Dundas Minerals Ltd (DUN) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Dundas Minerals Ltd A$0.03, price A$0.05, upside -49.0%, quality 44 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
58‑month range A$0.0160 – A$0.8600 · fair‑value band A$0.0255 – A$0.0298 · the A$0.0500 price screens above the A$0.0255 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Dundas Minerals Limited engages in the mineral exploration business in Western Australia. It holds an option to acquire 85% interest in the Windanya and Baden-Powell gold projects located in the Kalgoorlie region of Western Australia. It has thirteen granted exploration licenses and one exploration license application.
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Dundas Minerals Limited engages in the mineral exploration business in Western Australia. It holds an option to acquire 85% interest in the Windanya and Baden-Powell gold projects located in the Kalgoorlie region of Western Australia. It has thirteen granted exploration licenses and one exploration license application. The company was incorporated in 2020 and is based in Daglish, Australia.
Stock analysis
Dundas Minerals Ltd (DUN) currently trades at A$0.0500, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0255, implying the stock looks roughly 96.1% overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: A$0.0255 (bear) to A$0.0298 (bull), the price of A$0.0500 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Dundas Minerals Ltd reported revenue of A$67.6K in FY2025 versus A$60 in FY2021, a compound +479.3%/yr. Reported net income was −A$1.1M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap A$10.6M (≈ $7.4M) · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0300 · Return on assets (EBIT) −28.3% · Free cash flow −A$636K · Net debt A$1.5K.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 138% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −17% fair-value upside, at −49%, DUN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear A$0.0255Fair Value A$0.0255Bull A$0.0298
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+44.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+182.2%
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−624,016.7% (2021) → −1,354.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Precious Metals & Mining · 102 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/7 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score40 · Above median
Fair Value upside−49% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets0% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth0% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.15× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Other Precious Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
P/B1.74× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 94
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)92· sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 32
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Dundas Minerals Ltd (DUN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0255 versus a price of A$0.0500, about −49% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of DUN?
Our model-based fair value for Dundas Minerals Ltd is A$0.0255 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0500.
What is the quality score of DUN?
Dundas Minerals Ltd has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Dundas Minerals Ltd (DUN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0255 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0255, optimistic scenario A$0.0298. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Dundas Minerals Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0255, about −49% upside versus a price of A$0.0500 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0255, optimistic scenario A$0.0298. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Dundas Minerals Ltd (DUN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Dundas Minerals Ltd it is A$0.0255 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of A$0.0500. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Dundas Minerals Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, DUN trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.0500, fair value A$0.0255, a gap of about −49% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of DUN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0500); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0255). For Dundas Minerals Ltd the two are A$0.0245 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Dundas Minerals Ltd worth?
The market values Dundas Minerals Ltd at about A$10.6M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0500; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0255 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about DUN?
Our models span a range for Dundas Minerals Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0255, base A$0.0255, optimistic A$0.0298 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price A$0.0500). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Dundas Minerals Ltd (DUN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Dundas Minerals Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): debt of 0.15 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 44/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is DUN from its 52-week high?
Dundas Minerals Ltd trades at A$0.0500, about 14% below its 52-week high of A$0.0580 and 138% above the low of A$0.0210 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0255 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Dundas Minerals Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value PT Amman Mineral Internasional Tbk, Hecla Mining Company, Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A., Sibanye Stillwater Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Dundas Minerals Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price A$0.0500, calculated fair value A$0.0255 (−49%), Quality Score 44/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of DUN calculated?
We run Dundas Minerals Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0255, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Dundas Minerals Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Dundas Minerals Ltd (DUN)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was A$0.0500. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0255, about −49% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Dundas Minerals Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0298). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Dundas Minerals Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Dundas Minerals Ltd (DUN)?
The market capitalisation of Dundas Minerals Ltd is A$10.6M (≈ $7.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Dundas Minerals Ltd (DUN)?
Earnings per share at Dundas Minerals Ltd are A$−0.0300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Dundas Minerals Ltd (DUN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Dundas Minerals Ltd is −28.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much free cash flow does Dundas Minerals Ltd (DUN) generate?
The free cash flow of Dundas Minerals Ltd is −A$636K (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Dundas Minerals Ltd (DUN) carry?
The net debt of Dundas Minerals Ltd is A$1.5K (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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