Ebara Corporation (EBCOY) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $19.2B
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Share price +1.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 47% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($13.28). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range ($6.74 to $13.28) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $2.84 – $20.98 · fair‑value band $6.74 – $13.28 · the $18.25 price screens above the $9.63 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
Ebara Corporation (EBCOY) currently trades at $18.25, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $9.63, implying the stock looks roughly 47.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Ebara Corporation generated revenue of $550B at a net margin of 4.6%. Revenue grew 51.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.6%. Net debt stands at $81.3B. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $6.74 (bear case) to $13.28 (bull case); at $18.25, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 139% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -47%, EBCOY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($13.51) versus Asset-Based ($2.79). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 68
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Ebara Corporation manufactures and sells pumps, compressors, turbines, and chillers in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Asia, Japan, Oceania, North America, and Central and South America. It operates through the Building Service & Industrial, Energy, Infrastructure, Environmental Solutions, and Precision Machinery segments.
Full company description
Ebara Corporation manufactures and sells pumps, compressors, turbines, and chillers in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Asia, Japan, Oceania, North America, and Central and South America. It operates through the Building Service & Industrial, Energy, Infrastructure, Environmental Solutions, and Precision Machinery segments. The company offers standard and custom pumps, fans, booster pump units, chillers, cooling towers, and heating and cooling machines; and cryogenic products. It also provides incineration systems, gasification technologies, municipal and industrial waste treatment plants, municipal waste processing plants, and boilers, as well as sewerage and drainage treatment systems. In addition, the company offers chemical mechanical polishing systems, CMP equipment, dry vacuum pumps, gas abatement systems, plating equipment, exhaust-gas treatment equipment, and ozonized water generators. Ebara Corporation was founded in 1912 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Ebara Corporation reported revenue of $1.0T in FY2025 versus $603B in FY2021, a compound +13.6%/yr. Reported net income was $80.3B in FY2025, compounding +16.5%/yr from FY2021.
EBCOY screens 47% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →
Peer Group
Specialty Industrial Machinery · 809 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GE Vernova Inc 1GEV | €887.60 | €186.93 | -79% |
| 1SIE 1SIE | €273.20 | €91.93 | -66% |
| SMNS SMNS | C$31.76 | C$22.68 | -29% |
| Eaton Corporation ETN | $407.28 | $171.92 | -58% |
| Atlas Copco AB ATCOA | kr 195.15 | kr 112.59 | -42% |
| Sandvik AB SAND | kr 384.10 | kr 193.01 | -50% |
| Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 | 76,400 KRW | 7,938 KRW | -90% |
| Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS | kr 178.10 | kr 124.54 | -30% |
| Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 | ¥43.20 | ¥22.68 | -48% |
| NARI Technology Co 600406 | ¥22.19 | ¥18.71 | -16% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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