Critical Metals Corp. (CRML) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 29, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Critical Metals Corp. stock $1.57, price $7.95, upside -80.3%, quality 26 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 25, 2026.
How to read this chart
57‑month range $1.37 – $29.97 · fair‑value band $1.17 – $2.34 · the $7.95 price screens above the $1.57 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Oct 25, 2026.
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Critical Metals Corp. operates as a mining exploration and development company in Austria and Southern Greenland. The company explores for lithium and rare earth element deposits. The company is headquartered in New York, New York.
Stock analysis
Critical Metals Corp. (CRML) currently trades at $7.95, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.57, 80.3% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 89/100, which puts the data coverage at low.
Scenario range: $1.17 (bear) to $2.34 (bull), the price of $7.95 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 26/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Critical Metals Corp. Ordinary Shares reported revenue of $1.9M in FY2026 versus $0 in FY2022. Reported net income was −$228M in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap $1.0B Small · EPS (TTM) $−1.88 · Return on equity −99.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −9.7% · Operating margin −4,124% · Revenue (TTM) $1.9M · Revenue growth (YoY) +558% · Free cash flow −$42.6M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 5 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 61% below its 52-week high and 55% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −80%, CRML screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$1.17Fair Value $1.57Bull$2.34
Price $7.95 · Upside -80.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.26/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+236.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+157.0%
’23
’24
’25
’26
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−1,998.4% (2023) → −3,837.5% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (94 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Very negative
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 373 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score26 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−80.3% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−45.3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)557.7% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.04× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
P/B3.05× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 81
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)98· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 33
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Critical Metals Corp. (CRML) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.57 versus a price of $7.95, about −80% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CRML?
Our model-based fair value for Critical Metals Corp. Ordinary Shares is $1.57 (as of Oct 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $7.95.
What is the quality score of CRML?
Critical Metals Corp. Ordinary Shares has a Quality Score of 26/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Critical Metals Corp. (CRML)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.57 (as of Oct 25, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.17, optimistic scenario $2.34. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Critical Metals Corp. Ordinary Shares stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.57, about −80% upside versus a price of $7.95 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $1.17, optimistic scenario $2.34. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Critical Metals Corp. (CRML)?
Critical Metals Corp. Ordinary Shares reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.9M (latest available figure, as of Oct 25, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Critical Metals Corp. (CRML)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Critical Metals Corp. Ordinary Shares it is $1.57 per share (as of Oct 25, 2026), against a price of $7.95. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Critical Metals Corp. Ordinary Shares stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 25, 2026, CRML trades above its calculated fair value: price $7.95, fair value $1.57, a gap of about −80% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CRML?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($7.95); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.57). For Critical Metals Corp. Ordinary Shares the two are $6.38 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Critical Metals Corp. Ordinary Shares worth?
The market values Critical Metals Corp. Ordinary Shares at about $1.0B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 25, 2026). Per share that is $7.95; our models calculate a fair value of $1.57 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CRML?
Our models span a range for Critical Metals Corp. Ordinary Shares: cautious scenario $1.17, base $1.57, optimistic $2.34 per share (as of Oct 25, 2026, price $7.95). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Critical Metals Corp. (CRML)?
Balance-sheet figures for Critical Metals Corp. Ordinary Shares (as of Oct 25, 2026): return on equity −99.2%, debt of 0.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 26/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CRML from its 52-week high?
Critical Metals Corp. Ordinary Shares trades at $7.95, about 61% below its 52-week high of $20.62 and 55% above the low of $5.13 (as of Oct 29, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.57 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Critical Metals Corp. Ordinary Shares?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, Fortescue Ltd, Hindustan Zinc Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Critical Metals Corp. Ordinary Shares stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 25, 2026: price $7.95, calculated fair value $1.57 (−80%), Quality Score 26/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CRML calculated?
We run Critical Metals Corp. Ordinary Shares through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $1.57, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Critical Metals Corp. Ordinary Shares itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Critical Metals Corp. (CRML)?
The closing price on Oct 29, 2026 was $7.95. Our model-based fair value is $1.57, about −80% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Critical Metals Corp. Ordinary Shares right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($2.34). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (26/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($1.17 to $2.34) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Critical Metals Corp. Ordinary Shares
How large is the market capitalisation of Critical Metals Corp. (CRML)?
The market capitalisation of Critical Metals Corp. Ordinary Shares is $1.0B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Critical Metals Corp. (CRML)?
Earnings per share at Critical Metals Corp. Ordinary Shares are $−1.88. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Critical Metals Corp. (CRML)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Critical Metals Corp. Ordinary Shares is −99.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Critical Metals Corp. (CRML)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Critical Metals Corp. Ordinary Shares is −9.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Critical Metals Corp. (CRML)?
The operating margin of Critical Metals Corp. Ordinary Shares is −4,124% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Critical Metals Corp. (CRML)?
Revenue at Critical Metals Corp. Ordinary Shares is growing +558% versus a year earlier (3y avg +157%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Critical Metals Corp. (CRML) generate?
The free cash flow of Critical Metals Corp. Ordinary Shares is −$42.6M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Critical Metals Corp. (CRML) hold?
Critical Metals Corp. Ordinary Shares holds more cash than debt, $96.0M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Oct 25, 2026