y Revenue Exit $5.79 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $9.84 $35.03 $67.66 41
10Y Revenue Exit $1.08 $10.55 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $6.30 $27.89 $62.66 37
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $4.02 $8.02 $12.14 70
DDM Multi-Stage $4.02 $6.93 $8.46 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT $1.14 53
EV/EBITDA $16.95 $28.31 $39.67 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $10.89 $14.59 $21.78 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $12.56 $33.87 80
Rev-Margin DCF $5.90 74

Widest divergence: Multiples ($28.31) versus Dividend Discount ($6.93). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $1.5B
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.9%
Net margin -3.5%
Return on equity -1.8%
Free cash flow $152M FY2025
Operating margin 4.6%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.7900
Dividend yield 0.2%
EPS growth (YoY) -61.6%
Net debt $2.3B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 79

Profitability 7
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 29
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 52
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 35
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 92
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 43
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 96
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 93
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Pebblebrook Hotel Trust is a publicly traded real estate investment trust and the largest owner of urban and resort lifestyle hotels in the United States. The Company owns 43 hotels, totaling approximately 10,900 guest rooms across 13 urban and resort markets. Pebblebrook Hotel Trust is based in Bethesda, United States.

Full company description

Pebblebrook Hotel Trust is a publicly traded real estate investment trust and the largest owner of urban and resort lifestyle hotels in the United States. The Company owns 43 hotels, totaling approximately 10,900 guest rooms across 13 urban and resort markets. Pebblebrook Hotel Trust is based in Bethesda, United States. Pebblebrook Hotel Trust was established in October, 02 2009 and incorporated in Maryland.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Pebblebrook Hotel Trust reported revenue of $1.5B in FY2025 versus $733M in FY2021, a compound +19.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$65.8M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 67/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.5B
Latest YoY
+1.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+2.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+27.2%
Avg. growth/yr (15Y)
+24.1%
Revenue +19.1%/yr
FY21 $733M
FY22 $1.4B
FY23 $1.4B
FY24 $1.5B
FY25 $1.5B
Net income
FY21 −$185M
FY22 −$87.2M
FY23 −$78.0M
FY24 −$4.2M
FY25 −$65.8M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Pebblebrook Hotel Trust Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PEB

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

REIT - Hotel & Motel · 35 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside +40% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Revenue growth 8% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.2% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.86× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Hotel & Motel median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.88× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.44× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 14.2× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 12.6× · Pricier than median
PEG 3.21× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 86 · sector 12
FUTURE 40 · sector 2
PAST 0 · sector 6
HEALTH 57 · sector 73
DIVIDEND 4 · sector 65

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more REIT - Hotel & Motel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc HST $24.50 $16.49 -33%
Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc RHP $133.09 $48.74 -63%
COVH COVH €21.80 €21.79 -0%
Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc APLE $16.61 $12.63 -24%
Park Hotels & Resorts inc. PK $14.74 $20.58 +40%
DiamondRock Hospitality Company DRH $12.85 $8.43 -34%
Sunstone Hotel Investors, Inc SHO $11.74 $2.52 -79%
Xenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc XHR $21.49 $11.63 -46%
RLJ Lodging Trust (RLJ) RLJ $12.34 $8.28 -33%
Service Properties Trust SVC $8.46 $2.55 -70%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Pebblebrook Hotel Trust (PEB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $25.37 versus a price of $18.18, about +40% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of PEB?
Our model-based fair value for Pebblebrook Hotel Trust is $25.37 (as of Jul 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $18.18.
What is the quality score of PEB?
Pebblebrook Hotel Trust has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Pebblebrook Hotel Trust (PEB)?
Pebblebrook Hotel Trust reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.5B (latest available figure, as of Jul 27, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of PEB?
The net profit margin of Pebblebrook Hotel Trust is about -3.5%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Pebblebrook Hotel Trust pay a dividend?
Pebblebrook Hotel Trust currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.22% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 27, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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