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Carbine Resources Ltd (CRB) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Carbine Resources Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Valuation from Jun 24, 2026. With the latest figures (losses, negative cash flow), a fair value can no longer be calculated.
  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Basic Materials · AU · ISIN AU000000CRB1

CR Thin data Jun 24, 2026

Carbine Resources Ltd

CRB · AU

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

✓Fair value A$0.0170 · Strongly undervalued (+89%)
!Quality 32/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +9.2 %/yr)
!negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (3/6)
!Narrow moat 8/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$0.0467 A$0.0020 Fair Value A$0.0170 Jul 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0020 – A$0.0467 · fair‑value band A$0.0170 – A$0.0255 · the A$0.0090 price screens below the A$0.0170 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Carbine Resources Limited engages in the exploration and evaluation of mineral properties in Western Australia. The company explores for silica sand deposits.

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Carbine Resources Limited engages in the exploration and evaluation of mineral properties in Western Australia. The company explores for silica sand deposits. Its flagship project is the 100% owned Muchea West Silica Sand project, which consists of granted exploration license and a mining license application covering approximately a land area of 102 square kilometers located to the north of Perth, as well as the Down South Silica Sand Project consisting of three granted exploration licenses that covers approximately 5,800 hectares located in the southeast of Bunbury. The company was incorporated in 2006 and is based in Subiaco, Australia.

Stock analysis

Carbine Resources Ltd (CRB) currently trades at A$0.0090, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0170, implying the stock looks roughly 47.1% undervalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: A$0.0170 (bear) to A$0.0255 (bull), the price of A$0.0090 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Carbine Resources Ltd reported revenue of A$15.8K in FY2025 versus A$11.7K in FY2021, a compound +7.9%/yr. Reported net income was −A$736K in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap A$10.7M (≈ $7.5M) · Return on equity −7.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −13.7% · Operating margin −2,818% · Revenue (TTM) A$15.8K · Revenue growth (YoY) +17.2% · Free cash flow −A$730K · Net cash A$1.5M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 80% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 89%, CRB screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.0170 Fair Value A$0.0170 Bull A$0.0255
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) n/a A$0.0100 A$0.0100 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) n/a A$0.0100 A$0.0100 50

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 32/100

Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 26
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 11
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 87
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 98
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 20
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 73
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 75
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 19/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−50.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−15.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −15.9% a year
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−11.4%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−7,294.5% (2020) → −4,750.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Compare Carbine Resources Ltd with another stock

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 456 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/5 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 35 · Below median
Fair Value upside +89% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −5% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 17% · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.76× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)86 · sector 36
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 30

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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Vale S.A XVALO €12.26 €8.03 −35%
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 62.70 SAR 68.97 SAR +10%
CMOC Group 603993 ¥17.66 ¥20.07 +14%
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥60.26 ¥31.23 −48%
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹595.45 ₹655.00 +10%
Korea Zinc Company 010130 1,116,000 KRW 646,063 KRW −42%
Western Mining Co 601168 ¥36.77 ¥40.45 +10%
Boliden AB BOL kr 539.40 kr 464.47 −14%
Xiamen Tungsten Co 600549 ¥49.34 ¥24.75 −50%
PLS Group PLS A$4.18 A$6.65 +59%

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A$0.0170 +47%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Carbine Resources Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CRB

Frequently asked questions

Is Carbine Resources Ltd (CRB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0170 versus a price of A$0.0090, about +89% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CRB?
Our model-based fair value for Carbine Resources Ltd is A$0.0170 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0090.
What is the quality score of CRB?
Carbine Resources Ltd has a Quality Score of 32/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Carbine Resources Ltd (CRB)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0170 (as of Jun 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0170, optimistic scenario A$0.0255. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Carbine Resources Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0170, about +89% upside versus a price of A$0.0090 (undervalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0170, optimistic scenario A$0.0255. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Carbine Resources Ltd (CRB)?
Carbine Resources Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$15.8K (latest available figure, as of Jun 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Carbine Resources Ltd (CRB)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Carbine Resources Ltd it is A$0.0170 per share (as of Jun 24, 2026), against a price of A$0.0090. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Carbine Resources Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Jun 24, 2026, CRB trades below its calculated fair value: price A$0.0090, fair value A$0.0170, a gap of about +89% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CRB?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0090); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0170). For Carbine Resources Ltd the two are A$0.0080 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Carbine Resources Ltd worth?
The market values Carbine Resources Ltd at about A$10.7M (market capitalisation, as of Jun 24, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0090; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0170 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CRB?
Our models span a range for Carbine Resources Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0170, base A$0.0170, optimistic A$0.0255 per share (as of Jun 24, 2026, price A$0.0090). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Carbine Resources Ltd (CRB)?
Balance-sheet figures for Carbine Resources Ltd (as of Jun 24, 2026): return on equity −7.8%. They feed the Quality Score of 32/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CRB from its 52-week high?
Carbine Resources Ltd trades at A$0.0090, about 31% below its 52-week high of A$0.0130 and 80% above the low of A$0.0050 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0170 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Carbine Resources Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Vale S.A, Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Carbine Resources Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Jun 24, 2026: price A$0.0090, calculated fair value A$0.0170 (+89%), Quality Score 32/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CRB calculated?
We run Carbine Resources Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0170, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Carbine Resources Ltd currently trades 89 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Carbine Resources Ltd (CRB)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was A$0.0090. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0170, about +89% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Carbine Resources Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (32/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$0.0170). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Carbine Resources Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Carbine Resources Ltd (CRB)?
The market capitalisation of Carbine Resources Ltd is A$10.7M (≈ $7.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the return on equity of Carbine Resources Ltd (CRB)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Carbine Resources Ltd is −7.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Carbine Resources Ltd (CRB)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Carbine Resources Ltd is −13.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Carbine Resources Ltd (CRB)?
The operating margin of Carbine Resources Ltd is −2,818% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Carbine Resources Ltd (CRB)?
Revenue at Carbine Resources Ltd is growing +17.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −15.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Carbine Resources Ltd (CRB) generate?
The free cash flow of Carbine Resources Ltd is −A$730K (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Carbine Resources Ltd (CRB) hold?
Carbine Resources Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$1.5M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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