CP All PCL (CPPCY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of CP All PCL $16.65, price $13.93, upside +19.5%, quality 49 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $12.00 – $34.27 · fair‑value band $11.65 – $34.94 · the $13.93 price screens below the $16.65 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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CP ALL Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates convenience stores under the 7-Eleven name to other retailers primarily in Thailand, Malaysia, and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Convenience stores, Wholesale, Retail and Mall, and Other.
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CP ALL Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates convenience stores under the 7-Eleven name to other retailers primarily in Thailand, Malaysia, and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Convenience stores, Wholesale, Retail and Mall, and Other. It also operates frozen food plants and bakeries; distributes various commercial cards and tickets, and hardware and equipment; manufactures, imports, exports, distributes, and trades in food products. In addition, the company designs and develops IT system; and offers bill payment, training and seminar, digital technology, marketing activity, electronic payment agent, asset counting, logistics and distribution of merchandise, technical and supporting services, warehouse management, consulting, building rental, and freight, delivery, and rental services. Further, the company engages in e-commerce, catalog, insurance broker, and telecommunication businesses; commercial trading; investing in retail business and mall, and commercial space management; and distribution, installation, repair, and maintenance of retail equipment, as well as production of roasted coffee beans. Additionally, it operates food and beverages stores, restaurant, and educational institutions; provides educational development fund; produces ready-to-eat meals, raw materials, and dairy products; and distributes goods and equipment for convenience stores. It is also involved in retail and related business operation under the Lotus's brand name; operation of stores under Makro name; and production of raw and cooked protein products. The company was formerly known as C.P. Seven Eleven Public Company Limited. CP ALL Public Company Limited was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Nonthaburi, Thailand.
Stock analysis
CP All PCL ADR (CPPCY) currently trades at $13.93, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $16.65, implying the stock looks roughly 16.3% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $19.29 per share, and 13 of the 24 models we run sit above the $13.93 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $2.88, and 11 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $11.65 (bear) to $34.94 (bull), the price of $13.93 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
CP All PCL ADR reported revenue of 950B THB in FY2025 versus 565B THB in FY2021, a compound +13.9%/yr. Reported net income was 27.0B THB in FY2025, compounding +20.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $12.5B · P/E ratio 13.9 · P/S ratio 0.40 · EPS (TTM) $1.00 · Dividend yield 11.8% · Net margin 2.8% · Return on equity 10.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 34 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 8% fair-value upside, at 20%, CPPCY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $11.65Fair Value $16.65Bull $34.94
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.76/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−1.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +9.3% a year
Revenue growth 22 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in THB ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in THB: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+22.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+11.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)11.8%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.11.0% vs 7.1%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.5% → 2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+3.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+5.2%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in THB, Thailand: IMF forecast 1.2% a year to 2030, 1.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +2.6% a year for the price and +3.9% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Grocery Stores · 71 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score49 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+35.4% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)10.0% · Below median
Return on assets3.6% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)2.9% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)5.9% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth5.8% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)11.8% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity2.05× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Grocery Stores median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)13.9× · Cheaper than median
P/B3.26× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "CP All PCL ADR Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CPPCY
Frequently asked questions
Is CP All PCL (CPPCY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $16.65 versus a price of $13.93, about +20% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CPPCY?
Our model-based fair value for CP All PCL ADR is $16.65 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $13.93.
What is the quality score of CPPCY?
CP All PCL ADR has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for CP All PCL (CPPCY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $16.65 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $11.65, optimistic scenario $34.94. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the CP All PCL ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $16.65, about +20% upside versus a price of $13.93 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $11.65, optimistic scenario $34.94. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of CP All PCL (CPPCY)?
CP All PCL ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.0T THB (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does CP All PCL ADR pay a dividend?
CP All PCL ADR currently shows a dividend yield of about 11.84% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into CP All PCL (CPPCY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, CP All PCL ADR would have to grow free cash flow by +3.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +12.6 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CPPCY use?
Our models discount CP All PCL ADR at 8.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.45, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For CP All PCL ADR that is +3.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has CP All PCL (CPPCY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at CP All PCL ADR grew +12.6 % a year. The price currently implies +3.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of CP All PCL (CPPCY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into CP All PCL ADR (+3.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of CP All PCL (CPPCY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 8.86 %: that much free cash flow CP All PCL ADR produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of CP All PCL (CPPCY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For CP All PCL ADR it is $16.65 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $13.93. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is CP All PCL ADR stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, CPPCY trades below its calculated fair value: price $13.93, fair value $16.65, a gap of about +20% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CPPCY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($13.93); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($16.65). For CP All PCL ADR the two are $2.72 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is CP All PCL ADR worth?
The market values CP All PCL ADR at about $12.5B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $13.93; our models calculate a fair value of $16.65 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CPPCY?
Our models span a range for CP All PCL ADR: cautious scenario $11.65, base $16.65, optimistic $34.94 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $13.93). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CPPCY?
CP All PCL ADR trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.9 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $16.65 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.4, P/B 3.3, P/S 0.4, EV/EBITDA 8.3.
What is the PEG ratio of CPPCY?
The PEG ratio of CP All PCL ADR is 1.42 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of CP All PCL (CPPCY)?
Balance-sheet figures for CP All PCL ADR (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 10.0%, debt of 2.05 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CPPCY from its 52-week high?
CP All PCL ADR trades at $13.93, about 6% below its 52-week high of $14.87 and 16% above the low of $12.00 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $16.65 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to CP All PCL ADR?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Loblaw Companies Limited, The Kroger Co, Woolworths Group, Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize N.V, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is CP All PCL ADR stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $13.93, calculated fair value $16.65 (+20%), Quality Score 49/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CPPCY calculated?
We run CP All PCL ADR through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $16.65, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. CP All PCL ADR currently trades 16 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of CP All PCL (CPPCY)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $13.93. Our model-based fair value is $16.65, about +20% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with CP All PCL ADR right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($11.65 to $34.94). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Where does the earnings growth of CP All PCL (CPPCY) come from?
Earnings per share at CP All PCL ADR grew +6.4 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +10.1 %, EBIT margin −4.7 %, tax rate −0.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +1.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of CP All PCL ADR
How large is the market capitalisation of CP All PCL (CPPCY)?
The market capitalisation of CP All PCL ADR is $12.5B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of CP All PCL (CPPCY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of CP All PCL ADR is 0.40 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of CP All PCL (CPPCY)?
Earnings per share at CP All PCL ADR are $1.00 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 13.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of CP All PCL (CPPCY)?
The dividend yield of CP All PCL ADR is 11.8% (payout 165%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of CP All PCL (CPPCY)?
The net margin of CP All PCL ADR is 2.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of CP All PCL (CPPCY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of CP All PCL ADR is 10.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of CP All PCL (CPPCY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of CP All PCL ADR is 3.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of CP All PCL (CPPCY)?
The operating margin of CP All PCL ADR is 5.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at CP All PCL (CPPCY)?
Revenue at CP All PCL ADR is growing +5.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at CP All PCL (CPPCY)?
Earnings per share at CP All PCL ADR are growing +21.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does CP All PCL (CPPCY) carry?
The net debt of CP All PCL ADR is 399B THB (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 10.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Sep 23, 2026