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Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Inc (CPIX) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $85.7M

CP Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Inc logo Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Inc CPIX · US
Price$7.80
Fair Value$2.41
Upside-69.1%
Quality57/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -17.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (1/12)
Narrow moat 12/100
Evidence: Medium Range $1.83 – $3.00 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 15, 2026, revised from $3.91 to $2.41 (−38.4%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +24.8% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 69% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($3.00). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$7.85 $1.06 Fair Value $2.41 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.06 – $7.85 · fair‑value band $1.83 – $3.00 · the $7.80 price screens above the $2.41 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

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Analysis

Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Inc (CPIX) currently trades at $7.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.41, implying the stock looks roughly 69.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Inc generated revenue of $41.9M at a net margin of -17.6%. Revenue declined 22.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -29.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $1.3M. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $1.83 (bear case) to $3.00 (bull case); at $7.80, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 322% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -49% fair-value upside, at -69%, CPIX screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $2.88 $3.40 $4.22 80
Rev-Margin DCF $2.99 $4.12 $5.54 74
Gordon GGM $0.0600 $0.0700 $0.0900 70
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $2.83 $3.38 $4.32 38
Owner Earnings $1.59 $1.86 $2.32 31
5Y Revenue Exit $2.99 $4.07 $5.64 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $2.34 $2.97 $3.81 41
10Y Revenue Exit $2.84 $3.67 $4.61 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $2.56 $3.05 $3.58 37
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.0600 $0.0700 $0.0900 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.0600 $0.0800 $0.0900 61
Multiples
EV/EBITDA $2.16 $2.74 $3.33 54
EV/Revenue $3.35 $4.61 $5.87 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.8300 $1.11 $1.66 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $2.88 $3.40 $4.22 80
Rev-Margin DCF $2.99 $4.12 $5.54 74

Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($3.40) versus Dividend Discount ($0.0700). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $41.9M
Revenue growth (YoY) -22.0%
Net margin -17.6%
Return on equity -29.8%
Free cash flow $4.8M FY2025
Operating margin -34.3%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.4900
Net cash $1.3M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 85

Profitability 27
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 88
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 66
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 42
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 100
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 45
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Inc., a specialty pharmaceutical company, focuses on the acquisition, development, and commercialization of prescription products.

Full company description

Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Inc., a specialty pharmaceutical company, focuses on the acquisition, development, and commercialization of prescription products. The company offers Acetadote, an injection for the treatment of acetaminophen poisoning; Caldolor, an injection for the treatment of pain and fever; Kristalose, a prescription laxative oral solution for the treatment of constipation; Sancuso, a transdermal patch for the prevention of nausea and vomiting in patients receiving chemotherapy treatment; Vaprisol, an injection to raise serum sodium levels in hospitalized patients with euvolemic and hypervolemic hyponatremia; Vibativ, an injection for the treatment of certain bacterial infections, including hospital-acquired and ventilator-associated bacterial pneumonia, as well as complicated skin and skin structure infections; and Tacilia, an oral capsule for the treatment of H. pylori infection. It also develops ifetroban, a product candidate that has completed Phase II clinical trials for the treatment of cardiomyopathy associated with Duchenne muscular dystrophy, hepatorenal syndrome, portal hypertension, aspirin-exacerbated respiratory disease, systemic sclerosis, and idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis. It serves hospital acute care, gastroenterology, and oncology markets in the United States, China, South Korea, Russia, Mexico, Australia, and Saudi Arabia. The company has a strategic alliance agreement with WinHealth Pharma Group Co. Limited. Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Inc. was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in Nashville, Tennessee.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Inc reported revenue of $44.5M in FY2025 versus $36.0M in FY2021, a compound +5.5%/yr. Reported net income was −$2.8M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 42/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$44.5M
Latest YoY
+17.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.5%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.4%
Revenue +5.5%/yr
FY21 $36.0M
FY22 $42.0M
FY23 $39.6M
FY24 $37.9M
FY25 $44.5M
Net income
FY21 −$3.5M
FY22 −$5.6M
FY23 −$6.3M
FY24 −$6.5M
FY25 −$2.8M

CPIX screens 69% overvalued. Compare with Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CPIX

Peer Group

Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic · 624 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 57 · Above median
Fair Value upside −69% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -18% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -34% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -22% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.21× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic median · lower = cheaper

P/B 3.44× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.04× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 17.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 1.67× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 7
FUTURE 0 · sector 20
PAST 0 · sector 24
HEALTH 89 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 34

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co 600276 ¥53.19 ¥25.94 -51%
Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Limited SUNPHARMA ₹1,933 ₹989.50 -49%
Divi's Laboratories Limited DIVISLAB ₹7,316 ₹1,943 -73%
Torrent Pharmaceuticals Limited TORNTPHARM ₹4,763 ₹1,329 -72%
PharmaEssentia Corporation 6446 1,285 TWD 221.01 TWD -83%
Cipla Limited CIPLA ₹1,439 ₹1,001 -30%
Zydus Lifesciences Limited ZYDUSLIFE ₹1,151 ₹703.32 -39%
Lupin Limited LUPIN ₹2,443 ₹2,477 +1%
Mankind Pharma Limited MANKIND ₹2,484 ₹983.11 -60%
Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Limited DRREDDY ₹1,211 ₹874.79 -28%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Inc (CPIX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 15, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.41 versus a price of $7.80, about −69% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CPIX?
Our model-based fair value for Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Inc is $2.41 (as of Jul 15, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $7.80.
What is the quality score of CPIX?
Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Inc has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Inc (CPIX)?
Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $41.9M (latest available figure, as of Jul 15, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CPIX?
The net profit margin of Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Inc is about -17.6%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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