Don Muang Tollway Public Company (DMT) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · TH · Market cap 14.4B THB
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Share price +1.7% over the past month.
A strong business, screening 56% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The rarer combination: high quality (83/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (14.31 THB). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 7.07 THB – 12.50 THB · fair‑value band 14.31 THB – 23.85 THB · the 12.20 THB price screens below the 19.08 THB fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Don Muang Tollway Public Company (DMT) currently trades at 12.20 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 19.08 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 56.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 83/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Don Muang Tollway Public Company generated revenue of 2.7B THB at a net margin of 40.6%. Revenue grew 4.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 606M THB. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 14.31 THB (bear case) to 23.85 THB (bull case); at 12.20 THB, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 37% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 25% fair-value upside, at 56%, DMT screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (23.62 THB) versus Asset-Based (4.82 THB). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 78 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 80
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Don Muang Tollway Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides elevated toll road services in Thailand. The company constructs and operates an elevated toll road; and offers toll collection, traffic management, rescue, and maintenance, as well as assistance services.
Full company description
Don Muang Tollway Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides elevated toll road services in Thailand. The company constructs and operates an elevated toll road; and offers toll collection, traffic management, rescue, and maintenance, as well as assistance services. It also provides repairment, improvement, and reinforcement of infrastructure facilities services; and offers digital payment systems, traffic and safety management systems, and asset management solutions. The company was incorporated in 1988 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Don Muang Tollway Public Company reported revenue of 2.6B THB in FY2025 versus 1.2B THB in FY2021, a compound +21.8%/yr. Reported net income was 1.1B THB in FY2025, compounding +27.6%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue −0.4 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Infrastructure Operations · 64 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Infrastructure Operations median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Infrastructure Operations stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Merchants Expressway Network & Technology Holdings 001965 | ¥9.88 | ¥9.16 | -7% |
| Jiangsu Expressway Company 600377 | ¥11.86 | ¥15.32 | +29% |
| Shandong Hi-speed Company 600350 | ¥10.86 | ¥8.68 | -20% |
| Impulsora del Desarrollo y el Empleo en América Latina, S.A. IDEALB1 | 43.00 MXN | 43.57 MXN | +1% |
| Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. PINFRA | 281.25 MXN | 945.00 MXN | +236% |
| Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A MOTV3 | R$14.82 | R$29.18 | +97% |
| Zhejiang Expressway Co 0576 | HK$6.16 | HK$18.35 | +198% |
| Anhui Expressway Company 600012 | ¥16.31 | ¥14.90 | -9% |
| Guangdong Provincial Expressway Development Co 000429 | ¥14.33 | ¥17.93 | +25% |
| Shenzhen Expressway Corporation 600548 | ¥8.35 | ¥7.70 | -8% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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