Canadian Tire Corporation (CTC) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · CA · Market cap C$11.0B
Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Jul 15, 2026 — revised from C$171.35 to C$165.93 (−3.2%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +0.5% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range C$183.58 – C$265.96 · fair‑value band C$94.88 – C$291.21 · the C$211.99 price screens above the C$165.93 fair value. As of Jul 15, 2026.
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Canadian Tire Corporation (CTC) currently trades at C$211.99, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$165.93 — implying the stock looks roughly 21.7% overvalued today. We read business quality at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Canadian Tire Corporation generated revenue of C$16.4B at a net margin of 3.6%. Revenue grew 3.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.8%. Net debt stands at C$9.2B. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026
Our scenario range runs from C$94.88 (bear case) to C$291.21 (bull case); at C$211.99, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -23% fair-value upside — at -22%, CTC screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Canadian Tire Corporation, Limited provides a range of retail goods and services in Canada. It operates through three segments: Retail, CT REIT, and Financial Services. The Retail segment retails automotive maintenance products and accessories, parts, and tires, as well as automotive services comprising oil changes, tire installations, and repairs; roadside assistance; electrical, hardware, paint, plumbing, and tool products; cleaning, food and drink, home décor, home essentials, home organization, home environment, kitchen, and pet care products; camping, exercise, hockey, hunting, fishing, seasonal recreation, and team sports and golf products; and backyard living, backyard fun, cycling, gardening, outdoor tools, seasonal, and toy products. This segment offers its products under the Canadian Tire, Canadian Tire Gas+, Pro Hockey Life, Mark's, PartSource, Helly Hansen, Party City, and SportChek brand names. This segment also participates in loyalty programs, as well as sells its …
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Canadian Tire Corporation reported revenue of C$16.3B in FY2025 versus C$16.3B in FY2021, a compound +0.0%/yr. Reported net income was C$579M in FY2025, compounding −15.4%/yr from FY2021.
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Recent news
- CIRI Announces 2026 Annual General Meeting Voting Results
- Cizzle Brands Corporation Announces the Launch of CWENCH Hydration™ at Canadian Tire Gas+
- Leyad Acquires Intercity Shopping Centre in Thunder Bay
- Canadian Tire Q1 Earnings Call Highlights
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others) — not an editorial selection, not financial advice.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).
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|---|---|---|---|
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| China Tourism Group 601888 | ¥57.20 | ¥40.60 | -29% |
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| Taiwan Mobile Co 3045 | 119.00 TWD | 99.48 TWD | -16% |
| Five Below, Inc FIVE | $192.17 | $148.51 | -23% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.