Taiwan Mobile Co (3045) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · TW · Market cap 335B TWD
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price +3.0% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 38% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (87.91 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 75.86 TWD – 115.44 TWD · fair‑value band 51.62 TWD – 87.91 TWD · the 111.50 TWD price screens above the 68.83 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Taiwan Mobile Co (3045) currently trades at 111.50 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 68.83 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 38.3% overvalued today. We read business quality at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Taiwan Mobile Co generated revenue of 200B TWD at a net margin of 7.5%. Revenue grew 3.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.7%. Net debt stands at 87.8B TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 51.62 TWD (bear case) to 87.91 TWD (bull case); at 111.50 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -24% fair-value upside, at -38%, 3045 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (102.90 TWD) versus Asset-Based (19.04 TWD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 67
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Taiwan Mobile Co., Ltd. provides telecommunications, broadband, retail, digital, and financial services in Taiwan and internationally. It operates through Telecommunications, Retail, Cable Television and Broadband, and Others segments. The company provides 5g, postpaid, prepaid, e-sim, international call, international roaming, and gaming services.
Full company description
Taiwan Mobile Co., Ltd. provides telecommunications, broadband, retail, digital, and financial services in Taiwan and internationally. It operates through Telecommunications, Retail, Cable Television and Broadband, and Others segments. The company provides 5g, postpaid, prepaid, e-sim, international call, international roaming, and gaming services. Taiwan Mobile Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1997 and is based in Taipei, Taiwan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Taiwan Mobile Co reported revenue of 199B TWD in FY2025 versus 156B TWD in FY2021, a compound +6.2%/yr. Reported net income was 14.4B TWD in FY2025, compounding +7.1%/yr from FY2021.
3045 screens 38% overvalued. Compare with Casey's General Stores, Inc →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Nokia (HLSE:NOKIA) Launches AI RAN Platform And Expands Taiwan Mobile 5G Deal
- Can Nokia's Extended 5G Deal With Taiwan Mobile Drive Future Growth?
- Nokia and Taiwan Mobile extend 5G partnership to advance AI-powered networks
- Taiwan Mobile Co Ltd (TPE:3045) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Financial Performance ...
Peer Group
Specialty Retail · 221 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Retail median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Casey's General Stores, Inc CASY | $827.04 | $405.44 | -51% |
| Williams-Sonoma, Inc WSM | $222.84 | $164.16 | -26% |
| Ulta Beauty, Inc ULTA | $479.57 | $488.39 | +2% |
| DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc DKS | $208.89 | $181.10 | -13% |
| Best Buy Co BBY | $83.98 | $109.12 | +30% |
| China Tourism Group 601888 | ¥52.90 | ¥40.40 | -24% |
| Tractor Supply Company TSCO | $31.01 | $35.52 | +15% |
| Murphy USA Inc MUSA | $618.57 | $423.35 | -32% |
| Five Below, Inc FIVE | $197.71 | $117.29 | -41% |
| GameStop Corp GME | $21.68 | $15.31 | -29% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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