Energy Focu (EFOI) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $19.9M
Energy Focu
EFOI · US
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 7 days ago
Share price −3.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 82% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.6120). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range ($0.3230 to $0.6120) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1.15 – $40.67 · fair‑value band $0.3230 – $0.6120 · the $2.73 price screens above the $0.4845 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Energy Focu (EFOI) currently trades at $2.73, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.4845, implying the stock looks roughly 82.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Energy Focu generated revenue of $3.9M at a net margin of -23.1%. Revenue grew 54.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -26.4%. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.3230 (bear case) to $0.6120 (bull case); at $2.73, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 58% below its 52-week high and 64% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 8% fair-value upside, at -82%, EFOI screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($2.80) versus Asset-Based ($0.4300). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Energy Focus, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, development, manufacture, marketing, and sale of energy-efficient lighting systems and controls in the United States and internationally.
Full company description
Energy Focus, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, development, manufacture, marketing, and sale of energy-efficient lighting systems and controls in the United States and internationally. The company offers military maritime markets light-emitting diode (LED) lighting products, such as Intellitube and Invisitube retrofit LEDs; and military-grade LED fixtures comprising globe lights, berth lights, and high-bay kits to serve the United States navy and allied foreign navies. The company also provides energy-saving GaN power supplies for efficient power delivery; and energy storage systems (ESS) and uninterruptible power supply (UPS) products designed for AI data centers. In addition, it offers commercial products, including RedCap emergency backup LED tubes; LED retrofit kits for replacing fluorescent lamps, downlights, and low/high-bay fixtures; industrial LED dock lights. The company sells its products to commercial, industrial, and military markets through direct sales employees, lighting agents, and independent sales representatives, and distributors, as well as via e-commerce channels. The company was formerly known as Fiberstars, Inc. and changed its name to Energy Focus, Inc. in May 2007. Energy Focus, Inc. was founded in 1985 and is based in Solon, Ohio.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Energy Focu reported revenue of $3.6M in FY2025 versus $9.9M in FY2021, a compound −22.5%/yr. Reported net income was −$1.0M in FY2025.
EFOI screens 82% overvalued. Compare with Midea Group →
Peer Group
Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances · 321 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Midea Group 000333 | ¥84.34 | ¥99.66 | +18% |
| Gree Electric Appliances, Inc 000651 | ¥40.23 | ¥86.91 | +116% |
| Haier Smart Home Co 600690 | ¥21.79 | ¥36.04 | +65% |
| King Slide Works Co 2059 | 12,500 TWD | 1,917 TWD | -85% |
| Guangdong Songfa Ceramics Co 603268 | ¥173.26 | ¥38.83 | -78% |
| Hisense Home Appliances Group 000921 | ¥27.69 | ¥50.62 | +83% |
| Ecovacs Robotics Co 603486 | ¥57.74 | ¥54.14 | -6% |
| Zhejiang Supor Co 002032 | ¥41.68 | ¥44.84 | +8% |
| COWAY Co 021240 | 97,200 KRW | 103,928 KRW | +7% |
| Voltas Limited VOLTAS | ₹1,290 | ₹152.27 | -88% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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