Cufe Ltd (CUF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Cufe Ltd A$0.03, price A$0.05, upside -32.0%, quality 46 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0050 – A$0.1100 · fair‑value band A$0.0302 – A$0.0753 · the A$0.0510 price screens above the A$0.0347 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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CuFe Ltd operates as a mineral exploration and production company in Australia. The company primarily explores for lithium, copper, iron ore, gold, niobium, and base metal deposits, as well as rare earth elements. The company was formerly known as Fe Limited and changed its name to CuFe Ltd in November 2021.
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CuFe Ltd operates as a mineral exploration and production company in Australia. The company primarily explores for lithium, copper, iron ore, gold, niobium, and base metal deposits, as well as rare earth elements. The company was formerly known as Fe Limited and changed its name to CuFe Ltd in November 2021. CuFe Ltd was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in West Leederville, Australia.
Stock analysis
Cufe Ltd (CUF) currently trades at A$0.0510, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0347, implying the stock looks roughly 47.0% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of A$0.1500 per share, and 6 of the 9 models we run sit above the A$0.0510 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at A$0.0200, and 3 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: A$0.0302 (bear) to A$0.0753 (bull), the price of A$0.0510 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Cufe Ltd reported revenue of A$4.0M in FY2025 versus A$116K in FY2021, a compound +142.3%/yr. Reported net income was A$7.0M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap A$110M (≈ $77.1M) · P/S ratio 1.14 · Return on equity −19.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −26.5% · Revenue growth (YoY) +154% · Free cash flow −A$24.6M · Net cash A$2.2M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 46 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 364% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −32%, CUF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear A$0.0302Fair Value A$0.0347Bull A$0.0753
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.6/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−95.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−50.5%
Revenue growth 19 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.9%
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’16
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−15.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−15.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−16% vs −4%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−1,027,849% → 15%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 7.1%/yr over ~17Y (margin trend unclear) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 457 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/8 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score51 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−32% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets−11% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)175% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth154% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
P/B5.88× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)0.80× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 36
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 30
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Cufe Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CUF
Frequently asked questions
Is Cufe Ltd (CUF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0347 versus a price of A$0.0510, about −32% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CUF?
Our model-based fair value for Cufe Ltd is A$0.0347 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0510.
What is the quality score of CUF?
Cufe Ltd has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Cufe Ltd (CUF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0347 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0302, optimistic scenario A$0.0753. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Cufe Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0347, about −32% upside versus a price of A$0.0510 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0302, optimistic scenario A$0.0753. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Cufe Ltd (CUF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Cufe Ltd it is A$0.0347 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of A$0.0510. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Cufe Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, CUF trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.0510, fair value A$0.0347, a gap of about −32% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CUF?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0510); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0347). For Cufe Ltd the two are A$0.0163 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Cufe Ltd worth?
The market values Cufe Ltd at about A$110M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0510; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0347 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CUF?
Our models span a range for Cufe Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0302, base A$0.0347, optimistic A$0.0753 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price A$0.0510). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Cufe Ltd (CUF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Cufe Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −19.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CUF from its 52-week high?
Cufe Ltd trades at A$0.0510, about 30% below its 52-week high of A$0.0730 and 364% above the low of A$0.0110 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0347 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Cufe Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Vale S.A, Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Cufe Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price A$0.0510, calculated fair value A$0.0347 (−32%), Quality Score 46/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CUF calculated?
We run Cufe Ltd through 10 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0347, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Cufe Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Cufe Ltd (CUF)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was A$0.0510. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0347, about −32% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Cufe Ltd right now?
The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (A$0.0302 to A$0.0753) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Cufe Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Cufe Ltd (CUF)?
The market capitalisation of Cufe Ltd is A$110M (≈ $77.1M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Cufe Ltd (CUF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Cufe Ltd is 1.14 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the return on equity of Cufe Ltd (CUF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Cufe Ltd is −19.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Cufe Ltd (CUF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Cufe Ltd is −26.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How fast is revenue growing at Cufe Ltd (CUF)?
Revenue at Cufe Ltd is growing +154% versus a year earlier (3y avg −50.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Cufe Ltd (CUF) generate?
The free cash flow of Cufe Ltd is −A$24.6M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Cufe Ltd (CUF) hold?
Cufe Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$2.2M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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