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Energy Focu (EFOI) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 16, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Energy Focu stock $0.48, price $2.60, upside -81.4%, quality 38 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Consumer Cyclical · US · ISIN US29268T5083

EF Energy Focu logo Thin data Oct 3, 2026

Energy Focu

EFOI · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

Our calculation puts a fair price 81% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Fair value $0.4845 · Strongly overvalued (−81.4%)
Quality 38/100
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −26.7 %/yr in USD)
Loss-making · -23.8% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/11)
Narrow moat 6/100 · thin data
Thin data
⚠ Dilution
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$32.90 $1.15 Fair Value $0.4845 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.15 – $32.90 · fair‑value band $0.3230 – $0.6120 · the $2.60 price screens above the $0.4845 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.

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Company profile

Energy Focus, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, development, manufacture, marketing, and sale of energy-efficient lighting systems and controls in the United States and internationally.

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The company offers military maritime markets light-emitting diode (LED) lighting products, such as Intellitube and Invisitube retrofit LEDs; and military-grade LED fixtures comprising globe lights, berth lights, and high-bay kits to serve the United States navy and allied foreign navies.

The company also provides energy-saving GaN power supplies for efficient power delivery; and energy storage systems (ESS) and uninterruptible power supply (UPS) products designed for AI data centers.

In addition, it offers commercial products, including RedCap emergency backup LED tubes; LED retrofit kits for replacing fluorescent lamps, downlights, and low/high-bay fixtures; industrial LED dock lights.

The company sells its products to commercial, industrial, and military markets through direct sales employees, lighting agents, and independent sales representatives, and distributors, as well as via e-commerce channels.

The company was formerly known as Fiberstars, Inc. and changed its name to Energy Focus, Inc. in May 2007. Energy Focus, Inc. was founded in 1985 and is based in Solon, Ohio.

Stock analysis

Energy Focu (EFOI) currently trades at $2.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.4845, 81.4% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: $0.3230 (bear) to $0.6120 (bull), the price of $2.60 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Energy Focu reported revenue of $3.6M in FY2025 versus $9.9M in FY2021, a compound −22.5%/yr. Reported net income was −$1.0M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $19.0M · P/S ratio 2.93 · EPS (TTM) $−0.2800 · Net margin −28.8% · Return on equity −50.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −52.4% · Operating margin −23.2% · Revenue (TTM) $6.5M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 6 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 60% below its 52-week high and 56% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 22% fair-value upside, at −81%, EFOI screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.3230 Fair Value $0.4845 Bull $0.6120
Price $2.60 · Upside -81.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) $0.3200 $0.4300 $0.6500 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.3200 $0.4300 $0.6500 54

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 38/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 14
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 55
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 19
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 63
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 100
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 0
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Momentum 22
Price trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 20
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−26.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−15.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−26.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −25.1% a year
Revenue growth 32 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.4%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−24.2% (2020) → −29.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

EFOI screens overvalued: fair value 81% below the price. Compare with Midea Group →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances · 303 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 38 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −81.4% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −20.1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −23.8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −23.2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 228.0% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.07× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances median · lower = cheaper

P/B 4.63× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 2.93× · Priciest 25%
PEG 0.31× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 30
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 1
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)97 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 62

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Gree Electric Appliances, Inc 000651 ¥39.59 ¥97.62 +147% vs EFOI
Haier Smart Home Co 600690 ¥20.99 ¥45.72 +118% vs EFOI
Hisense Home Appliances Group 000921 ¥25.22 ¥41.56 +65% vs EFOI
Midea Group 000333 ¥83.50 ¥129.21 +55% vs EFOI
Zhejiang Supor Co 002032 ¥41.75 ¥50.78 +22% vs EFOI
Mohawk Industries, Inc MHK $123.90 $114.45 −8% vs EFOI
COWAY Co 021240 101,200 KRW 74,673 KRW −26% vs EFOI
SharkNinja, Inc SN $184.98 $100.43 −46% vs EFOI
Somnigroup International Inc SGI $63.58 $31.80 −50% vs EFOI
King Slide Works Co 2059 10,580 TWD 4,427 TWD −58% vs EFOI

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Energy Focu · Fair Value
$0.4845 −81%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Energy Focu Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/EFOI

Frequently asked questions

Is Energy Focu (EFOI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.4845 versus a price of $2.60, about −81% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of EFOI?
Our model-based fair value for Energy Focu is $0.4845 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $2.60.
What is the quality score of EFOI?
Energy Focu has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Energy Focu (EFOI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.4845 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.3230, optimistic scenario $0.6120. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Energy Focu stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.4845, about −81% upside versus a price of $2.60 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.3230, optimistic scenario $0.6120. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Energy Focu (EFOI)?
Energy Focu reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $6.5M (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Energy Focu (EFOI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Energy Focu it is $0.4845 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of $2.60. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Energy Focu stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, EFOI trades above its calculated fair value: price $2.60, fair value $0.4845, a gap of about −81% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of EFOI?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($2.60); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.4845). For Energy Focu the two are $2.12 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Energy Focu worth?
The market values Energy Focu at about $19.0M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is $2.60; our models calculate a fair value of $0.4845 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about EFOI?
Our models span a range for Energy Focu: cautious scenario $0.3230, base $0.4845, optimistic $0.6120 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price $2.60). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of EFOI?
The PEG ratio of Energy Focu is 0.31 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 3, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Energy Focu (EFOI)?
Balance-sheet figures for Energy Focu (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity −50.2%, debt of 0.07 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 38/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is EFOI from its 52-week high?
Energy Focu trades at $2.60, about 60% below its 52-week high of $6.49 and 56% above the low of $1.66 (as of Oct 16, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.4845 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Energy Focu?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Midea Group, King Slide Works Co, Gree Electric Appliances, Inc, Haier Smart Home Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Energy Focu stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price $2.60, calculated fair value $0.4845 (−81%), Quality Score 38/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of EFOI calculated?
We run Energy Focu through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.4845, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Energy Focu itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Energy Focu (EFOI)?
The closing price on Oct 16, 2026 was $2.60. Our model-based fair value is $0.4845, about −81% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Energy Focu right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.6120). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (38/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($0.3230 to $0.6120) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Energy Focu

How large is the market capitalisation of Energy Focu (EFOI)?
The market capitalisation of Energy Focu is $19.0M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Energy Focu (EFOI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Energy Focu is 2.93 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Energy Focu (EFOI)?
Earnings per share at Energy Focu are $−0.2800. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Energy Focu (EFOI)?
The net margin of Energy Focu is −28.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Energy Focu (EFOI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Energy Focu is −50.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Energy Focu (EFOI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Energy Focu is −52.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Energy Focu (EFOI)?
The operating margin of Energy Focu is −23.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Energy Focu (EFOI)?
Revenue at Energy Focu is growing +228% versus a year earlier (3y avg −15.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Energy Focu (EFOI) generate?
The free cash flow of Energy Focu is −$1.5M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Energy Focu (EFOI) hold?
Energy Focu holds more cash than debt, $847K net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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