Dreadnought Resources Ltd (DRE) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Dreadnought Resources Ltd A$0.01, price A$0.01, upside +15.0%, quality 28 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0080 – A$0.1400 · fair‑value band A$0.0126 – A$0.0150 · the A$0.0120 price screens below the A$0.0138 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Dreadnought Resources Limited operates as mineral exploration and development company in Australia. It primarily explores for copper, nickel, gold, silver, cobalt, and platinum group elements; rare earth elements; iron ore; and base metals.
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Dreadnought Resources Limited operates as mineral exploration and development company in Australia. It primarily explores for copper, nickel, gold, silver, cobalt, and platinum group elements; rare earth elements; iron ore; and base metals. Dreadnought Resources Limited was formerly known as Tychean Resources Limited and changed its name to Dreadnought Resources Limited in February 2019. The company was incorporated in 2006 and is based in Osborne Park, Australia.
Stock analysis
Dreadnought Resources Ltd (DRE) currently trades at A$0.0120, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0138, implying the stock looks roughly 13.0% undervalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: A$0.0126 (bear) to A$0.0150 (bull), the price of A$0.0120 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 28/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Dreadnought Resources Ltd reported revenue of A$325K in FY2025 versus A$187K in FY2021, a compound +14.9%/yr. Reported net income was −A$18.9M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap A$80.2M (≈ $56.4M) · Return on equity −11.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −7.7% · Revenue growth (YoY) −25.3% · Free cash flow −A$9.8K · Net cash A$10.1M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 35 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 73% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 15%, DRE screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear A$0.0126Fair Value A$0.0138Bull A$0.0150
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.36/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+33.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+35.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 15 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.5%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−1,575.8% (2020) → −614.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Dreadnought Resources Ltd with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 457 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score33 · Below median
Fair Value upside−1% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets−8% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−25% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
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Is Dreadnought Resources Ltd (DRE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0138 versus a price of A$0.0120, about +15% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of DRE?
Our model-based fair value for Dreadnought Resources Ltd is A$0.0138 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0120.
What is the quality score of DRE?
Dreadnought Resources Ltd has a Quality Score of 28/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Dreadnought Resources Ltd (DRE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0138 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0126, optimistic scenario A$0.0150. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Dreadnought Resources Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0138, about +15% upside versus a price of A$0.0120 (undervalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0126, optimistic scenario A$0.0150. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Dreadnought Resources Ltd (DRE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Dreadnought Resources Ltd it is A$0.0138 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of A$0.0120. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Dreadnought Resources Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, DRE trades below its calculated fair value: price A$0.0120, fair value A$0.0138, a gap of about +15% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of DRE?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0120); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0138). For Dreadnought Resources Ltd the two are A$0.0018 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Dreadnought Resources Ltd worth?
The market values Dreadnought Resources Ltd at about A$80.2M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0120; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0138 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about DRE?
Our models span a range for Dreadnought Resources Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0126, base A$0.0138, optimistic A$0.0150 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price A$0.0120). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Dreadnought Resources Ltd (DRE)?
Balance-sheet figures for Dreadnought Resources Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −11.8%. They feed the Quality Score of 28/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is DRE from its 52-week high?
Dreadnought Resources Ltd trades at A$0.0120, about 73% below its 52-week high of A$0.0450 and at the low of A$0.0120 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0138 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Dreadnought Resources Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Vale S.A, Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Dreadnought Resources Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price A$0.0120, calculated fair value A$0.0138 (+15%), Quality Score 28/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of DRE calculated?
We run Dreadnought Resources Ltd through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0138, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Dreadnought Resources Ltd currently trades 15 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Dreadnought Resources Ltd (DRE)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was A$0.0120. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0138, about +15% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Dreadnought Resources Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$0.0126). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Dreadnought Resources Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Dreadnought Resources Ltd (DRE)?
The market capitalisation of Dreadnought Resources Ltd is A$80.2M (≈ $56.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the return on equity of Dreadnought Resources Ltd (DRE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Dreadnought Resources Ltd is −11.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Dreadnought Resources Ltd (DRE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Dreadnought Resources Ltd is −7.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How fast is revenue growing at Dreadnought Resources Ltd (DRE)?
Revenue at Dreadnought Resources Ltd is growing −25.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −6.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Dreadnought Resources Ltd (DRE) generate?
The free cash flow of Dreadnought Resources Ltd is −A$9.8K (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Dreadnought Resources Ltd (DRE) hold?
Dreadnought Resources Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$10.1M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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