The Walt Disney Company (DISB34) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of The Walt Disney Company BRL 24.62, price BRL 35.76, upside -31.2%, quality 66 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range R$25.94 – R$64.26 · fair‑value band R$14.50 – R$37.79 · the R$35.76 price screens above the R$24.62 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
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The Walt Disney Company operates as an entertainment company in Americas, Europe, and the Asia Pacific. It operates in three segments: Entertainment, Sports, and Experiences.
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The Walt Disney Company operates as an entertainment company in Americas, Europe, and the Asia Pacific. It operates in three segments: Entertainment, Sports, and Experiences. The company produces and distributes film and television content under the ABC Television Network, Disney, Freeform, FX, Fox, National Geographic, and Star brand television channels, as well as ABC television stations and A+E television networks; and produces original content under the Disney Branded Television, FX Productions, Lucasfilm, Marvel, National Geographic Studios, Pixar, Searchlight Pictures, Twentieth Century Studios, 20th Television, and Walt Disney Pictures banners. It also provides direct-to-consumer streaming services through Disney+, Disney+ Hotstar, and Hulu; sports-related video streaming content through ESPN, ESPN on ABC, ESPN+ DTC, and Star; sale/licensing of film and episodic content to television and video-on-demand services; theatrical, home entertainment, and music distribution services; DVD and Blu-ray discs, electronic home video licenses, and VOD rental services; staging and licensing of live entertainment events; and post-production services. In addition, the company operates theme parks and resorts, such as Walt Disney World Resort, Disneyland Resort, Disneyland Paris, Hong Kong Disneyland Resort, Shanghai Disney Resort, Disney Cruise Line, Disney Vacation Club, National Geographic Expeditions, and Adventures by Disney, as well as Aulani, a Disney resort and spa in Hawaii. Further, it licenses its intellectual property (IP) to a third party that owns and operates Tokyo Disney Resort; licenses trade names, characters, visual, literary, and other IP for use on merchandise, published materials, and games; operates a direct-to-home satellite distribution platform; sells branded merchandise through retail, online, and wholesale businesses; and develops and publishes books, comic books, and magazines. The company was founded in 1923 and is based in Burbank, California.
Stock analysis
The Walt Disney Company (DISB34) currently trades at R$35.76, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$24.62, 31.2% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of R$46.46 per share, and 10 of the 26 models we run sit above the R$35.76 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at R$5.23, and 16 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: R$14.50 (bear) to R$37.79 (bull), the price of R$35.76 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
The Walt Disney Company reported revenue of $94.4B in FY2025 versus $67.4B in FY2021, a compound +8.8%/yr. Reported net income was $12.4B in FY2025, compounding +57.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap R$885B (≈ $170B) · P/E ratio 16.6 · P/S ratio 2.17 · EPS (TTM) R$2.16 · Dividend yield 4.2% · Net margin 13.1% · Return on equity 11.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at −31%, DISB34 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear R$14.50Fair Value R$24.62Bull R$37.79
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (R$0.6600 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.80/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +6.1% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+62.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+58.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.2%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−3% → 14%
2025 sits 292% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Entertainment · 234 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/11 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−0.1% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)11.0% · Top 25%
Return on assets4.5% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)11.5% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)15.5% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth6.5% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)4.2% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.32× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "The Walt Disney Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DISB34
Frequently asked questions
Is The Walt Disney Company (DISB34) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$24.62 versus a price of R$35.76, about −31% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of DISB34?
Our model-based fair value for The Walt Disney Company is R$24.62 (as of Sep 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: R$35.76.
What is the quality score of DISB34?
The Walt Disney Company has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for The Walt Disney Company (DISB34)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of R$24.62 (as of Sep 29, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario R$14.50, optimistic scenario R$37.79. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the The Walt Disney Company stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at R$24.62, about −31% upside versus a price of R$35.76 (overvalued). Cautious scenario R$14.50, optimistic scenario R$37.79. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of The Walt Disney Company (DISB34)?
The Walt Disney Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $97.3B (latest available figure, as of Sep 29, 2026).
Does The Walt Disney Company pay a dividend?
The Walt Disney Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.19% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 29, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of The Walt Disney Company (DISB34)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For The Walt Disney Company it is R$24.62 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026), against a price of R$35.76. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is The Walt Disney Company stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 29, 2026, DISB34 trades above its calculated fair value: price R$35.76, fair value R$24.62, a gap of about −31% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of DISB34?
No. The price is what the market pays today (R$35.76); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (R$24.62). For The Walt Disney Company the two are R$11.14 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is The Walt Disney Company worth?
The market values The Walt Disney Company at about R$885B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 29, 2026). Per share that is R$35.76; our models calculate a fair value of R$24.62 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about DISB34?
Our models span a range for The Walt Disney Company: cautious scenario R$14.50, base R$24.62, optimistic R$37.79 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026, price R$35.76). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of DISB34?
The Walt Disney Company trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 16.6 (as of Sep 29, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of R$24.62 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 2.2.
What is the PEG ratio of DISB34?
The PEG ratio of The Walt Disney Company is 2.17 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 29, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of The Walt Disney Company (DISB34)?
Balance-sheet figures for The Walt Disney Company (as of Sep 29, 2026): return on equity 11.0%, debt of 0.32 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 66/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is DISB34 from its 52-week high?
The Walt Disney Company trades at R$35.76, about 15% below its 52-week high of R$42.18 and 12% above the low of R$31.83 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of R$24.62 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to The Walt Disney Company?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Netflix, Inc, Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc, Live Nation Entertainment, Inc, TKO Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is The Walt Disney Company stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 29, 2026: price R$35.76, calculated fair value R$24.62 (−31%), Quality Score 66/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of DISB34 calculated?
We run The Walt Disney Company through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of R$24.62, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. The Walt Disney Company itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of The Walt Disney Company (DISB34)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was R$35.76. Our model-based fair value is R$24.62, about −31% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with The Walt Disney Company right now?
The model range is unusually wide (R$14.50 to R$37.79). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (66/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of The Walt Disney Company
How large is the market capitalisation of The Walt Disney Company (DISB34)?
The market capitalisation of The Walt Disney Company is R$885B (≈ $170B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of The Walt Disney Company (DISB34)?
The price-to-sales ratio of The Walt Disney Company is 2.17 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of The Walt Disney Company (DISB34)?
Earnings per share at The Walt Disney Company are R$2.16 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 16.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of The Walt Disney Company (DISB34)?
The dividend yield of The Walt Disney Company is 4.2% (payout 69.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of The Walt Disney Company (DISB34)?
The net margin of The Walt Disney Company is 13.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of The Walt Disney Company (DISB34)?
The return on equity (ROE) of The Walt Disney Company is 11.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of The Walt Disney Company (DISB34)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of The Walt Disney Company is 3.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of The Walt Disney Company (DISB34)?
The operating margin of The Walt Disney Company is 15.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at The Walt Disney Company (DISB34)?
Revenue at The Walt Disney Company is growing +6.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at The Walt Disney Company (DISB34)?
Earnings per share at The Walt Disney Company are growing −29.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does The Walt Disney Company (DISB34) generate?
The free cash flow of The Walt Disney Company is $10.1B (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does The Walt Disney Company (DISB34) carry?
The net debt of The Walt Disney Company is $36.3B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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