DEUTZ Aktiengesellschaft (DEZ) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · DE · Market cap €1.4B
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 28 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from €4.29 to €7.24 (+68.8%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +17.7% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 30% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€10.02). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €2.74 – €12.29 · fair‑value band €7.24 – €10.02 · the €10.31 price screens above the €7.24 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
DEUTZ Aktiengesellschaft (DEZ) currently trades at €10.31, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €7.24, implying the stock looks roughly 29.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, DEUTZ Aktiengesellschaft generated revenue of €2.1B at a net margin of 4.1%. Revenue grew 8.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.2%. Net debt stands at €269M. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €7.24 (bear case) to €10.02 (bull case); at €10.31, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 56% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -30%, DEZ screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (€6.13) versus Dividend Discount (€1.73). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
DEUTZ Aktiengesellschaft engages in the development, production, distribution, maintenance, and servicing of diesel and gas engines in Germany, Rest of Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, and the United States. It operates through five segments: Services, Engines, NewTech, Energy, and Defense & Other.
Full company description
DEUTZ Aktiengesellschaft engages in the development, production, distribution, maintenance, and servicing of diesel and gas engines in Germany, Rest of Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, and the United States. It operates through five segments: Services, Engines, NewTech, Energy, and Defense & Other. The company offers engine finder, diesel engines, gas and gasoline engines, and hydrogen engines, as well as electric technology, such as electric systems, high voltage battery systems, and powertree products. It also provides spare parts for large and medium sized engines, such as turbo charger, starter, alternator, piston, piston liner, valves, crankshaft, camshaft, piston rods, water pump, oil pump, oil cooler, injection system, cylinder head, engine control unit, eat technology; operating liquids, oil, coolant, power blue, additives, fuel requirements; maintenance parts, air, oil, fuel filters, cylindrical head gasket, engine gasket set, and v- belt; xchange engines and parts; lifecycle solutions, care programs, diesel particulate filter cleaning services; daimler truck off-highway engines services; and hybrid, all-electric, and hydrogen drives, including mobile rapid charging stations and related services. In addition, the company offers compact engine systems and engine accessories. Its products are used in various applications, such as construction and agricultural machinery, mining, defense, material handling, energy supply, stationary systems, commercial vehicles, rail vehicles, ground support, and other applications. DEUTZ Aktiengesellschaft was founded in 1864 and is headquartered in Cologne, Germany.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
DEUTZ Aktiengesellschaft reported revenue of €2.0B in FY2025 versus €1.6B in FY2021, a compound +6.0%/yr. Reported net income was €53.6M in FY2025, compounding +8.8%/yr from FY2021.
DEZ screens 30% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- DEUTZ Aktiengesellschaft Q2 Earnings Call Highlights
- DEUTZ Aktiengesellschaft Q1 Earnings Call Highlights
- DEUTZ Aktiengesellschaft's (ETR:DEZ) Stock Has Seen Strong Momentum: Does That Call For Deeper Study Of Its Financial Prospects?
- Returns At DEUTZ (ETR:DEZ) Appear To Be Weighed Down
Peer Group
Specialty Industrial Machinery · 809 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GE Vernova Inc 1GEV | €887.60 | €186.93 | -79% |
| 1SIE 1SIE | €273.20 | €91.93 | -66% |
| SMNS SMNS | C$31.76 | C$22.68 | -29% |
| Eaton Corporation ETN | $407.28 | $171.92 | -58% |
| Atlas Copco AB ATCOA | kr 195.15 | kr 112.59 | -42% |
| Sandvik AB SAND | kr 384.10 | kr 193.01 | -50% |
| Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 | 76,400 KRW | 7,938 KRW | -90% |
| Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS | kr 178.10 | kr 124.54 | -30% |
| Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 | ¥43.20 | ¥22.68 | -48% |
| NARI Technology Co 600406 | ¥22.19 | ¥18.71 | -16% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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