Cox Energy América, S.A.B. de C.V. (COXE) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · ES · Market cap €320M
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 27, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 27, 2026, revised from €3.76 to €3.74 (−0.5%) since Aug 13, 2026.
Below-average quality, trading 54% below our fair value.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (41/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (€2.23). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- A fairly wide model range (€2.23 to €4.86) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (3 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
37‑month range €1.17 – €2.83 · fair‑value band €2.23 – €4.86 · the €1.73 price screens below the €3.74 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
Analysis
Cox Energy América, S.A.B. de C.V. (COXE) currently trades at €1.73, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €3.74, implying the stock looks roughly 116.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Cox Energy América, S.A.B. de C.V. generated revenue of €10.2B at a net margin of 1.5%. Revenue declined 23.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.6%. Net debt stands at €748M. Fundamentals as of Aug 27, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €2.23 (bear case) to €4.86 (bull case); at €1.73, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 48% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at 116%, COXE screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (€6.29) versus Asset-Based (€0.3256). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 67
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Cox Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. engages in the management, development, and operation of portfolio of renewable energy projects in Europe and Latin America. It develops and operates photovoltaic solar assets.
Full company description
Cox Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. engages in the management, development, and operation of portfolio of renewable energy projects in Europe and Latin America. It develops and operates photovoltaic solar assets. The company operates a portfolio of projects with a capacity of 1,808 MWh located in Mexico, Panama, Guatemala, Algeria, Brazil, Switzerland, Colombia, Latin America, Chile, Central America, Spain, and the Caribbean. It is also involved in the provision of project development, financing, asset management, energy supply, and operation and maintenance services. The company was founded in 2014 and is based in Mexico City, Mexico. Cox Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. is a subsidiary of Cox ABG Group, S.A.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Cox Energy América, S.A.B. de C.V. reported revenue of 10.8B MXN in FY2025 versus 23.6M MXN in FY2021, a compound +362.1%/yr. Reported net income was 316M MXN in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Utilities - Renewable · 217 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Renewable stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 27, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Yangtze Power Co 600900 | ¥27.96 | ¥25.13 | -10% |
| Ørsted A/S ORSTED | kr 139.25 | kr 31.40 | -77% |
| Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc 600025 | ¥9.79 | ¥5.57 | -43% |
| Adani Green Energy Limited ADANIGREEN | ₹1,319 | ₹169.61 | -87% |
| AXIA Energia SA AXIAP | $10.74 | $9.49 | -12% |
| VERBUND AG OEWA | €57.00 | €66.19 | +16% |
| BEP BEP | $32.49 | $70.40 | +117% |
| BEPUN BEPUN | C$45.05 | C$42.83 | -5% |
| Fortum Oyj FORTUM | €19.80 | €13.55 | -32% |
| China Longyuan Power Group 001289 | ¥15.92 | ¥7.55 | -53% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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