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Pop Culture Group (CPOP) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · US · Market cap $11.9M

PC Pop Culture Group logo Pop Culture Group CPOP · US
Price$0.3800
Fair Value$0.0500
Upside-86.8%
Quality41/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -6.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (4/11)
Narrow moat 18/100
Evidence: Low Range $0.0300 – $0.0800 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 29, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 12 days ago

Share price +442.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 87% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.0800). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The model range is unusually wide ($0.0300 to $0.0800). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$599.00 $0.0700 Fair Value $0.0500 Jun 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0700 – $599.00 · fair‑value band $0.0300 – $0.0800 · the $0.3800 price screens above the $0.0500 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 29, 2026.

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Analysis

Pop Culture Group (CPOP) currently trades at $0.3800, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0500, implying the stock looks roughly 86.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Pop Culture Group generated revenue of $135M at a net margin of -6.8%. Revenue grew 64.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -21.3%. Net debt stands at $49.9M. Fundamentals as of Jul 29, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.0300 (bear case) to $0.0800 (bull case); at $0.3800, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -52% fair-value upside, at -87%, CPOP screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $0.0300 $0.0400 $0.0700 80
NCAV (Graham) $0.1200 $0.1700 $0.2500 50
EV/Revenue $0.0300 $0.0300 $0.0400 43
All 6 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $0.0300 $0.0400 $0.0700 38
5Y Revenue Exit $0.0300 $0.0400 $0.0700 39
10Y Revenue Exit $0.0300 $0.0500 $0.0700 36
Multiples
EV/Revenue $0.0300 $0.0300 $0.0400 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.1200 $0.1700 $0.2500 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $0.0300 $0.0400 $0.0700 80

Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($0.1700) versus Multiples ($0.0300). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $135M
Revenue growth (YoY) +64.8%
Net margin -6.8%
Return on equity -21.3%
Free cash flow $180K FY2025
Operating margin 12.7%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.7000
EPS growth (YoY) -98.7%
Net debt $49.9M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 29, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 41/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 18

Profitability 15
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 66
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 43
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 27
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 5
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 35
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 5
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 50
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Pop Culture Group Co., Ltd provides living entertainment services and digital entertainment services to corporate clients in China.

Full company description

Pop Culture Group Co., Ltd provides living entertainment services and digital entertainment services to corporate clients in China. It hosts concerts and hip-hop related events, including stage plays, dance competitions, cultural and musical festivals, and promotional parties, as well as creates hip-hop related online programs; and provides event planning and execution services comprising communication, planning, design, production, reception, execution, and analysis services to advertising and media service providers, industry associations, and companies in a range of industries, such as consumer goods, real estate, tourism, entertainment, technology, e-commerce, education, and sports. The company also offers marketing services, including brand promotion, such as trademark and logo design, visual identity system design, brand positioning and personality design, and digital solutions; and other services, including digital collection sales, software development services, music recording services, Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) software services, and advertisement distribution services to corporate clients. In addition, it provides rental services. The company was incorporated in 2020 and is headquartered in Xiamen, China. Pop Culture Group Co., Ltd is a subsidiary of Joya Enterprises Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Pop Culture Group reported revenue of $108M in FY2025 versus $25.5M in FY2021, a compound +43.3%/yr. Reported net income was −$6.9M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 62/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$108M
Latest YoY
+127.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+49.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+47.0%
Avg. growth/yr (7Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+43.6%
Revenue +43.3%/yr
FY21 $25.5M
FY22 $32.3M
FY23 $18.5M
FY24 $47.4M
FY25 $108M
Net income
FY21 $4.3M
FY22 $788K
FY23 −$24.3M
FY24 −$12.4M
FY25 −$6.9M

CPOP screens 87% overvalued. Compare with Netflix, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Pop Culture Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CPOP

Peer Group

Entertainment · 265 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 41 · Below median
Fair Value upside −87% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -7% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 65% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.11× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.55× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.09× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 66.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 6
FUTURE 100 · sector 10
PAST 0 · sector 0
HEALTH 95 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 44

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 29, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Netflix, Inc ZNFL C$6.77 C$2.96 -56%
The Walt Disney Company DIS $96.30 $89.55 -7%
Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc WBD $26.87 $9.13 -66%
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV $178.44 $46.89 -74%
Universal Music Group UMG €18.91 €14.78 -22%
TKO Group TKO $184.40 $22.16 -88%
Empresas Cablevisión, S.A. CABLECPO 55.00 MXN 60.49 MXN +10%
Beijing Enlight Media Co 300251 ¥11.77 ¥10.97 -7%
PT MNC Digital Entertainment Tbk, MSIN 456.00 IDR 221.09 IDR -52%
Prime Focus Limited PFOCUS ₹298.25 ₹63.45 -79%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Pop Culture Group (CPOP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0500 versus a price of $0.3800, about −87% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CPOP?
Our model-based fair value for Pop Culture Group is $0.0500 (as of Jul 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.3800.
What is the quality score of CPOP?
Pop Culture Group has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Pop Culture Group (CPOP)?
Pop Culture Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $135M (latest available figure, as of Jul 29, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CPOP?
The net profit margin of Pop Culture Group is about -6.8%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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