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ecotel communication ag (E4C) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of ecotel communication ag €4.42, price €6.65, upside -33.5%, quality 53 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Communication Services · DE · ISIN DE0005854343

EC Some data May 31, 2026

ecotel communication ag

E4C · XETRA

Overvalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.

!Fair value €4.42 · Overvalued (−34%)
!Quality 53/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +4.8 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.1% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
!Narrow moat 24/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 2 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€35.67 €6.15 Fair Value €4.42 Jul 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of May 31, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €6.15 – €35.67 · fair‑value band €4.30 – €6.59 · the €6.65 price screens above the €4.42 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of May 31, 2026.

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Company profile

ecotel communication ag engages in the marketing of information and telecommunications solutions for startups, and small and medium-sized companies in Germany and internationally. It operates through Ecotel Business Customers and Ecotel Wholesale segments. The Ecotel Business Customers segment offers voice and data services.

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ecotel communication ag engages in the marketing of information and telecommunications solutions for startups, and small and medium-sized companies in Germany and internationally. It operates through Ecotel Business Customers and Ecotel Wholesale segments. The Ecotel Business Customers segment offers voice and data services. Its Ecotel Wholesale Solutions segment provides cross-network trading services in telephone minutes; and marketing of data lines for national and international carriers. The company also offers online audio services for hosting streaming, podcasts, and service offerings; cloud telephony products, including cloud-based phone system plans and to go, and premium cloud phone systems; SIP telephony products consisting of SIP trunk tariffs, trunk to go, and trunk premium; internet products, including internet tariffs, DSL, FTTH, fiber optics and VDSL, and SD-WAN; and MPLS VPN, housing, hosting, and service call number solutions. It sells its products through its online shop. The company serves the automotive, healthcare, call center, and construction industries. ecotel communication ag was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Düsseldorf, Germany.

Stock analysis

ecotel communication ag (E4C) currently trades at €6.65, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €4.42, implying the stock looks roughly 50.4% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of €10.33 per share, and 1 of the 6 models we run sit above the €6.65 price.

Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at €2.29, and 5 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: €4.30 (bear) to €6.59 (bull), the price of €6.65 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

ecotel communication ag reported revenue of €124M in FY2025 versus €70.9M in FY2021, a compound +15.0%/yr. Reported net income was €500 in FY2025, compounding −89.9%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap €25.6M · P/E ratio 332.5 · EPS (TTM) €0.0200 · Dividend yield 4.1% · Net margin 0.0% · Return on equity 0.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.2% · Operating margin 1.8%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 51% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 47% fair-value upside, at −34%, E4C screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €4.30 Fair Value €4.42 Bull €6.59
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.0147 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings €1.68 €2.29 €3.14 77
Residual Income €4.33 €3.96 €2.54 76
EV/EBITDA €7.82 €10.33 €12.83 67
All 6 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings €1.68 €2.29 €3.14 77
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €2.53 €4.84 €7.64 66
DDM Multi-Stage €2.53 €3.82 €5.14 66
Multiples
EV/EBITDA €7.82 €10.33 €12.83 67
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €3.30 €4.42 €6.59 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income €4.33 €3.96 €2.54 76

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30

Profitability 40
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 32
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 35
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 66
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 97
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 60
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 27
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 3
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 65
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 36/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+7.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +1.6% a year
Revenue growth 19 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.2%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−74.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−78.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−79% vs −54%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → −1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

E4C screens 50% overvalued. Compare with China Mobile Limited →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Telecom Services · 249 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 53 · Above median
Fair Value upside −34% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 14% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.1% · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Telecom Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 332.5× · Priciest 25%
P/B 1.25× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.23× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 7.6× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.62× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 40
FUTURE (revenue growth)71 · sector 16
PAST (return on equity)2 · sector 29
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)82 · sector 76

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Telecom Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
China Mobile Limited 0941 HK$78.95 HK$131.27 +66%
Verizon Communications Inc VZ $47.32 $70.27 +48%
T-Mobile US, Inc TMUS $165.35 $272.88 +65%
AT&T Inc T $25.45 $51.11 +101%
Bharti Airtel Limited BHARTIARTL ₹1,796 ₹1,883 +5%
China Telecom Corporation 601728 ¥6.10 ¥8.36 +37%
América Móvil, S.A. AMX $22.08 $32.49 +47%
Saudi Telecom Company 7010 43.66 SAR 41.80 SAR −4%
Singapore Telecommunications Limited Z74 4.32 SGD 2.15 SGD −50%
Swisscom AG SCMN CHF 656.50 CHF 505.18 −23%

