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Dekpol SA (DEK) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Dekpol SA stock PLN 164, price PLN 55.00, upside +198.9%, quality 64 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Industrials PL · ISIN PLDEKPL00032

DS Dekpol SA logo Thin data Nov 8, 2026

Dekpol SA

DEK · WAR
Undervalued, but in a downtrend

The stock costs 67% less than our calculation considers fair.

Fair value 164.40 PLN · Strongly undervalued
Quality 64/100
Healthy Growth (revenue YoY +33.6 %/yr in PLN)
Low debt
Generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (11/14)
Even on cautious assumptions the value is 109% above the price (115.08 PLN).
Thin margins · 3.9% net margin (TTM)
Narrow moat 41/100 · thin data
Thin data
⚠ Small free float
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

94.11 PLN 18.44 PLN Fair Value 164.40 PLN Jun 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 18.44 PLN – 94.11 PLN · fair‑value band 115.08 PLN – 213.72 PLN · the 55.00 PLN price screens below the 164.40 PLN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.

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Company profile

Dekpol S.A. primary engages in the general contracting and steel structures and equipment businesses in Poland.

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The company constructs industrial, public utility, sports and recreational facilities; environmental protection facilities; sanitary, road and hydrotechnical works; produces buckets and integrated accessories for machines; and engages in sells of housing estates, single-family housing estates, luxury apartment buildings, condo and aparthotels as well as commercial and service areas.

It also manufactures steel structures and equipment for construction machines. The company was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Zblewo, Poland.

Stock analysis

Dekpol SA (DEK) currently trades at 55.00 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 164.40 PLN, implying the stock looks roughly 67% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of 555.14 PLN per share, and 23 of the 26 models we run sit above the 55.00 PLN price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 40.45 PLN, and 3 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 115.08 PLN (bear) to 213.72 PLN (bull), the price of 55.00 PLN sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Dekpol SA reported revenue of 1.9B PLN in FY2025 versus 1.3B PLN in FY2021, a compound +10.6%/yr. Reported net income was 104M PLN in FY2025, compounding +8.3%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 460M PLN (≈ $117M) Micro · P/E ratio 7.1 · P/S ratio 0.28 · EPS (TTM) 7.79 PLN · Dividend yield 6.0% · Net margin 3.9% · Return on equity 9.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.1% (5-year average).

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 41 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −42% fair-value upside, at 199%, DEK screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 115.08 PLN Fair Value 164.40 PLN Bull 213.72 PLN
Price 55.00 PLN · Upside +198.9%
Capped: our models arrive at a very high value here. We deliberately show a more cautious Fair Value.
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (6.68 PLN per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF 402.41 PLN 608.88 PLN 1,123 PLN 77
Growth DCF 382.99 PLN 638.76 PLN 1,054 PLN 76
Residual Income 75.58 PLN 89.59 PLN 123.69 PLN 76
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 402.41 PLN 608.88 PLN 1,123 PLN 77
Owner Earnings 276.02 PLN 532.16 PLN 978.70 PLN 73
5Y Revenue Exit 272.69 PLN 449.99 PLN 767.59 PLN 70
5Y EBITDA Exit 284.93 PLN 476.70 PLN 800.31 PLN 73
5Y P/E Exit 269.03 PLN 469.07 PLN 713.91 PLN 69
10Y Revenue Exit 310.20 PLN 521.53 PLN 766.83 PLN 66
10Y EBITDA Exit 323.39 PLN 541.21 PLN 904.18 PLN 66
10Y P/E Exit 313.72 PLN 515.65 PLN 832.92 PLN 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 84.92 PLN 579.04 PLN 811.81 PLN 63
Lynch FV 170.12 PLN 243.02 PLN 315.93 PLN 61
PEG = 1.0 170.12 PLN 243.02 PLN 315.93 PLN 57
EPV 129.13 PLN 144.00 PLN 156.12 PLN 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 24.56 PLN 41.69 PLN 54.67 PLN 68
DDM Multi-Stage 24.56 PLN 39.28 PLN 44.80 PLN 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple 196.69 PLN 262.25 PLN 327.82 PLN 63
P/S Multiple 159.23 PLN 212.30 PLN 265.38 PLN 58
P/B Multiple 50.66 PLN 67.55 PLN 84.44 PLN 55
EV/EBIT 261.86 PLN 350.23 PLN 438.60 PLN 66
EV/EBITDA 219.69 PLN 294.00 PLN 368.31 PLN 67
EV/Revenue 185.97 PLN 267.06 PLN 348.15 PLN 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 26.70 PLN 40.45 PLN 50.57 PLN 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 382.99 PLN 638.76 PLN 1,054 PLN 76
Rev-Margin DCF 272.69 PLN 471.51 PLN 763.08 PLN 71
Economic Profit
Residual Income 75.58 PLN 89.59 PLN 123.69 PLN 76
ROIC Compounder 148.11 PLN 192.80 PLN 249.61 PLN 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 234.70 PLN 335.29 PLN 435.87 PLN 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 64/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 47
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 67
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 80
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 60
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 55
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 76
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 13
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 0
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 82
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+20.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+14.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)6.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.14.6% vs 19.7%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.8% → 9%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 791 stocks

