PT Toba Surimi Industries Tbk (CRAB) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · ID · Market cap 406B IDR
Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026
From 22 valuation models · updated 30 days ago
Share price +1.0% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 50% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The rarer combination: high quality (74/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (234.35 IDR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
How to read this chart
47‑month range 181.43 IDR – 330.00 IDR · fair‑value band 234.35 IDR – 390.58 IDR · the 208.00 IDR price screens below the 312.46 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
Analysis
PT Toba Surimi Industries Tbk (CRAB) currently trades at 208.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 312.46 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 50.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 74/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, PT Toba Surimi Industries Tbk generated revenue of 609B IDR at a net margin of 4.9%. Revenue grew 1.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 25.3B IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 234.35 IDR (bear case) to 390.58 IDR (bull case); at 208.00 IDR, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at 50%, CRAB screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 22 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (476.10 IDR) versus Asset-Based (75.32 IDR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 75 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
PT Toba Surimi Industries Tbk engages in the seafood processing business in Indonesia. The company offers pasteurized products, including jumbo lump, super lump, claw, and cocktail claw products; and canned and frozen products, such as fish, cephalopods, shellfish, value-added, and seafood mix products.
Full company description
PT Toba Surimi Industries Tbk engages in the seafood processing business in Indonesia. The company offers pasteurized products, including jumbo lump, super lump, claw, and cocktail claw products; and canned and frozen products, such as fish, cephalopods, shellfish, value-added, and seafood mix products. It sells its products in the United States, the European community, Japan, Hong Kong, Canada, the United Kingdom, and Australia. The company was founded in 1997 and is based in Deli Serdang, Indonesia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years
PT Toba Surimi Industries Tbk reported revenue of 590B IDR in FY2024 versus 478B IDR in FY2020, a compound +5.4%/yr. Reported net income was 29.0B IDR in FY2024, compounding +96.2%/yr from FY2020.
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Peer Group
Packaged Foods · 649 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND | ₹1,427 | ₹362.37 | -75% |
| Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA | ₹5,413 | ₹1,870 | -65% |
| Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM | ₹1,089 | ₹327.27 | -70% |
| PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP | 6,650 IDR | 15,757 IDR | +137% |
| Samyang Foods Co 003230 | 1,139,000 KRW | 1,010,543 KRW | -11% |
| Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI | ₹413.80 | ₹157.04 | -62% |
| Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM | 58,500 VND | 68,259 VND | +17% |
| PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR | 1,750 IDR | 2,699 IDR | +54% |
| PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY | 4,490 IDR | 4,355 IDR | -3% |
| Nongshim Co 004370 | 348,500 KRW | 530,619 KRW | +52% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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