Daetwyl I (DAE) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Daetwyl I CHF 73.61, price CHF 128, upside -42.3%, quality 73 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range CHF 106.10 – CHF 368.63 · fair‑value band CHF 45.79 – CHF 109.91 · the CHF 127.60 price screens above the CHF 73.61 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Dätwyler Holding AG engages in the production and sale of elastomer components for healthcare, automotive, industries, and food and beverage industries in Switzerland, rest of Europe, North and South America, Asia, and internationally. It operates in two divisions, Healthcare and Industrial.
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Dätwyler Holding AG engages in the production and sale of elastomer components for healthcare, automotive, industries, and food and beverage industries in Switzerland, rest of Europe, North and South America, Asia, and internationally. It operates in two divisions, Healthcare and Industrial. The Healthcare division offers rubber components for prefilled syringes, pens, and injection systems; components and closures for injectable drugs in vials; and rubber components for blood collection systems, IV administration sets, disposable syringes, diagnostics and medical devices, etc. The Industrial division provides batteries and powertrains in electric vehicles, brake systems, interior and active assistance and safety systems in various cars, as well as fuel and engine management and exhaust gas aftertreatment in combustion engines; seals and components for electrical connectors; sealing solutions; and sealing components for upstream systems in the oil and gas, aerospace, heavy machinery, power tools and process, and water treatment industries. The company was founded in 1915 and is based in Altdorf, Switzerland. Dätwyler Holding AG is a subsidiary of Pema Holding AG.
Stock analysis
Daetwyl I (DAE) currently trades at CHF 127.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is CHF 73.61, implying the stock looks roughly 73.3% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of CHF 80.80 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the CHF 127.60 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at CHF 14.56, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: CHF 45.79 (bear) to CHF 109.91 (bull), the price of CHF 127.60 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 73/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Daetwyl I reported revenue of CHF 1.1B in FY2025 versus CHF 948M in FY2021, a compound +3.8%/yr. Reported net income was CHF 80.8M in FY2025, compounding −19.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap CHF 2.6B · P/E ratio 31.6 · P/S ratio 2.32 · EPS (TTM) CHF 4.75 · Dividend yield 2.5% · Net margin 7.3% · Return on equity 21.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 51 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −28% fair-value upside, at −42%, DAE screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear CHF 45.79Fair Value CHF 73.61Bull CHF 109.91
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (CHF 1.13 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.70/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−0.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −0.6% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−13.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−16.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−16% vs −1%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.16% → 10%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 1.5%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+9.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+5.8%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Switzerland: IMF forecast 0.6% a year to 2030, 0.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +9.1% a year for the price and +5.2% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Industrial Distribution · 110 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score73 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−43% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)22% · Top 25%
Return on assets7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)7% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)12% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)2.5% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.37× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Industrial Distribution median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)31.6× · Pricier than median
P/B8.38× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)2.81× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF24.4× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA17.4× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 34
FUTURE (revenue growth)2· sector 18
PAST (return on equity)88· sector 35
HEALTH (low debt)32· sector 91
DIVIDEND (yield)50· sector 39
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Daetwyl I Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DAE
Frequently asked questions
Is Daetwyl I (DAE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of CHF 73.61 versus a price of CHF 127.60, about −42% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of DAE?
Our model-based fair value for Daetwyl I is CHF 73.61 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: CHF 127.60.
What is the quality score of DAE?
Daetwyl I has a Quality Score of 73/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Daetwyl I (DAE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of CHF 73.61 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario CHF 45.79, optimistic scenario CHF 109.91. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Daetwyl I stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at CHF 73.61, about −42% upside versus a price of CHF 127.60 (overvalued). Cautious scenario CHF 45.79, optimistic scenario CHF 109.91. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Daetwyl I (DAE)?
Daetwyl I reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about CHF 1.1B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Daetwyl I pay a dividend?
Daetwyl I currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.51% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Daetwyl I (DAE)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Daetwyl I would have to grow free cash flow by +9.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +6.0 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of DAE use?
Our models discount Daetwyl I at 9.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.12, country premium for Switzerland. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Daetwyl I that is +9.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Daetwyl I (DAE) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Daetwyl I grew +6.0 % a year. The price currently implies +9.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Daetwyl I (DAE) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Daetwyl I (+9.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Daetwyl I (DAE)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.85 %: that much free cash flow Daetwyl I produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Daetwyl I (DAE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Daetwyl I it is CHF 73.61 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of CHF 127.60. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Daetwyl I stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, DAE trades above its calculated fair value: price CHF 127.60, fair value CHF 73.61, a gap of about −42% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of DAE?
No. The price is what the market pays today (CHF 127.60); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (CHF 73.61). For Daetwyl I the two are CHF 53.99 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Daetwyl I worth?
The market values Daetwyl I at about CHF 2.6B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is CHF 127.60; our models calculate a fair value of CHF 73.61 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about DAE?
Our models span a range for Daetwyl I: cautious scenario CHF 45.79, base CHF 73.61, optimistic CHF 109.91 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price CHF 127.60). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of DAE?
Daetwyl I trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 31.6 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of CHF 73.61 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 8.4, P/S 2.8, EV/EBITDA 17.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Daetwyl I (DAE)?
Balance-sheet figures for Daetwyl I (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 21.9%, debt of 1.37 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 73/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is DAE from its 52-week high?
Daetwyl I trades at CHF 127.60, about 24% below its 52-week high of CHF 169.00 and 3% above the low of CHF 124.00 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of CHF 73.61 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Daetwyl I?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value W.W. Grainger, Inc, Fastenal Company, Ferguson Enterprises Inc, WESCO International, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Daetwyl I stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price CHF 127.60, calculated fair value CHF 73.61 (−42%), Quality Score 73/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of DAE calculated?
We run Daetwyl I through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of CHF 73.61, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Daetwyl I itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Daetwyl I (DAE)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was CHF 127.60. Our model-based fair value is CHF 73.61, about −42% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Daetwyl I right now?
A high-quality business (quality 73/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety. The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (CHF 109.91). The favourable scenario is already priced in. A fairly wide model range (CHF 45.79 to CHF 109.91) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Daetwyl I (DAE) come from?
Earnings per share at Daetwyl I grew −3.6 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −1.2 %, EBIT margin −2.1 %, tax rate −0.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Daetwyl I
How large is the market capitalisation of Daetwyl I (DAE)?
The market capitalisation of Daetwyl I is CHF 2.6B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Daetwyl I (DAE)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Daetwyl I is 2.32 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Daetwyl I (DAE)?
Earnings per share at Daetwyl I are CHF 4.75 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 31.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Daetwyl I (DAE)?
The dividend yield of Daetwyl I is 2.5% (payout 67.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Daetwyl I (DAE)?
The net margin of Daetwyl I is 7.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Daetwyl I (DAE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Daetwyl I is 21.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Daetwyl I (DAE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Daetwyl I is 10.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Daetwyl I (DAE)?
The operating margin of Daetwyl I is 11.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Daetwyl I (DAE)?
Revenue at Daetwyl I is growing +0.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Daetwyl I (DAE)?
Earnings per share at Daetwyl I are growing −1.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Daetwyl I (DAE) carry?
The net debt of Daetwyl I is CHF 379M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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