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Dätwyler Holding (DAE) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CH · Market cap CHF 2.6B

DH Dätwyler Holding DAE · SW
PriceCHF 139.20
Fair ValueCHF 68.77
Upside-50.6%
Quality73/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 7.3% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
2.15% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
Moderate moat 58/100
Evidence: High Range CHF 43.48 – CHF 108.22 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from CHF 68.58 to CHF 68.77 (+0.3%) since Jul 5, 2026. Share price −7.2% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 51% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 73/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (CHF 108.22). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • A fairly wide model range (CHF 43.48 to CHF 108.22) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

CHF 368.63 CHF 106.10 Fair Value CHF 68.77 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range CHF 106.10 – CHF 368.63 · fair‑value band CHF 43.48 – CHF 108.22 · the CHF 139.20 price screens above the CHF 68.77 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

Dätwyler Holding (DAE) currently trades at CHF 139.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is CHF 68.77, implying the stock looks roughly 50.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 73/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Dätwyler Holding generated revenue of CHF 1.1B at a net margin of 7.3%. Revenue grew 0.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 21.9%. Net debt stands at CHF 379M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from CHF 43.48 (bear case) to CHF 108.22 (bull case); at CHF 139.20, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 27% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -35% fair-value upside, at -51%, DAE screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF CHF 49.82 CHF 74.10 CHF 114.46 80
Residual Income CHF 28.42 CHF 34.99 CHF 93.34 76
Rev-Margin DCF CHF 38.45 CHF 66.18 CHF 100.41 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF CHF 46.91 CHF 72.10 CHF 117.48 38
Owner Earnings CHF 37.85 CHF 59.75 CHF 99.20 31
5Y Revenue Exit CHF 38.45 CHF 64.50 CHF 102.40 39
5Y EBITDA Exit CHF 61.00 CHF 103.51 CHF 159.89 41
5Y P/E Exit CHF 43.83 CHF 73.81 CHF 109.74 38
10Y Revenue Exit CHF 39.85 CHF 59.37 CHF 80.17 36
10Y EBITDA Exit CHF 54.76 CHF 83.01 CHF 113.29 37
10Y P/E Exit CHF 44.56 CHF 65.01 CHF 84.40 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd CHF 32.32 CHF 40.06 CHF 45.26 54
EPV CHF 20.31 CHF 27.04 CHF 32.84 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM CHF 28.10 CHF 30.63 CHF 34.45 70
DDM Multi-Stage CHF 28.10 CHF 34.82 CHF 43.92 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple CHF 74.86 CHF 99.81 CHF 124.76 63
P/S Multiple CHF 60.60 CHF 80.80 CHF 101.00 58
P/B Multiple CHF 60.60 CHF 80.80 CHF 101.00 55
EV/EBIT CHF 61.91 CHF 89.99 CHF 118.06 53
EV/EBITDA CHF 85.91 CHF 121.99 CHF 158.06 54
EV/Revenue CHF 37.80 CHF 63.56 CHF 89.33 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) CHF 10.86 CHF 14.56 CHF 21.73 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF CHF 49.82 CHF 74.10 CHF 114.46 80
Rev-Margin DCF CHF 38.45 CHF 66.18 CHF 100.41 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income CHF 28.42 CHF 34.99 CHF 93.34 76
ROIC Compounder CHF 20.31 CHF 27.71 CHF 35.80 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E CHF 52.86 CHF 75.51 CHF 98.17 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (CHF 80.80) versus Asset-Based (CHF 14.56). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) CHF 1.1B
Revenue growth (YoY) +0.4%
Net margin 7.3%
Return on equity 21.9%
Free cash flow CHF 127M FY2025
P/E ratio 31.6
More key figures
Operating margin 11.8%
EPS (TTM) CHF 4.75
Dividend yield 2.2%
EPS growth (YoY) -1.8%
Net debt CHF 379M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 73/100

Of which business quality 69 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42

Profitability 58
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 72
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 70
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 56
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 96
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 61
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 35
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 35
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Dätwyler Holding AG engages in the production and sale of elastomer components for healthcare, automotive, industries, and food and beverage industries in Switzerland, rest of Europe, North and South America, Asia, and internationally. It operates in two divisions, Healthcare and Industrial.

Full company description

Dätwyler Holding AG engages in the production and sale of elastomer components for healthcare, automotive, industries, and food and beverage industries in Switzerland, rest of Europe, North and South America, Asia, and internationally. It operates in two divisions, Healthcare and Industrial. The Healthcare division offers rubber components for prefilled syringes, pens, and injection systems; components and closures for injectable drugs in vials; and rubber components for blood collection systems, IV administration sets, disposable syringes, diagnostics and medical devices, etc. The Industrial division provides batteries and powertrains in electric vehicles, brake systems, interior and active assistance and safety systems in various cars, as well as fuel and engine management and exhaust gas aftertreatment in combustion engines; seals and components for electrical connectors; sealing solutions; and sealing components for upstream systems in the oil and gas, aerospace, heavy machinery, power tools and process, and water treatment industries. The company was founded in 1915 and is based in Altdorf, Switzerland. Dätwyler Holding AG is a subsidiary of Pema Holding AG.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Dätwyler Holding reported revenue of CHF 1.1B in FY2025 versus CHF 948M in FY2021, a compound +3.8%/yr. Reported net income was CHF 80.8M in FY2025, compounding −19.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 70/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
CHF 1.1B
Latest YoY
−0.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−1.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+6.0%
Avg. growth/yr (23Y)
+0.3%
Revenue +3.8%/yr
FY21 CHF 948M
FY22 CHF 1.2B
FY23 CHF 1.2B
FY24 CHF 1.1B
FY25 CHF 1.1B
Net income −19.7%/yr
FY21 CHF 194M
FY22 CHF 105M
FY23 CHF 66.8M
FY24 CHF 31.1M
FY25 CHF 80.8M

DAE screens 51% overvalued. Compare with W.W. Grainger, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Dätwyler Holding Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DAE

Peer Group

Industrial Distribution · 104 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 73 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −51% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 22% · Top 25%
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.2% · Above median
Debt / equity 1.37× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Industrial Distribution median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 31.6× · Pricier than median
P/B 8.55× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.87× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 24.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 17.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 19
FUTURE 2 · sector 19
PAST 88 · sector 35
HEALTH 32 · sector 90
DIVIDEND 43 · sector 30

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Industrial Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
W.W. Grainger, Inc GWW $1,376 $625.61 -55%
Fastenal Company FAST $45.49 $20.64 -55%
Ferguson Enterprises Inc FERG $232.02 $151.92 -35%
WESCO International, Inc WCC $326.71 $213.01 -35%
Watsco, Inc WSO $385.16 $268.10 -30%
Toromont Industries Ltd TIH C$232.22 C$127.90 -45%
Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc AIT $329.35 $191.65 -42%
Finning International Inc FTT C$102.50 C$76.38 -25%
Addtech AB ADDTB kr 329.20 kr 156.35 -53%
Core & Main, Inc CNM $44.66 $49.47 +11%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Dätwyler Holding (DAE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of CHF 68.77 versus a price of CHF 139.20, about −51% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of DAE?
Our model-based fair value for Dätwyler Holding is CHF 68.77 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is CHF 139.20.
What is the quality score of DAE?
Dätwyler Holding has a Quality Score of 73/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Dätwyler Holding (DAE)?
Dätwyler Holding reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about CHF 1.1B (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of DAE?
The net profit margin of Dätwyler Holding is about 7.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Dätwyler Holding pay a dividend?
Dätwyler Holding currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.99% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 16, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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