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CEL-SCI Corp (CVM) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $18.2M · ISIN US1508377066

CS CEL-SCI Corp logo CEL-SCI Corp CVM · US
Price$1.56
Fair Value$0.8415
Upside-46.1%
Quality50/100
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Strengths

Ranks above peers (6/10)

Risks

!Trades 85% ABOVE our fair value of $0.8415
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −3.2 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −3.2 %/yr)
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
Ranks above peers (6/10)
Narrow moat 5/100
Evidence: Low Range $0.6311 – $1.05 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Share price +36.8% over the past month.

A solid business, but trading 85% above our fair value.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

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What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($1.05). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$752.40 $0.9744 Fair Value $0.8415 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.9744 – $752.40 · fair‑value band $0.6311 – $1.05 · the $1.56 price screens above the $0.8415 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

CEL-SCI Corp (CVM) currently trades at $1.56, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.8415, implying the stock looks roughly 46.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $28.6K. Revenue declined 62.7% year over year. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $1.6M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.6311 (bear case) to $1.05 (bull case); at $1.56, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at -46%, CVM screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
EV/EBITDA $0.7388 $0.9851 $1.23 54
NCAV (Graham) $0.0001 $0.0002 $0.0003 50
Owner Earnings $0.7749 $1.52 $2.83 31
All 3 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $0.7749 $1.52 $2.83 31
Multiples
EV/EBITDA $0.7388 $0.9851 $1.23 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.0001 $0.0002 $0.0003 50

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($1.52) versus Asset-Based ($0.0002). Highest evidence: EV/EBITDA (54).

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Key figures & financial health

EPS (TTM) $-2.15
Return on equity -305% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) -81.6% avg 5y
Revenue (TTM) $28.6K TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) -62.7%
Free cash flow −$17.2B FY2025
More key figures
Balance sheet & cash flow
Net cash $1.6M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 22

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 75
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 60
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 46
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 17
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 3
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

CEL-SCI Corporation, a clinical-stage biotechnology company, engages in the research and development to treat cancer and other diseases by using the immune system in the United States. The company's lead immunotherapy is Multikine, which has completed Phase III clinical trials for the potential treatment of certain head and neck cancers.

Full company description

CEL-SCI Corporation, a clinical-stage biotechnology company, engages in the research and development to treat cancer and other diseases by using the immune system in the United States. The company's lead immunotherapy is Multikine, which has completed Phase III clinical trials for the potential treatment of certain head and neck cancers. It is also developing Ligand Epitope Antigen Presentation System (LEAPS) technology, a patented T-cell modulation process that stimulates the human immune system to fight bacterial, viral, parasitic infections, autoimmune conditions, allergies, transplantation rejections, and cancer, as well as to potentially treat rheumatoid arthritis. In addition, the company's LEAP product candidates include CEL-2000; CEL-4000; and CEL-5000 that are in preclinical trials for potential rheumatoid arthritis therapeutic treatments. CEL-SCI Corporation has a strategic partnership with Saudi Arabian Pharma Company for Multikine in the treatment of head and neck cancer. The company was incorporated in 1983 and is headquartered in Vienna, Virginia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

CEL-SCI Corp reported revenue of $0 in FY2025 versus $0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −$25.4M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2020)
$559K
Latest YoY
+20.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−3.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (34Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.2%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue
FY21 $0
FY22 $0
FY23 $0
FY24 $0
FY25 $0
Net income
FY21 −$39.2M
FY22 −$38.3M
FY23 −$32.4M
FY24 −$26.9M
FY25 −$25.4M

CVM screens 46% overvalued. Compare with Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "CEL-SCI Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CVM

Peer Group

Biotechnology · 639 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 50 · Above median
Fair Value upside −46% · Above median
Return on assets -70% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Above median
Revenue growth -63% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.84× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.14× · Cheaper than median
PEG 1.12× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE0 · sector 0
PAST0 · sector 0
HEALTH58 · sector 98
DIVIDEND0 · sector 26

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $547.55 $278.78 -49%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN $807.71 $594.40 -26%
argenx SE ARGX €877.60 €292.84 -67%
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,594,000 KRW 1,055,793 KRW -34%
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc ALNY $228.61 $51.70 -77%
Royalty Pharma plc RPRX $60.58 $24.22 -60%
Celltrion, Inc 068270 190,700 KRW 74,519 KRW -61%
BeOne Medicines AG ONC $362.51 $111.35 -69%
BioNTech SE BNTX $111.40 $45.66 -59%
Incyte Corporation INCY $128.12 $115.79 -10%

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Frequently asked questions

Is CEL-SCI Corp (CVM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.8415 versus a price of $1.56, about −46% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CVM?
Our model-based fair value for CEL-SCI Corp is $0.8415 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.56.
What is the quality score of CVM?
CEL-SCI Corp has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of CEL-SCI Corp (CVM)?
CEL-SCI Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $28.6K (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CVM?
The net profit margin of CEL-SCI Corp is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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