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Dongyue Group (DNGYF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Dongyue Group $2.40, price $1.60, upside +50.0%, quality 73 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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DG
Some data
Sep 24, 2026
Some data
Sep 24, 2026
Dongyue Group
DNGYF · USClearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.
✓Fair value $2.40 · Strongly undervalued (+50.0%)
✓Quality 73/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 3y −10.5 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 11.4% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓16.9% dividend yield · Well covered
!Moderate moat 53/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.1793 – $2.65 · fair‑value band $1.80 – $3.01 · the $1.60 price screens below the $2.40 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
Dongyue Group Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures, distributes, and sells polymers, organic silicone, refrigerants, dichloromethane, liquid alkali, and other products in the People's Republic of China and internationally.
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Dongyue Group Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures, distributes, and sells polymers, organic silicone, refrigerants, dichloromethane, liquid alkali, and other products in the People's Republic of China and internationally. It operates through Polymers; Refrigerants; Organic Silicone; Dichloromethane and Liquid Alkali; and Other Operations segments. The company offers polytetrafluoroethylene, methane chloride, anhydrous fluoride, fluorite, silicon rubber, fluoropolymer, ammonium bifluoride, hydrofluoric acid, bromine, and organosilicon materials. It engages in the property development and rental; sale of chemical products; investment and management of fluorosilicone new material industry; research and development of chemical technology; smelting and sale of non-tenuous metal and alloy materials; production and supply of salts, electricity, heat, gas, and water; and provision of sewage disposal and environmental monitoring services, as well as business management consulting services. Dongyue Group Limited was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Zibo, the People's Republic of China.
Stock analysis
Dongyue Group (DNGYF) currently trades at $1.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.40, implying the stock looks roughly 33.3% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $2.51 per share, and 19 of the 22 models we run sit above the $1.60 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $0.8300, and 3 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $1.80 (bear) to $3.01 (bull), the price of $1.60 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 73/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Dongyue Group reported revenue of 14.4B CNY in FY2025 versus 15.8B CNY in FY2021, a compound −2.4%/yr. Reported net income was 1.6B CNY in FY2025, compounding −5.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $5.9B · P/E ratio 18.9 · P/S ratio 2.16 · EPS (TTM) $0.1400 · Net margin 11.4% · Return on equity 11.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.8% · Operating margin 14.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 526% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −24% fair-value upside, at 50%, DNGYF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $1.80
Fair Value $2.40
Bull $3.01
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
$2.06
$2.66
$3.73
78
Growth DCF
$2.13
$2.70
$3.65
76
Owner Earnings
$1.50
$1.89
$2.60
74
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$2.06
$2.66
$3.73
78
Owner Earnings
$1.50
$1.89
$2.60
74
5Y Revenue Exit
$1.80
$2.36
$3.19
71
5Y EBITDA Exit
$2.35
$3.32
$4.61
72
5Y P/E Exit
$2.01
$2.73
$3.60
69
10Y Revenue Exit
$1.86
$2.28
$2.73
65
10Y EBITDA Exit
$2.22
$2.86
$3.55
67
10Y P/E Exit
$2.02
$2.51
$2.97
62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$0.9600
$1.18
$1.32
65
EPV
$1.95
$2.19
$2.40
71
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$1.80
$2.40
$3.01
63
P/S Multiple
$1.39
$1.86
$2.32
58
P/B Multiple
$1.80
$2.40
$3.01
55
EV/EBIT
$2.65
$3.39
$4.14
66
EV/EBITDA
$2.90
$3.72
$4.55
67
EV/Revenue
$1.73
$2.29
$2.84
54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$0.6200
$0.8300
$1.24
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$2.13
$2.70
$3.65
76
Rev-Margin DCF
$1.80
$2.40
$3.15
71
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$1.12
$1.26
$1.52
73
ROIC Compounder
$1.95
$2.25
$2.56
69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$1.28
$1.84
$2.39
65
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
73/100
Of which business quality 72 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70
Profitability
45
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
55
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
71
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
92
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
82
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
18
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
100
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
78
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
90
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
40/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+1.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−10.5%
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
−9.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−9.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.20% → 17%
2025 sits 103% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−8.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+9.9%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in CNY, China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −10.3% a year for the price and +8.1% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+31.3%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+5.9%
Projected 2028 (sales)+5.4%
Projected 2029 (sales)+4.9%
Projected 2030 (sales)+4.4%
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Compare Dongyue Group with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Chemicals · 341 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/10 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Materials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
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10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
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|---|---|---|---|
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| Hengli Petrochemical Co 600346 | ¥16.15 | ¥43.28 | +168% |
| Zangge Mining Company 000408 | ¥71.46 | ¥78.61 | +10% |
| LG Chem, Ltd 051910 | 252,500 KRW | 587,755 KRW | +133% |
| Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 | ¥33.97 | ¥19.25 | −43% |
| Jiangsu Eastern Shenghong Co 000301 | ¥13.36 | ¥3.06 | −77% |
| Formosa Chemicals & Fibre Corporation 1326 | 67.00 TWD | 17.68 TWD | −74% |
| Syensqo SA SYENS | €78.20 | €32.87 | −58% |
| PETRONAS Chemicals Group 5183 | 4.49 MYR | 1.51 MYR | −66% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Dongyue Group (DNGYF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.40 versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $1.60, about +50% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of DNGYF?
