Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk (CSAP) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk IDR 428, price IDR 292, upside +46.7%, quality 42 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 224.60 IDR – 835.35 IDR · fair‑value band 378.42 IDR – 544.10 IDR · the 292.00 IDR price screens below the 428.34 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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PT Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk, through its subsidiaries, distributes building materials, chemicals, and consumer products in Indonesia. It distributes building materials, including granite porcelain tiles; chemicals materials for industrial usage; and consumer goods, such as foods, daily necessities, and household goods.
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PT Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk, through its subsidiaries, distributes building materials, chemicals, and consumer products in Indonesia. It distributes building materials, including granite porcelain tiles; chemicals materials for industrial usage; and consumer goods, such as foods, daily necessities, and household goods. The company also distributes and retails construction materials; retails equipment; distributes ceramics; imports and distributes wooden furniture and souvenirs; develops warehouse areas; and rents land and building. In addition, it operates retail stores under the Mitra10 and Atria names. The company was founded in 1966 and is based in Jakarta, Indonesia.
Stock analysis
Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk (CSAP) currently trades at 292.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 428.34 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 31.8% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 1,503 IDR per share, and 22 of the 24 models we run sit above the 292.00 IDR price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 190.14 IDR, and 2 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 378.42 IDR (bear) to 544.10 IDR (bull), the price of 292.00 IDR sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk reported revenue of 17.5T IDR in FY2025 versus 14.2T IDR in FY2021, a compound +5.3%/yr. Reported net income was 112B IDR in FY2025, compounding −14.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 1.7T IDR (≈ $92.7M) · P/E ratio 12.9 · P/S ratio 0.08 · EPS (TTM) 22.55 IDR · Net margin 0.6% · Return on equity 3.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.0% · Operating margin 2.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 46 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −29% fair-value upside, at 47%, CSAP screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 378.42 IDRFair Value 428.34 IDRBull 544.10 IDR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (16.56 IDR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.68/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+1.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +9.2% a year
Revenue growth 19 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in IDR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+6.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+6.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.7% vs −1%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.3% → 2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−5.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Indonesia: IMF forecast 2.6% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −7.6% a year for the price.
Compare Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Industrial Distribution · 112 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/15 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score42 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+50% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)4% · Below median
Return on assets3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.23× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Industrial Distribution median · lower = cheaper
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Is Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk (CSAP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 428.34 IDR versus a price of 292.00 IDR, about +47% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CSAP?
Our model-based fair value for Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk is 428.34 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 292.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of CSAP?
Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk (CSAP)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 428.34 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 378.42 IDR, optimistic scenario 544.10 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 428.34 IDR, about +47% upside versus a price of 292.00 IDR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 378.42 IDR, optimistic scenario 544.10 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk (CSAP)?
Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 17.6T IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk (CSAP)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk would have to grow free cash flow by -5.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 15.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +6.7 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CSAP use?
Our models discount Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk at 15.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), country premium for Indonesia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk that is -5.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (15.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk (CSAP) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk grew +6.7 % a year. The price currently implies -5.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk (CSAP) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk (-5.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk (CSAP)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 49.18 %: that much free cash flow Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (15.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk (CSAP)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk it is 428.34 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 292.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, CSAP trades below its calculated fair value: price 292.00 IDR, fair value 428.34 IDR, a gap of about +47% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CSAP?
No. The price is what the market pays today (292.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (428.34 IDR). For Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk the two are 136.34 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk worth?
The market values Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk at about 1.7T IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 292.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 428.34 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CSAP?
Our models span a range for Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk: cautious scenario 378.42 IDR, base 428.34 IDR, optimistic 544.10 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 292.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CSAP?
Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 12.9 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 428.34 IDR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 2.1, P/B 0.5, P/S 0.1, EV/EBITDA 3.0.
What is the PEG ratio of CSAP?
The PEG ratio of Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk is 2.08 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk (CSAP)?
Balance-sheet figures for Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 3.8%, debt of 0.23 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 42/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CSAP from its 52-week high?
Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk trades at 292.00 IDR, about 23% below its 52-week high of 378.67 IDR and 14% above the low of 256.39 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 428.34 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value W.W. Grainger, Inc, Fastenal Company, Ferguson Enterprises Inc, WESCO International, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 292.00 IDR, calculated fair value 428.34 IDR (+47%), Quality Score 42/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CSAP calculated?
We run Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 428.34 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk currently trades 47 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk (CSAP)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 292.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 428.34 IDR, about +47% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (42/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (378.42 IDR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Where does the earnings growth of Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk (CSAP) come from?
Earnings per share at Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk grew +2.6 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +3.0 %, EBIT margin +1.0 %, tax rate +0.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −1.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk
How large is the market capitalisation of Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk (CSAP)?
The market capitalisation of Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk is 1.7T IDR (≈ $92.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk (CSAP)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk is 0.08 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk (CSAP)?
Earnings per share at Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk are 22.55 IDR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk (CSAP)?
The net margin of Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk is 0.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk (CSAP)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk is 3.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk (CSAP)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk is 5.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk (CSAP)?
The operating margin of Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk is 2.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk (CSAP)?
Revenue at Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk is growing +1.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk (CSAP)?
Earnings per share at Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk are growing +393% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk (CSAP) carry?
The net debt of Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk is 4.2T IDR (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 5.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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