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Delek Group (DLKGF) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · US · Market cap $5.5B

DG Delek Group logo Delek Group DLKGF · US
Price$26.31
Fair Value$28.22
Upside+7.3%
Quality56/100
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Weak Growth
Highly profitable · 84.1% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/11)
Moderate moat 51/100
Evidence: Medium Range $21.16 – $35.27 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated 9 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 31, 2026, revised from $329.68 to $28.22 (−91.4%) since Jul 16, 2026. Share price −90.9% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from $21.16 (bear) to $35.27 (bull), base $28.22. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 56/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$367.66 $19.79 Fair Value $28.22 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 31, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $19.79 – $367.66 · fair‑value band $21.16 – $35.27 · the $26.31 price screens below the $28.22 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 31, 2026.

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Analysis

Delek Group (DLKGF) currently trades at $26.31, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $28.22, implying the stock looks roughly 7.3% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Delek Group generated revenue of $11.5B at a net margin of 84.1%. Revenue declined 18.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.5%. Net debt stands at $9.7B. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $21.16 (bear case) to $35.27 (bull case); at $26.31, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at 7%, DLKGF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $63.49 $103.01 $168.46 80
Residual Income $102.37 $142.97 $1,042 76
Rev-Margin DCF $4.53 $19.92 $40.24 74
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $58.75 $99.76 $173.37 38
Owner Earnings $118.88 $181.90 $294.98 31
5Y Revenue Exit $4.53 $17.20 $35.35 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $22.64 $48.55 $82.90 41
5Y P/E Exit $75.03 $139.23 $215.91 38
10Y Revenue Exit $25.14 $36.40 $47.18 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $36.48 $55.35 $74.46 37
10Y P/E Exit $67.58 $110.15 $150.76 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $105.33 $128.74 $144.83 54
EPV $19.72 $31.26 $41.22 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $43.24 $47.13 $53.00 70
DDM Multi-Stage $43.24 $53.43 $67.35 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $162.64 $216.86 $271.07 63
P/S Multiple $25.57 $34.09 $42.61 58
P/B Multiple $64.76 $86.34 $107.93 55
EV/EBIT $18.60 $42.59 $66.57 53
EV/EBITDA $7.41 $27.67 $47.93 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $23.98 $32.14 $47.97 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $63.49 $103.01 $168.46 80
Rev-Margin DCF $4.53 $19.92 $40.24 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $102.37 $142.97 $1,042 76
ROIC Compounder $19.72 $31.26 $41.22 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $117.02 $167.17 $217.32 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($167.17) versus Growth DCF ($19.92). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $11.5B
Revenue growth (YoY) -18.0%
Net margin 84.1%
Return on equity 4.5%
Free cash flow $2.5B FY2025
P/E ratio 78.8
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $3.82
EPS growth (YoY) +400%
Net debt $9.7B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 20

Profitability 51
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 36
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 80
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 14
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 74
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 12
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Delek Group Ltd., an energy company, engages in the exploration, development, production, and marketing of oil and natural gas in Israel and internationally.

Full company description

Delek Group Ltd., an energy company, engages in the exploration, development, production, and marketing of oil and natural gas in Israel and internationally. It holds interests in the Leviathan and Aphrodite reservoirs in Cyprus; assets oil offshore oil assets in the Mediterranean, as well as oil and gas reserves in the North Sea region; and treatment, and storage facilities. Delek Group Ltd. was founded in 1951 and is headquartered in Herzliya, Israel.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Delek Group reported revenue of $5.9B in FY2025 versus $8.0B in FY2021, a compound −7.1%/yr. Reported net income was $3.2B in FY2025, compounding +22.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$5.9B
Latest YoY
−50.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−20.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−2.3%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y)
−3.4%
Revenue −7.1%/yr
FY21 $8.0B
FY22 $12.0B
FY23 $12.3B
FY24 $12.0B
FY25 $5.9B
Net income +22.6%/yr
FY21 $1.4B
FY22 $4.0B
FY23 $1.6B
FY24 $1.4B
FY25 $3.2B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Delek Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DLKGF

Peer Group

Oil & Gas E&P · 315 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 56 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +7% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 84% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Revenue growth -18% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 1.38× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 78.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 2.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 43 · sector 14
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 18 · sector 0
HEALTH 31 · sector 87
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 66

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CNOOC Limited 600938 ¥28.97 ¥32.55 +12%
ConocoPhillips explores for, COP $109.04 $91.79 -16%
Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ $42.86 $31.54 -26%
EOG Resources, Inc EOG $139.89 $130.19 -7%
Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY $54.86 $30.68 -44%
Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG $183.39 $106.12 -42%
Devon Energy Corporation DVN $43.83 $27.06 -38%
Woodside Energy Group WDS A$30.46 A$20.71 -32%
EQT Corporation EQT $48.85 $42.85 -12%
Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL $415.70 $79.20 -81%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Delek Group (DLKGF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 31, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $28.22 versus a price of $26.31, about +7% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of DLKGF?
Our model-based fair value for Delek Group is $28.22 (as of Jul 31, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $26.31.
What is the quality score of DLKGF?
Delek Group has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Delek Group (DLKGF)?
Delek Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $11.5B (latest available figure, as of Jul 31, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of DLKGF?
The net profit margin of Delek Group is about 84.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 84.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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