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Duratec Limited (DUR) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · AU · Market cap A$573M

DL Duratec Limited DUR · AU
PriceA$2.21
Fair ValueA$1.75
Upside-20.8%
Quality55/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 4.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.10% dividend yield
Trails peers (5/14)
Moderate moat 55/100
Evidence: High Range A$1.35 – A$3.06 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Share price −4.7% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 21% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (A$1.35 to A$3.06) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

A$2.96 A$0.2589 Fair Value A$1.75 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.2589 – A$2.96 · fair‑value band A$1.35 – A$3.06 · the A$2.21 price screens above the A$1.75 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Duratec Limited (DUR) currently trades at A$2.21, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$1.75, implying the stock looks roughly 20.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Duratec Limited generated revenue of A$559M at a net margin of 4.2%. Revenue declined 4.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 30.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$34.6M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from A$1.35 (bear case) to A$3.06 (bull case); at A$2.21, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 68% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -21%, DUR screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF A$1.29 A$2.08 A$3.40 80
Residual Income A$0.5100 A$0.6800 A$3.47 76
Rev-Margin DCF A$1.22 A$2.07 A$3.31 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF A$1.34 A$1.97 A$3.56 38
Owner Earnings A$1.49 A$2.74 A$5.02 31
5Y Revenue Exit A$1.22 A$2.00 A$3.41 39
5Y EBITDA Exit A$1.61 A$2.86 A$4.97 41
5Y P/E Exit A$1.52 A$2.80 A$4.44 38
10Y Revenue Exit A$1.22 A$2.08 A$3.19 36
10Y EBITDA Exit A$1.50 A$2.74 A$4.96 37
10Y P/E Exit A$1.44 A$2.58 A$4.50 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd A$0.6000 A$4.07 A$5.70 54
Lynch FV A$1.19 A$1.70 A$2.21 50
PEG = 1.0 A$1.19 A$1.70 A$2.21 46
EPV A$0.8300 A$0.9000 A$0.9700 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM A$0.2800 A$0.5100 A$0.7000 70
DDM Multi-Stage A$0.2800 A$0.4700 A$0.5400 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple A$1.39 A$1.86 A$2.32 63
P/S Multiple A$1.13 A$1.50 A$1.88 58
P/B Multiple A$0.9700 A$1.30 A$1.62 55
EV/EBIT A$1.49 A$1.89 A$2.29 53
EV/EBITDA A$1.81 A$2.33 A$2.84 54
EV/Revenue A$1.14 A$1.51 A$1.88 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.1400 A$0.1900 A$0.2900 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF A$1.29 A$2.08 A$3.40 80
Rev-Margin DCF A$1.22 A$2.07 A$3.31 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income A$0.5100 A$0.6800 A$3.47 76
ROIC Compounder A$0.8400 A$0.9300 A$1.01 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E A$1.65 A$2.36 A$3.06 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (A$2.58) versus Asset-Based (A$0.1900). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) A$559M
Revenue growth (YoY) -4.9%
Net margin 4.2%
Return on equity 30.6%
Free cash flow A$22.0M FY2025
P/E ratio 24.7
More key figures
Operating margin 4.9%
EPS (TTM) A$0.0900
Dividend yield 0.9%
EPS growth (YoY) +1.4%
Net cash A$34.6M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63

Profitability 73
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 37
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 44
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 76
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 66
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 55
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 74
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 63
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Duratec Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the provision of assessment, protection, remediation, and refurbishment services to a range of assets primarily for steel and concrete infrastructure in Australia. It operates through Defence, Mining & Industrial, Building & Façade, and Energy segments.

Full company description

Duratec Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the provision of assessment, protection, remediation, and refurbishment services to a range of assets primarily for steel and concrete infrastructure in Australia. It operates through Defence, Mining & Industrial, Building & Façade, and Energy segments. The Defence segment delivers capital facilities, infrastructure, and estate works program projects. The Mining & Industrial segment offers preventative maintenance programmes. The Building & Facade segment provides facade condition assessments and restorations services. The Energy segment is involved in the operation of non-defence capital facilities, remediation, and refurbishment of critical assets. The company also offers asset protection, laboratory services, waterproofing, fitout and refurbishment, infrastructure maintaining and upgrading, facade remediation and cladding replacement, durability engineering, specialist access systems, construction, petrography lab serviced, spatial integration, and jack up barge hire solutions. The company serves defense, mining, transport, marine, energy, building and façade, heritage, property, industrial, and water infrastructure industries. Duratec Limited was incorporated in 2010 and is headquartered in Wangara, Australia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Duratec Limited reported revenue of A$573M in FY2025 versus A$236M in FY2021, a compound +24.9%/yr. Reported net income was A$22.8M in FY2025, compounding +33.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
A$573M
Latest YoY
+3.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+22.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+18.3%
Avg. growth/yr (8Y)
+26.7%
Revenue +24.9%/yr
FY21 A$236M
FY22 A$310M
FY23 A$492M
FY24 A$556M
FY25 A$573M
Net income +33.8%/yr
FY21 A$7.1M
FY22 A$7.8M
FY23 A$19.2M
FY24 A$21.4M
FY25 A$22.8M

DUR screens 21% overvalued. Compare with Larsen & Toubro Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Duratec Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DUR

Peer Group

Engineering & Construction · 837 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 55 · Above median
Fair Value upside −21% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 31% · Top 25%
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Revenue growth -5% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.1% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.18× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 24.7× · Pricier than median
P/B 5.45× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.72× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 18.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 9.3× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 6 · sector 16
FUTURE 0 · sector 18
PAST 100 · sector 26
HEALTH 91 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 22 · sector 33

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹3,815 ₹1,994 -48%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 346,000 KRW 268,779 KRW -22%
Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 99,000 KRW 63,993 KRW -35%
United Integrated Services Co 2404 1,250 TWD 925.62 TWD -26%
Samsung E&A Co 028050 42,550 KRW 44,840 KRW +5%
Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL ₹232.67 ₹61.46 -74%
Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 16,240 KRW 6,507 KRW -60%
NBCC (India) Limited NBCC ₹96.32 ₹48.22 -50%
Cemindia Projects Limited CEMPRO ₹1,330 ₹730.69 -45%
KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 92,700 KRW 20,172 KRW -78%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Duratec Limited (DUR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$1.75 versus a price of A$2.21, about −21% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of DUR?
Our model-based fair value for Duratec Limited is A$1.75 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is A$2.21.
What is the quality score of DUR?
Duratec Limited has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Duratec Limited (DUR)?
Duratec Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$559M (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of DUR?
The net profit margin of Duratec Limited is about 4.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Duratec Limited pay a dividend?
Duratec Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.93% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 18, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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