Beats the industry median on 11/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 64 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +200.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 9.5% · Above median
Return on assets 5.4% · Above median
Net margin (12 months) 3.9% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months) 4.3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −27.2% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 6.0% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.47× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 7.1× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 0.66× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 0.28× · Cheapest 25%
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year) 1.7× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 3.4× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 34
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 20
PAST (return on equity)38 · sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)77 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 44

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Vinci SA DG €111.60 €186.68 +67% vs DEK
Comfort Systems USA, Inc FIX $1,018 $1,119 +10% vs DEK
EMCOR Group EME $608.45 $524.14 −14% vs DEK
ACS, Actividades de Construcción y Servicios, S.A ACS €87.00 €62.21 −28% vs DEK
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 273,500 KRW 159,702 KRW −42% vs DEK
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹4,118 ₹2,302 −44% vs DEK
HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft HOT €365.60 €203.86 −44% vs DEK
APi Group APG $40.87 $19.20 −53% vs DEK
Ferrovial N.V FER $58.71 $23.06 −61% vs DEK
Quanta Services, Inc PWR $540.90 $162.41 −70% vs DEK

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Dekpol SA: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Dekpol SA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DEK

Frequently asked questions

Is Dekpol SA (DEK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 164.40 PLN versus a price of 55.00 PLN, about +199% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of DEK?
Our model-based fair value for Dekpol SA is 164.40 PLN (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 55.00 PLN.
What is the quality score of DEK?
Dekpol SA has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Dekpol SA (DEK)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 164.40 PLN (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 115.08 PLN, optimistic scenario 213.72 PLN. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Dekpol SA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 164.40 PLN, about +199% upside versus a price of 55.00 PLN (undervalued). Cautious scenario 115.08 PLN, optimistic scenario 213.72 PLN. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Dekpol SA (DEK)?
Dekpol SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.7B PLN (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
Does Dekpol SA pay a dividend?
Dekpol SA currently shows a dividend yield of 5.99% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 8, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Dekpol SA (DEK)?
Dekpol SA has a dividend yield of 6.0%.
What is the intrinsic value of Dekpol SA (DEK)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Dekpol SA it is 164.40 PLN per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of 55.00 PLN. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Dekpol SA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, DEK trades below its calculated fair value: price 55.00 PLN, fair value 164.40 PLN, a gap of about +199% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of DEK?
No. The price is what the market pays today (55.00 PLN); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (164.40 PLN). For Dekpol SA the two are 109.40 PLN per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Dekpol SA worth?
The market values Dekpol SA at about 460M PLN (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is 55.00 PLN; our models calculate a fair value of 164.40 PLN per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about DEK?
Our models span a range for Dekpol SA: cautious scenario 115.08 PLN, base 164.40 PLN, optimistic 213.72 PLN per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price 55.00 PLN). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of DEK?
Dekpol SA trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 7.1 (as of Nov 8, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 164.40 PLN is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings: 4.3. Other multiples: P/B 0.7, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 3.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Dekpol SA (DEK)?
Balance-sheet figures for Dekpol SA (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity 9.5%, debt of 0.47 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 64/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is DEK from its 52-week high?
Dekpol SA trades at 55.00 PLN, about 42% below its 52-week high of 94.11 PLN and at the low of 54.80 PLN (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 164.40 PLN is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Dekpol SA?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Larsen & Toubro Limited, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Dekpol SA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price 55.00 PLN, calculated fair value 164.40 PLN (+199%), Quality Score 64/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of DEK calculated?
We run Dekpol SA through 26 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 164.40 PLN builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Dekpol SA currently trades 67% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Dekpol SA (DEK)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was 55.00 PLN. Our model-based fair value is 164.40 PLN, about +199% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Dekpol SA right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (115.08 PLN). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (64/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (115.08 PLN to 213.72 PLN) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Dekpol SA (DEK) come from?
Earnings per share at Dekpol SA grew +20.9 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +21.8 %, EBIT margin −0.8 %, tax rate −1.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +1.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Dekpol SA

How large is the market capitalisation of Dekpol SA (DEK)?
The market capitalisation of Dekpol SA is 460M PLN (≈ $117M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Dekpol SA (DEK)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Dekpol SA is 0.28 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Dekpol SA (DEK)?
Earnings per share at Dekpol SA are 7.79 PLN (price ÷ EPS = P/E 7.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Dekpol SA (DEK)?
The dividend yield of Dekpol SA is 6.0% (payout 42.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Dekpol SA (DEK)?
The net margin of Dekpol SA is 3.9% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Dekpol SA (DEK)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Dekpol SA is 9.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Dekpol SA (DEK)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Dekpol SA is 8.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Dekpol SA (DEK)?
The operating margin of Dekpol SA is 4.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Dekpol SA (DEK)?
Revenue at Dekpol SA is growing −27.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +10.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Dekpol SA (DEK)?
Earnings per share at Dekpol SA are growing −66.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Dekpol SA (DEK) generate?
The free cash flow of Dekpol SA is 267M PLN (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Dekpol SA (DEK) carry?
The net debt of Dekpol SA is 27.2M PLN (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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