CEL-SCI Corp (CVM) Fair Value & Analysis
Healthcare · US · Market cap $18.2M · ISIN US1508377066
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 15 days ago
Share price +36.8% over the past month.
A solid business, but trading 85% above our fair value.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($1.05). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.9744 – $752.40 · fair‑value band $0.6311 – $1.05 · the $1.56 price screens above the $0.8415 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
CEL-SCI Corp (CVM) currently trades at $1.56, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.8415, implying the stock looks roughly 46.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $28.6K. Revenue declined 62.7% year over year. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $1.6M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.6311 (bear case) to $1.05 (bull case); at $1.56, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at -46%, CVM screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($1.52) versus Asset-Based ($0.0002). Highest evidence: EV/EBITDA (54).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 22
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
CEL-SCI Corporation, a clinical-stage biotechnology company, engages in the research and development to treat cancer and other diseases by using the immune system in the United States. The company's lead immunotherapy is Multikine, which has completed Phase III clinical trials for the potential treatment of certain head and neck cancers.
Full company description
CEL-SCI Corporation, a clinical-stage biotechnology company, engages in the research and development to treat cancer and other diseases by using the immune system in the United States. The company's lead immunotherapy is Multikine, which has completed Phase III clinical trials for the potential treatment of certain head and neck cancers. It is also developing Ligand Epitope Antigen Presentation System (LEAPS) technology, a patented T-cell modulation process that stimulates the human immune system to fight bacterial, viral, parasitic infections, autoimmune conditions, allergies, transplantation rejections, and cancer, as well as to potentially treat rheumatoid arthritis. In addition, the company's LEAP product candidates include CEL-2000; CEL-4000; and CEL-5000 that are in preclinical trials for potential rheumatoid arthritis therapeutic treatments. CEL-SCI Corporation has a strategic partnership with Saudi Arabian Pharma Company for Multikine in the treatment of head and neck cancer. The company was incorporated in 1983 and is headquartered in Vienna, Virginia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
CEL-SCI Corp reported revenue of $0 in FY2025 versus $0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −$25.4M in FY2025.
CVM screens 46% overvalued. Compare with Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated →
Peer Group
Biotechnology · 639 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX | $547.55 | $278.78 | -49% |
| Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN | $807.71 | $594.40 | -26% |
| argenx SE ARGX | €877.60 | €292.84 | -67% |
| Samsung Biologics Co 207940 | 1,594,000 KRW | 1,055,793 KRW | -34% |
| Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc ALNY | $228.61 | $51.70 | -77% |
| Royalty Pharma plc RPRX | $60.58 | $24.22 | -60% |
| Celltrion, Inc 068270 | 190,700 KRW | 74,519 KRW | -61% |
| BeOne Medicines AG ONC | $362.51 | $111.35 | -69% |
| BioNTech SE BNTX | $111.40 | $45.66 | -59% |
| Incyte Corporation INCY | $128.12 | $115.79 | -10% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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