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ecotel communication ag · Fair Value
€4.42 −50%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "ecotel communication ag Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/E4C

Frequently asked questions

Is ecotel communication ag (E4C) overvalued or undervalued?
As of May 31, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €4.42 versus a price of €6.65, about −34% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of E4C?
Our model-based fair value for ecotel communication ag is €4.42 (as of May 31, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €6.65.
What is the quality score of E4C?
ecotel communication ag has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for ecotel communication ag (E4C)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €4.42 (as of May 31, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario €4.30, optimistic scenario €6.59. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the ecotel communication ag stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €4.42, about −34% upside versus a price of €6.65 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €4.30, optimistic scenario €6.59. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of ecotel communication ag (E4C)?
ecotel communication ag reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €129M (latest available figure, as of May 31, 2026).
Does ecotel communication ag pay a dividend?
ecotel communication ag currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.12% relative to its recent price (as of May 31, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of ecotel communication ag (E4C)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For ecotel communication ag it is €4.42 per share (as of May 31, 2026), against a price of €6.65. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is ecotel communication ag stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of May 31, 2026, E4C trades above its calculated fair value: price €6.65, fair value €4.42, a gap of about −34% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of E4C?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€6.65); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€4.42). For ecotel communication ag the two are €2.23 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is ecotel communication ag worth?
The market values ecotel communication ag at about €25.6M (market capitalisation, as of May 31, 2026). Per share that is €6.65; our models calculate a fair value of €4.42 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about E4C?
Our models span a range for ecotel communication ag: cautious scenario €4.30, base €4.42, optimistic €6.59 per share (as of May 31, 2026, price €6.65). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of E4C?
ecotel communication ag trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 332.5 (as of May 31, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €4.42 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.6, P/B 1.3, P/S 0.2, EV/EBITDA 7.6.
What is the PEG ratio of E4C?
The PEG ratio of ecotel communication ag is 0.62 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of May 31, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of ecotel communication ag (E4C)?
Balance-sheet figures for ecotel communication ag (as of May 31, 2026): return on equity 0.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is E4C from its 52-week high?
ecotel communication ag trades at €6.65, about 51% below its 52-week high of €13.60 and 8% above the low of €6.15 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €4.42 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to ecotel communication ag?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value China Mobile Limited, Verizon Communications Inc, T-Mobile US, Inc, AT&T Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is ecotel communication ag stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of May 31, 2026: price €6.65, calculated fair value €4.42 (−34%), Quality Score 53/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of E4C calculated?
We run ecotel communication ag through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €4.42, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. ecotel communication ag itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of ecotel communication ag (E4C)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was €6.65. Our model-based fair value is €4.42, about −34% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with ecotel communication ag right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. The price sits above our optimistic bull case: the favourable scenario is already priced in. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of ecotel communication ag (E4C) come from?
Earnings per share at ecotel communication ag grew +16.8 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −0.2 %, EBIT margin +6.6 %, tax rate +2.9 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +6.7 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of ecotel communication ag

How large is the market capitalisation of ecotel communication ag (E4C)?
The market capitalisation of ecotel communication ag is €25.6M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of ecotel communication ag (E4C)?
Earnings per share at ecotel communication ag are €0.0200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 332.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of ecotel communication ag (E4C)?
The dividend yield of ecotel communication ag is 4.1%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of ecotel communication ag (E4C)?
The net margin of ecotel communication ag is 0.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of ecotel communication ag (E4C)?
The return on equity (ROE) of ecotel communication ag is 0.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of ecotel communication ag (E4C)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of ecotel communication ag is 8.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of ecotel communication ag (E4C)?
The operating margin of ecotel communication ag is 1.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at ecotel communication ag (E4C)?
Revenue at ecotel communication ag is growing +14.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +10.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at ecotel communication ag (E4C)?
Earnings per share at ecotel communication ag are growing +28.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does ecotel communication ag (E4C) generate?
The free cash flow of ecotel communication ag is −€203K (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does ecotel communication ag (E4C) carry?
The net debt of ecotel communication ag is €4.0M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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