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Deterra Royalties Limited (DRR) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$2.3B

DR Deterra Royalties Limited DRR · AU
PriceA$4.36
Fair ValueA$4.21
Upside-3.4%
Quality70/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 65.7% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
5.91% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/14)
Wide moat 90/100
Evidence: High Range A$2.90 – A$6.37 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 29 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 11, 2026, revised from A$4.10 to A$4.21 (+2.7%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −2.9% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range (A$2.90 to A$6.37) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

A$4.77 A$2.68 Fair Value A$4.21 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$2.68 – A$4.77 · fair‑value band A$2.90 – A$6.37 · the A$4.36 price screens above the A$4.21 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.

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Analysis

Deterra Royalties Limited (DRR) currently trades at A$4.36, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$4.21, implying the stock looks roughly 3.4% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Deterra Royalties Limited generated revenue of A$272M at a net margin of 65.7%. Revenue grew 8.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 149.2%. Net debt stands at A$271M. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026

Our scenario range runs from A$2.90 (bear case) to A$6.37 (bull case); at A$4.36, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at -3%, DRR screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF A$2.51 A$4.61 A$7.96 80
Residual Income A$0.8200 A$0.9900 A$5.19 76
Rev-Margin DCF A$0.8500 A$1.43 A$2.13 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF A$2.54 A$4.85 A$8.68 38
Owner Earnings A$3.16 A$5.94 A$10.55 31
5Y Revenue Exit A$0.8500 A$1.40 A$2.06 39
5Y EBITDA Exit A$2.67 A$5.14 A$8.21 41
5Y P/E Exit A$2.80 A$5.39 A$8.35 38
10Y Revenue Exit A$1.40 A$2.11 A$3.05 36
10Y EBITDA Exit A$2.60 A$4.78 A$8.05 37
10Y P/E Exit A$2.68 A$4.96 A$8.17 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd A$2.00 A$9.13 A$12.52 54
Lynch FV A$2.39 A$3.42 A$4.44 50
PEG = 1.0 A$2.39 A$3.42 A$4.44 46
EPV A$2.49 A$2.96 A$3.37 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM A$2.04 A$4.06 A$6.15 70
DDM Multi-Stage A$2.04 A$3.51 A$4.29 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple A$3.75 A$5.00 A$6.25 63
P/S Multiple A$0.5600 A$0.7500 A$0.9300 58
P/B Multiple A$0.5300 A$0.7100 A$0.8800 55
EV/EBIT A$4.32 A$5.94 A$7.55 53
EV/EBITDA A$3.03 A$4.21 A$5.39 54
EV/Revenue A$0.0100 A$0.2400 A$0.4600 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.1200 A$0.1600 A$0.2400 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF A$2.51 A$4.61 A$7.96 80
Rev-Margin DCF A$0.8500 A$1.43 A$2.13 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income A$0.8200 A$0.9900 A$5.19 76
ROIC Compounder A$2.77 A$3.64 A$4.64 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E A$3.45 A$4.92 A$6.40 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (A$4.92) versus Asset-Based (A$0.1600). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) A$272M
Revenue growth (YoY) +8.1%
Net margin 65.7%
Return on equity 149%
Free cash flow A$133M FY2025
P/E ratio 12.9
More key figures
Operating margin 92.6%
EPS (TTM) A$0.3400
Dividend yield 5.9%
EPS growth (YoY) +36.2%
Net debt A$271M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 70/100

Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62

Profitability 86
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 43
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 81
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 48
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 49
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 85
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 51
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 54
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Deterra Royalties Limited operates as a royalty investment company in Australia, the United States, Mexico, Zambia, Peru, Canada, Mali, Kenya, Brazil, Cote D'Ivoire, and South Africa. It holds a portfolio of royalty assets across bulk commodities, base, battery, and precious metals, including iron ore, mineral sands, copper, lithium, gold, and silver.

Full company description

Deterra Royalties Limited operates as a royalty investment company in Australia, the United States, Mexico, Zambia, Peru, Canada, Mali, Kenya, Brazil, Cote D'Ivoire, and South Africa. It holds a portfolio of royalty assets across bulk commodities, base, battery, and precious metals, including iron ore, mineral sands, copper, lithium, gold, and silver. The company was incorporated in 2020 and is based in Perth, Australia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Deterra Royalties Limited reported revenue of A$263M in FY2025 versus A$265M in FY2021, a compound −0.2%/yr. Reported net income was A$156M in FY2025, compounding −3.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 97/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
A$263M
Latest YoY
+0.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+4.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+12.7%
Avg. growth/yr (7Y)
+24.8%
Revenue −0.2%/yr
FY21 A$265M
FY22 A$229M
FY23 A$241M
FY24 A$263M
FY25 A$263M
Net income −3.4%/yr
FY21 A$178M
FY22 A$152M
FY23 A$155M
FY24 A$156M
FY25 A$156M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Deterra Royalties Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DRR

Peer Group

Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 476 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 70 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −3% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 149% · Top 25%
Return on assets 37% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 66% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 93% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 8% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.9% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 2.37× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.9× · Cheaper than median
P/B 13.17× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 6.03× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 12.3× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 7.4× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 29 · sector 0
FUTURE 41 · sector 23
PAST 100 · sector 0
HEALTH 0 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 21

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
BHP Group BHPN 1,425 MXN 942.42 MXN -34%
Rio Tinto Group RIO A$164.89 A$81.76 -50%
Grupo México, S.A. GMEXICOB 199.23 MXN 187.72 MXN -6%
Vale S.A VALE $14.19 $9.14 -36%
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 58.05 SAR 33.87 SAR -42%
CMOC Group 603993 ¥18.20 ¥16.15 -11%
Fortescue Ltd FMG A$18.47 A$18.62 +1%
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥74.71 ¥9.55 -87%
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹521.95 ₹576.80 +11%
China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co 600111 ¥39.56 ¥10.59 -73%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Deterra Royalties Limited (DRR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 11, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$4.21 versus a price of A$4.36, about −3% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of DRR?
Our model-based fair value for Deterra Royalties Limited is A$4.21 (as of Jul 11, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is A$4.36.
What is the quality score of DRR?
Deterra Royalties Limited has a Quality Score of 70/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Deterra Royalties Limited (DRR)?
Deterra Royalties Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$272M (latest available figure, as of Jul 11, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of DRR?
The net profit margin of Deterra Royalties Limited is about 65.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 65.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Deterra Royalties Limited pay a dividend?
Deterra Royalties Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.73% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 11, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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