Our model-based fair value for Dongyue Group is $2.40 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 25, 2026): $1.60.
What is the quality score of DNGYF?
Dongyue Group has a Quality Score of 73/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Dongyue Group (DNGYF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $2.40 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.80, optimistic scenario $3.01. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Dongyue Group stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $2.40, about +50% upside versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $1.60 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $1.80, optimistic scenario $3.01. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Dongyue Group (DNGYF)?
Dongyue Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 14.4B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Dongyue Group (DNGYF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Dongyue Group would have to grow free cash flow by -8.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 4 years revenue grew -2.4 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of DNGYF use?
Our models discount Dongyue Group at 10.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.32, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Dongyue Group that is -8.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Dongyue Group (DNGYF) delivered so far?
Over the past 4 years revenue at Dongyue Group grew -2.4 % a year. The price currently implies -8.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Dongyue Group (DNGYF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +15.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Dongyue Group (-8.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Dongyue Group (DNGYF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 10.98 %: that much free cash flow Dongyue Group produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Dongyue Group (DNGYF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Dongyue Group it is $2.40 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $1.60. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Dongyue Group stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, DNGYF trades below its calculated fair value: price $1.60, fair value $2.40, a gap of about +50% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of DNGYF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.60); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($2.40). For Dongyue Group the two are $0.8000 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Dongyue Group worth?
The market values Dongyue Group at about $5.9B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $1.60; our models calculate a fair value of $2.40 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about DNGYF?
Our models span a range for Dongyue Group: cautious scenario $1.80, base $2.40, optimistic $3.01 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $1.60). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of DNGYF?
Dongyue Group trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 18.9 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $2.40 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Dongyue Group (DNGYF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Dongyue Group (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 11.6%. They feed the Quality Score of 73/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is DNGYF from its 52-week high?
Dongyue Group trades at $1.60, about 40% below its 52-week high of $2.65 and 526% above the low of $0.2556 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $2.40 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Dongyue Group?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group, Dow Inc, Hengli Petrochemical Co, Zangge Mining Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Dongyue Group stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $1.60, calculated fair value $2.40 (+50%), Quality Score 73/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of DNGYF calculated?
We run Dongyue Group through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $2.40, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Dongyue Group currently trades 33 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Dongyue Group (DNGYF)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 25, 2026 and stands at $1.60. Our model-based fair value is $2.40, about +50% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Dongyue Group right now?
The rarer combination: high quality (73/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict. The price is below even our cautious bear case ($1.80). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Key figures of Dongyue Group
How large is the market capitalisation of Dongyue Group (DNGYF)?
The market capitalisation of Dongyue Group is $5.9B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Dongyue Group (DNGYF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Dongyue Group is 2.16 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Dongyue Group (DNGYF)?
Earnings per share at Dongyue Group are $0.1400 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 18.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Dongyue Group (DNGYF)?
The net margin of Dongyue Group is 11.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Dongyue Group (DNGYF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Dongyue Group is 11.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Dongyue Group (DNGYF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Dongyue Group is 9.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Dongyue Group (DNGYF)?
The operating margin of Dongyue Group is 14.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Dongyue Group (DNGYF)?
Revenue at Dongyue Group is growing −0.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −10.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Dongyue Group (DNGYF)?
Earnings per share at Dongyue Group are growing +69.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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