Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Inc (CPIX) Fair Value & Analysis
Healthcare · US · Market cap $85.7M
Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated 26 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 15, 2026, revised from $3.91 to $2.41 (−38.4%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +24.8% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 69% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($3.00). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1.06 – $7.85 · fair‑value band $1.83 – $3.00 · the $7.80 price screens above the $2.41 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
Analysis
Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Inc (CPIX) currently trades at $7.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.41, implying the stock looks roughly 69.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Inc generated revenue of $41.9M at a net margin of -17.6%. Revenue declined 22.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -29.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $1.3M. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $1.83 (bear case) to $3.00 (bull case); at $7.80, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 322% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -49% fair-value upside, at -69%, CPIX screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 13 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($3.40) versus Dividend Discount ($0.0700). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 85
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Inc., a specialty pharmaceutical company, focuses on the acquisition, development, and commercialization of prescription products.
Full company description
Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Inc., a specialty pharmaceutical company, focuses on the acquisition, development, and commercialization of prescription products. The company offers Acetadote, an injection for the treatment of acetaminophen poisoning; Caldolor, an injection for the treatment of pain and fever; Kristalose, a prescription laxative oral solution for the treatment of constipation; Sancuso, a transdermal patch for the prevention of nausea and vomiting in patients receiving chemotherapy treatment; Vaprisol, an injection to raise serum sodium levels in hospitalized patients with euvolemic and hypervolemic hyponatremia; Vibativ, an injection for the treatment of certain bacterial infections, including hospital-acquired and ventilator-associated bacterial pneumonia, as well as complicated skin and skin structure infections; and Tacilia, an oral capsule for the treatment of H. pylori infection. It also develops ifetroban, a product candidate that has completed Phase II clinical trials for the treatment of cardiomyopathy associated with Duchenne muscular dystrophy, hepatorenal syndrome, portal hypertension, aspirin-exacerbated respiratory disease, systemic sclerosis, and idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis. It serves hospital acute care, gastroenterology, and oncology markets in the United States, China, South Korea, Russia, Mexico, Australia, and Saudi Arabia. The company has a strategic alliance agreement with WinHealth Pharma Group Co. Limited. Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Inc. was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in Nashville, Tennessee.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Inc reported revenue of $44.5M in FY2025 versus $36.0M in FY2021, a compound +5.5%/yr. Reported net income was −$2.8M in FY2025.
CPIX screens 69% overvalued. Compare with Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co →
Peer Group
Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic · 624 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co 600276 | ¥53.19 | ¥25.94 | -51% |
| Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Limited SUNPHARMA | ₹1,933 | ₹989.50 | -49% |
| Divi's Laboratories Limited DIVISLAB | ₹7,316 | ₹1,943 | -73% |
| Torrent Pharmaceuticals Limited TORNTPHARM | ₹4,763 | ₹1,329 | -72% |
| PharmaEssentia Corporation 6446 | 1,285 TWD | 221.01 TWD | -83% |
| Cipla Limited CIPLA | ₹1,439 | ₹1,001 | -30% |
| Zydus Lifesciences Limited ZYDUSLIFE | ₹1,151 | ₹703.32 | -39% |
| Lupin Limited LUPIN | ₹2,443 | ₹2,477 | +1% |
| Mankind Pharma Limited MANKIND | ₹2,484 | ₹983.11 | -60% |
| Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Limited DRREDDY | ₹1,211 | ₹874.79 | -28% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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