Tractor Supply Company (T1SC34) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Tractor Supply Company BRL 7.41, price BRL 9.37, upside -20.9%, quality 62 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range R$8.00 – R$970,860 · fair‑value band R$4.58 – R$10.62 · the R$9.37 price screens above the R$7.41 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
Tractor Supply Company operates as a rural lifestyle retailer in the United States.
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Tractor Supply Company operates as a rural lifestyle retailer in the United States. The company provides various merchandise, including livestock and equine feed and equipment, poultry, fencing, and sprayers and chemicals; companion animal products, such as food, treats, and equipment for dogs, cats, and other small animals, as well as dog wellness products; seasonal and recreation products comprising tractors and riders, lawn and garden, bird feeding, power equipment, and other recreational products; truck, tool, and hardware products, such as truck accessories, trailers, generators, lubricants, batteries, and hardware and tools; and clothing, gift, and décor products consist of clothing, footwear, toys, snacks, and decorative merchandise. It offers its products under the 4health, Paws & Claws, American Farmworks, Producer's Pride, Bit & Bridle, Red Shed, Blue Mountain, Redstone, C.E. Schmidt, Retriever, Country Lane, Ridgecut, Countyline, Royal Wing, Country Tuff, Strive, Dumor, Traveller, Farm Table, Treeline, Groundwork, TSC Tractor Supply Co, Huskee, Untamed, JobSmart, and Impeckable brand names. The company operates its retail stores under the Tractor Supply Company, Petsense by Tractor Supply, and Orscheln Farm and Home names; and operates websites under the TractorSupply.com and Petsense.com names. It sells its products to recreational farmers, ranchers, and others. Tractor Supply Company was founded in 1938 and is based in Brentwood, Tennessee.
Stock analysis
Tractor Supply Company (T1SC34) currently trades at R$9.37, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$7.41, 20.9% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of R$10.46 per share, and 8 of the 25 models we run sit above the R$9.37 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at R$0.9600, and 17 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: R$4.58 (bear) to R$10.62 (bull), the price of R$9.37 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Tractor Supply Company reported revenue of $15.5B in FY2025 versus $14.2B in FY2022, a compound +3.0%/yr. Reported net income was $1.1B in FY2025, compounding +0.2%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap R$81.8B (≈ $15.7B) · P/E ratio 16.2 · P/S ratio 1.14 · EPS (TTM) R$0.5800 · Dividend yield 9.9% · Net margin 7.1% · Return on equity 45.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 15.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −17% fair-value upside, at −21%, T1SC34 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear R$4.58Fair Value R$7.41Bull R$10.62
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.64/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.0%
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+11.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+1.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)9.9%
Profit margin 2022 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.10% → 10%
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tractor Supply Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/T1SC34
Frequently asked questions
Is Tractor Supply Company (T1SC34) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$7.41 versus a price of R$9.37, about −21% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of T1SC34?
Our model-based fair value for Tractor Supply Company is R$7.41 (as of Sep 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: R$9.37.
What is the quality score of T1SC34?
Tractor Supply Company has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Tractor Supply Company (T1SC34)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of R$7.41 (as of Sep 29, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario R$4.58, optimistic scenario R$10.62. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Tractor Supply Company stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at R$7.41, about −21% upside versus a price of R$9.37 (overvalued). Cautious scenario R$4.58, optimistic scenario R$10.62. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Tractor Supply Company (T1SC34)?
Tractor Supply Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $15.6B (latest available figure, as of Sep 29, 2026).
Does Tractor Supply Company pay a dividend?
Tractor Supply Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 9.93% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 29, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Tractor Supply Company (T1SC34)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Tractor Supply Company it is R$7.41 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026), against a price of R$9.37. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Tractor Supply Company stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 29, 2026, T1SC34 trades above its calculated fair value: price R$9.37, fair value R$7.41, a gap of about −21% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of T1SC34?
No. The price is what the market pays today (R$9.37); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (R$7.41). For Tractor Supply Company the two are R$1.96 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Tractor Supply Company worth?
The market values Tractor Supply Company at about R$81.8B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 29, 2026). Per share that is R$9.37; our models calculate a fair value of R$7.41 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about T1SC34?
Our models span a range for Tractor Supply Company: cautious scenario R$4.58, base R$7.41, optimistic R$10.62 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026, price R$9.37). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is T1SC34 from its 52-week high?
Tractor Supply Company trades at R$9.37, about 45% below its 52-week high of R$16.98 and 17% above the low of R$8.00 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of R$7.41 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Tractor Supply Company?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc, Williams-Sonoma, Inc, Ulta Beauty, Inc, Casey's General Stores, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Tractor Supply Company stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 29, 2026: price R$9.37, calculated fair value R$7.41 (−21%), Quality Score 62/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of T1SC34 calculated?
We run Tractor Supply Company through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of R$7.41, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Tractor Supply Company itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Tractor Supply Company (T1SC34)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was R$9.37. Our model-based fair value is R$7.41, about −21% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Tractor Supply Company right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (R$4.58 to R$10.62) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Tractor Supply Company
How large is the market capitalisation of Tractor Supply Company (T1SC34)?
The market capitalisation of Tractor Supply Company is R$81.8B (≈ $15.7B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of Tractor Supply Company (T1SC34)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of Tractor Supply Company is 16.2. Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of Tractor Supply Company (T1SC34)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Tractor Supply Company is 1.14 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Tractor Supply Company (T1SC34)?
Earnings per share at Tractor Supply Company are R$0.5800 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 16.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Tractor Supply Company (T1SC34)?
The dividend yield of Tractor Supply Company is 9.9% (payout 160%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Tractor Supply Company (T1SC34)?
The net margin of Tractor Supply Company is 7.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Tractor Supply Company (T1SC34)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Tractor Supply Company is 45.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Tractor Supply Company (T1SC34)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Tractor Supply Company is 15.3% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Tractor Supply Company (T1SC34)?
The operating margin of Tractor Supply Company is 6.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Tractor Supply Company (T1SC34)?
Revenue at Tractor Supply Company is growing +3.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Tractor Supply Company (T1SC34)?
Earnings per share at Tractor Supply Company are growing −8.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Tractor Supply Company (T1SC34) generate?
The free cash flow of Tractor Supply Company is $740M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Tractor Supply Company (T1SC34) carry?
The net debt of Tractor Supply Company is $1.6B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 2.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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