Duran-Dogan Basim ve Ambalaj Sanayi AS (DURDO) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Duran-Dogan Basim ve Ambalaj Sanayi AS is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Duran Dogan Basim ve Ambalaj Sanayi A.S., together with its subsidiaries, provides packaging products in Turkey. The company offers paper, cardboard, and various plastic materials in rolls and sheets to produce various packaging, printing, chiseling, cutting, gluing, and laminating works on aluminum, metal, tin, etc.
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Duran Dogan Basim ve Ambalaj Sanayi A.S., together with its subsidiaries, provides packaging products in Turkey. The company offers paper, cardboard, and various plastic materials in rolls and sheets to produce various packaging, printing, chiseling, cutting, gluing, and laminating works on aluminum, metal, tin, etc. It offers packaging products for food, boutique, medical, home and personal care, and boutique sectors. Duran Dogan Basim ve Ambalaj Sanayi A.S. was founded in 1934 and is based in Istanbul, Turkey.
Stock analysis
Duran-Dogan Basim ve Ambalaj Sanayi AS (DURDO) currently trades at 5.20 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.5200 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 900.0% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 1.82 TRY per share, and 0 of the 6 models we run sit above the 5.20 TRY price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 0.7400 TRY, and 6 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 0.4500 TRY (bear) to 0.5800 TRY (bull), the price of 5.20 TRY sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Duran-Dogan Basim ve Ambalaj Sanayi AS reported revenue of 2.6B TRL in FY2024 versus 297M TRL in FY2020, a compound +72.4%/yr. Reported net income was −208M TRL in FY2024.
Key figures
Market cap 2.6B TRY (≈ $53.6M) · P/S ratio 0.97 · EPS (TTM) −0.7400 TRY · Net margin −7.9% · Return on equity −16.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.8% · Operating margin −5.9% · Revenue (TTM) 2.6B TRY.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 58% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at −90%, DURDO screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 0.4500 TRYFair Value 0.5200 TRYBull 0.5800 TRY
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.36/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+20.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+70.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+60.2%
Revenue growth 22 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+25.9%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
11.1% (2019) → 1.8% (2024)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2024 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Duran-Dogan Basim ve Ambalaj Sanayi AS with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaging & Containers · 275 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/8 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score29 · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)−10% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−6% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth4% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.08× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper
P/S (TTM)0.02× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA0.6× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 13
FUTURE (revenue growth)21· sector 6
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 21
HEALTH (low debt)96· sector 93
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 43
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Duran-Dogan Basim ve Ambalaj Sanayi AS Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DURDO
Frequently asked questions
Is Duran-Dogan Basim ve Ambalaj Sanayi AS (DURDO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.5200 TRY versus a price of 5.20 TRY, about −90% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of DURDO?
Our model-based fair value for Duran-Dogan Basim ve Ambalaj Sanayi AS is 0.5200 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 5.20 TRY.
What is the quality score of DURDO?
Duran-Dogan Basim ve Ambalaj Sanayi AS has a Quality Score of 31/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Duran-Dogan Basim ve Ambalaj Sanayi AS (DURDO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.5200 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.4500 TRY, optimistic scenario 0.5800 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Duran-Dogan Basim ve Ambalaj Sanayi AS stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.5200 TRY, about −90% upside versus a price of 5.20 TRY (overvalued). Cautious scenario 0.4500 TRY, optimistic scenario 0.5800 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Duran-Dogan Basim ve Ambalaj Sanayi AS (DURDO)?
Duran-Dogan Basim ve Ambalaj Sanayi AS reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.6B TRY (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Duran-Dogan Basim ve Ambalaj Sanayi AS (DURDO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Duran-Dogan Basim ve Ambalaj Sanayi AS it is 0.5200 TRY per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of 5.20 TRY. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Duran-Dogan Basim ve Ambalaj Sanayi AS stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, DURDO trades above its calculated fair value: price 5.20 TRY, fair value 0.5200 TRY, a gap of about −90% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of DURDO?
No. The price is what the market pays today (5.20 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.5200 TRY). For Duran-Dogan Basim ve Ambalaj Sanayi AS the two are 4.68 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Duran-Dogan Basim ve Ambalaj Sanayi AS worth?
The market values Duran-Dogan Basim ve Ambalaj Sanayi AS at about 2.6B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is 5.20 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 0.5200 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about DURDO?
Our models span a range for Duran-Dogan Basim ve Ambalaj Sanayi AS: cautious scenario 0.4500 TRY, base 0.5200 TRY, optimistic 0.5800 TRY per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price 5.20 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Duran-Dogan Basim ve Ambalaj Sanayi AS (DURDO)?
Balance-sheet figures for Duran-Dogan Basim ve Ambalaj Sanayi AS (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity −16.8%, debt of 0.08 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 31/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is DURDO from its 52-week high?
Duran-Dogan Basim ve Ambalaj Sanayi AS trades at 5.20 TRY, about 8% below its 52-week high of 5.67 TRY and 58% above the low of 3.29 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.5200 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Duran-Dogan Basim ve Ambalaj Sanayi AS?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Smurfit Westrock Plc,, Packaging Corporation, International Paper Company, Amcor plc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Duran-Dogan Basim ve Ambalaj Sanayi AS stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price 5.20 TRY, calculated fair value 0.5200 TRY (−90%), Quality Score 31/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of DURDO calculated?
We run Duran-Dogan Basim ve Ambalaj Sanayi AS through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.5200 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Duran-Dogan Basim ve Ambalaj Sanayi AS itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Duran-Dogan Basim ve Ambalaj Sanayi AS right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.5800 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (31/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Duran-Dogan Basim ve Ambalaj Sanayi AS
How large is the market capitalisation of Duran-Dogan Basim ve Ambalaj Sanayi AS (DURDO)?
The market capitalisation of Duran-Dogan Basim ve Ambalaj Sanayi AS is 2.6B TRY (≈ $53.6M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Duran-Dogan Basim ve Ambalaj Sanayi AS (DURDO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Duran-Dogan Basim ve Ambalaj Sanayi AS is 0.97 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Duran-Dogan Basim ve Ambalaj Sanayi AS (DURDO)?
Earnings per share at Duran-Dogan Basim ve Ambalaj Sanayi AS are −0.7400 TRY. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Duran-Dogan Basim ve Ambalaj Sanayi AS (DURDO)?
The net margin of Duran-Dogan Basim ve Ambalaj Sanayi AS is −7.9% (fiscal year 2024). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Duran-Dogan Basim ve Ambalaj Sanayi AS (DURDO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Duran-Dogan Basim ve Ambalaj Sanayi AS is −16.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Duran-Dogan Basim ve Ambalaj Sanayi AS (DURDO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Duran-Dogan Basim ve Ambalaj Sanayi AS is 11.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Duran-Dogan Basim ve Ambalaj Sanayi AS (DURDO)?
The operating margin of Duran-Dogan Basim ve Ambalaj Sanayi AS is −5.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Duran-Dogan Basim ve Ambalaj Sanayi AS (DURDO)?
Revenue at Duran-Dogan Basim ve Ambalaj Sanayi AS is growing +4.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +70.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Duran-Dogan Basim ve Ambalaj Sanayi AS (DURDO) generate?
The free cash flow of Duran-Dogan Basim ve Ambalaj Sanayi AS is −64.4M TRY (fiscal year 2024). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Duran-Dogan Basim ve Ambalaj Sanayi AS (DURDO) carry?
The net debt of Duran-Dogan Basim ve Ambalaj Sanayi AS is 458M TRY (fiscal year 2024). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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