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Everus Construction Group (ECG) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $6.8B

EC Everus Construction Group logo Everus Construction Group ECG · US
Price$136.89
Fair Value$72.07
Upside-47.4%
Quality58/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 5.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
Moderate moat 61/100
Evidence: High Range $37.06 – $94.73 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Share price +1.9% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 47% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($94.73). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range ($37.06 to $94.73) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (21 months)

$169.16 $33.60 Fair Value $72.07 Oct 2024 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

21‑month range $33.60 – $169.16 · fair‑value band $37.06 – $94.73 · the $136.89 price screens above the $72.07 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

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Analysis

Everus Construction Group (ECG) currently trades at $136.89, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $72.07, implying the stock looks roughly 47.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Everus Construction Group generated revenue of $4.0B at a net margin of 5.7%. Revenue grew 25.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 39.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $65.0M. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $37.06 (bear case) to $94.73 (bull case); at $136.89, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 136% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -47%, ECG screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $19.86 $35.90 $62.13 80
Rev-Margin DCF $36.79 $71.10 $116.18 74
ROIC Compounder $37.06 $49.51 $65.01 72
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $20.18 $38.17 $68.97 38
Owner Earnings $38.25 $70.97 $127.00 31
5Y Revenue Exit $36.79 $72.66 $122.85 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $40.21 $79.82 $130.80 41
5Y P/E Exit $44.05 $87.88 $139.29 38
10Y Revenue Exit $29.23 $61.07 $112.56 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $33.04 $66.25 $119.17 37
10Y P/E Exit $35.55 $72.07 $126.23 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $26.88 $132.04 $182.01 54
Lynch FV $35.50 $50.72 $65.93 50
PEG = 1.0 $35.50 $50.72 $65.93 46
EPV $32.39 $37.80 $42.47 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $62.26 $83.01 $103.77 63
P/S Multiple $50.40 $67.20 $84.00 58
P/B Multiple $41.65 $55.53 $69.41 55
EV/EBIT $64.25 $86.30 $108.34 53
EV/EBITDA $54.19 $72.88 $91.58 54
EV/Revenue $45.32 $65.55 $85.78 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $6.17 $8.27 $12.34 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $19.86 $35.90 $62.13 80
Rev-Margin DCF $36.79 $71.10 $116.18 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $26.68 $37.44 $287.83 61
ROIC Compounder $37.06 $49.51 $65.01 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $54.77 $78.24 $101.72 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($78.24) versus Asset-Based ($8.27). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $4.0B
Revenue growth (YoY) +25.4%
Net margin 5.7%
Return on equity 39.0%
Free cash flow $90.0M FY2025
P/E ratio 34.7
More key figures
Operating margin 7.5%
EPS (TTM) $4.38
EPS growth (YoY) +58.7%
Net cash $65.0M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55

Profitability 70
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 59
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 27
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 68
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 45
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 75
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 84
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Everus Construction Group, Inc. provides contracting services in the United States. It operates through two segments, Electrical & Mechanical and Transmission & Distribution.

Full company description

Everus Construction Group, Inc. provides contracting services in the United States. It operates through two segments, Electrical & Mechanical and Transmission & Distribution. The Electrical & Mechanical segment provides construction and maintenance services of electrical and communication wiring, and infrastructure; fire suppression systems; and renewables infrastructure and mechanical piping services in public and private sectors. The Transmission & Distribution segment offers construction and maintenance of overhead and underground electrical, gas, and communication infrastructure and transportation related lighting, as well as design, manufacturing, and distribution of overhead and underground transmission line construction equipment and tools. It serves utilities, manufacturing, transportation, commercial, industrial, institutional, renewables, and governmental customers. The company was incorporated in 2024 and is headquartered in Bismarck, North Dakota.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Everus Construction Group reported revenue of $3.7B in FY2025 versus $2.1B in FY2021, a compound +16.2%/yr. Reported net income was $202M in FY2025, compounding +16.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 75/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$3.7B
Latest YoY
+31.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+11.5%
Revenue +16.2%/yr
FY21 $2.1B
FY22 $2.7B
FY23 $2.9B
FY24 $2.8B
FY25 $3.7B
Net income +16.5%/yr
FY21 $109M
FY22 $125M
FY23 $137M
FY24 $143M
FY25 $202M

ECG screens 47% overvalued. Compare with Larsen & Toubro Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Everus Construction Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ECG

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Engineering & Construction · 837 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 58 · Above median
Fair Value upside −47% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 39% · Top 25%
Return on assets 11% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Revenue growth 25% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.42× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 31.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 10.80× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.72× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 75.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 21.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 16
FUTURE 100 · sector 18
PAST 100 · sector 26
HEALTH 79 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 33

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹3,815 ₹1,994 -48%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 346,000 KRW 268,779 KRW -22%
Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 99,000 KRW 63,993 KRW -35%
United Integrated Services Co 2404 1,250 TWD 925.62 TWD -26%
Samsung E&A Co 028050 42,550 KRW 44,840 KRW +5%
Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL ₹232.67 ₹61.46 -74%
Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 16,240 KRW 6,507 KRW -60%
NBCC (India) Limited NBCC ₹96.32 ₹48.22 -50%
Cemindia Projects Limited CEMPRO ₹1,330 ₹730.69 -45%
KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 92,700 KRW 20,172 KRW -78%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Everus Construction Group (ECG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $72.07 versus a price of $136.89, about −47% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ECG?
Our model-based fair value for Everus Construction Group is $72.07 (as of Jul 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $136.89.
What is the quality score of ECG?
Everus Construction Group has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Everus Construction Group (ECG)?
Everus Construction Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $4.0B (latest available figure, as of Jul 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ECG?
The net profit margin of Everus Construction Group is about 5.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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