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Elecom Co (ELCMF) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $817M

EC Elecom Co logo Elecom Co ELCMF · US
Price$10.15
Fair Value$19.72
Upside+94.3%
Quality82/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 15.3% net margin
generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (9/10)
Moderate moat 61/100
Evidence: High Range $14.70 – $24.65 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 24, 2026, revised from $20.05 to $19.72 (−1.6%) since Jun 25, 2026.

A strong business, screening 94% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The rarer combination: high quality (82/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($14.70). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$11.24 $8.37 Fair Value $19.72 Apr 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $8.37 – $11.24 · fair‑value band $14.70 – $24.65 · the $10.15 price screens below the $19.72 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Elecom Co (ELCMF) currently trades at $10.15, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $19.72, implying the stock looks roughly 94.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 82/100 (high quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Elecom Co generated revenue of $132B at a net margin of 15.3%. Revenue grew 20.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 21.2%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 6.3. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $14.70 (bear case) to $24.65 (bull case); at $10.15, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -67% fair-value upside, at 94%, ELCMF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $13.49 $16.78 $20.72 72
Growth-Adj P/E $11.85 $16.92 $22.00 68
Rev-Margin DCF $12.99 $17.81 $23.10 67
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $13.35 $17.01 $21.62 38
Owner Earnings $10.31 $12.84 $16.02 31
5Y Revenue Exit $12.99 $17.70 $23.51 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $17.20 $25.27 $34.38 41
5Y P/E Exit $15.59 $22.39 $29.23 38
10Y Revenue Exit $12.80 $16.81 $21.79 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $15.46 $21.51 $29.10 37
10Y P/E Exit $14.54 $19.72 $25.64 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $5.06 $12.81 $16.65 54
PEG = 1.0 $2.37 $3.39 $4.41 46
EPV $10.34 $11.27 $12.04 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $15.62 $20.82 $26.03 63
P/S Multiple $9.48 $12.64 $15.80 58
P/B Multiple $9.48 $12.64 $15.80 55
EV/EBIT $22.97 $29.47 $35.96 53
EV/EBITDA $22.22 $28.47 $34.71 54
EV/Revenue $13.34 $17.56 $21.78 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $3.31 $4.43 $6.61 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $13.49 $16.78 $20.72 72
Rev-Margin DCF $12.99 $17.81 $23.10 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income $5.65 $6.26 $8.92 61
ROIC Compounder $10.61 $11.92 $13.25 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $11.85 $16.92 $22.00 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($17.70) versus Asset-Based ($4.43). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $132B
Revenue growth (YoY) +20.2%
Net margin 15.3%
Return on equity 21.2%
Free cash flow $13.7B FY2025
P/E ratio 6.3
More key figures
Operating margin 13.2%
EPS (TTM) $1.62
EPS growth (YoY) +49.4%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 82/100

Of which business quality 79 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54

Profitability 58
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 59
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 69
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 95
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 32
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 39
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Elecom Co., Ltd. engages in the development, manufacturing, and sale of personal computers and digital equipment related products in Japan and internationally.

Full company description

Elecom Co., Ltd. engages in the development, manufacturing, and sale of personal computers and digital equipment related products in Japan and internationally. The company offers network/Wi-Fi products; custom PCs and Tablets; NewLine, a video conferencing system; corporate disaster prevention/BCP countermeasure products; storage; custom order and name engraving services; cloud app related products; surveillance cameras and security cameras; memory; security products; security memory; furniture; smartphone-related; tablet related; monitor/display related; input devices; optical drive; OA taps and power adapters; cable; television related products; healthcare and hygiene products; lifestyle products; PC accessories; bag; video and audio related; digital cameras and video cameras; automotive related; VR related products; printer, ink, and paper; and provides maintenance and other services, as well as software and licenses. It also provides eSports/gaming related products; chargers and battery products; cooking appliances; pet and beauty appliance; outdoor related products; bluetooth related products; security products; and miracast related products. Elecom Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1986 and is headquartered in Osaka, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Elecom Co reported revenue of $118B in FY2025 versus $107B in FY2021, a compound +2.4%/yr. Reported net income was $9.3B in FY2025, compounding −3.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 74/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$118B
Latest YoY
+7.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+3.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+3.2%
Revenue +2.4%/yr
FY21 $107B
FY22 $107B
FY23 $104B
FY24 $110B
FY25 $118B
Net income −3.6%/yr
FY21 $10.8B
FY22 $10.4B
FY23 $8.1B
FY24 $10.0B
FY25 $9.3B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Elecom Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ELCMF

Peer Group

Computer Hardware · 215 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 82 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +94% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 21% · Top 25%
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 20% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Computer Hardware median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 6.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 57
PAST 85 · sector 26
HEALTH 0 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 44

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Computer Hardware stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Compal Electronics, Inc CEIR $0.0310 $0.0276 -11%
Dell Technologies Inc DELL $434.97 $163.87 -62%
Arista Networks, Inc ANET $168.56 $43.74 -74%
Western Digital Corporation WDC $513.84 $74.05 -86%
Wiwynn Corporation 6669 4,685 TWD 1,559 TWD -67%
Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co 002415 ¥34.12 ¥30.11 -12%
Quanta Computer Inc 2382 373.50 TWD 297.22 TWD -20%
Shenzhen Longsys Electronics Co 301308 ¥587.60 ¥60.86 -90%
Lenovo Group 0992 HK$23.16 HK$3.07 -87%
Dawning Information Industry Co 603019 ¥106.13 ¥28.88 -73%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Elecom Co (ELCMF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $19.72 versus a price of $10.15, about +94% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ELCMF?
Our model-based fair value for Elecom Co is $19.72 (as of Jul 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $10.15.
What is the quality score of ELCMF?
Elecom Co has a Quality Score of 82/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Elecom Co (ELCMF)?
Elecom Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $132B (latest available figure, as of Jul 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ELCMF?
The net profit margin of Elecom Co is about 15.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 15.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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